NavarreDon Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Ian looks at his best. Beautiful CDO. Symmetrical, uniform cold cloud tops. Firing on all cylinders. First full Appearance of a cat 5 from a satellite standpoint imo. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=09L&product=irReminiscent of Michael, TBX shows the core in the best shape I’ve seen all morning. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Look at the rush of water on the Periwinkle and Casa Yebel cam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, mgerb said: Can see the surge occurring right now. Same on P and C.Y. East. I looked away when there was no surge, now the road is covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 minute ago, NavarreDon said: Reminiscent of Michael, TBX shows the core in the best shape I’ve seen all morning. . Yep, presentation looks like it should be cover of a textbook. That EWRC yesterday was at the worst possible time clearly. Eye probably has the stadium effect. Captiva may be about to get into the eye. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpeters3 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Michigander said: Wrong Directly from the AMS glossary:https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml Landfall: The intersection of the surface center of a tropical cyclone with a coastline. Because the strongest winds in a tropical cyclone are not located precisely at the center, it is possible for a cyclone's strongest winds to be experienced over land even if landfall does not occur. Similarly, it is possible for a tropical cyclone to make landfall and have its strongest winds remain over the water. Compare direct hit, indirect hit, and strike. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 It looks like Sarasota/Bradenton is going to get blasted by the western eye wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, Michigander said: Wrong WBIR weather is wrong. That is not a technical landfall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 6 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: Reminiscent of Michael, TBX shows the core in the best shape I’ve seen all morning. . First Semblances of the classic buzz saw sat appearance that is common with cat 5’s. Eye gaining symmetry on satellite as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Based on radar, if trends continue, a landfall on Boca Grande seems likely. 8 miles or so south of the official track Going to be real close to that area. Water is going to rapidly pile into Gasparilla Sound / Charlotte Harbor on that track. Those homes on Boca Grande are well built - we're about to find out how well built. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Posting the link again. https://www.mysanibel.com/live-street-cams?utm_campaign=SanCapChamber&utm_medium=referral&utm_source=SanCapChamber# The surge has risen several feet in the past few minutes at Periwinkle & Casa Ybel West 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 28 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: This webcam is still live on Sanibel. I am surprised that the visibility is so good and few trees down. They have to be in the eyewall. https://www.mysanibel.com/live-street-cams?utm_campaign=SanCapChamber&utm_medium=referral&utm_source=SanCapChamber The webcam called periwinkle and casa ybel W. shows the surge coming in on Sanibel When I checked this webcam a few minutes ago the water was just reaching this area. Now look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 the storm surge in ft myers on TWC live shots is no joke 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: It looks like Sarasota/Bradenton is going to get blasted by the western eye wall We'll probably see some land confirmations soon for the stronger northern eye wall. Headed for Venice and Sarasota as you said. Thankfully for them the surge won't be too bad. Charlotte Harbor and Cape Coral though.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Severe studios live web cam on Fort Myers Beach.. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terdferguson Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Current negative tide in St Pete. Tide is "incoming" until 3. 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Posting the link again. https://www.mysanibel.com/live-street-cams?utm_campaign=SanCapChamber&utm_medium=referral&utm_source=SanCapChamber# The surge has risen several feet in the past few minutes at Periwinkle & Casa Ybel West Yep, I'm watching the windows on that yellow house to see how high it gets. Hope we don't lose the camera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, MANDA said: Yep, I'm watching the windows on that yellow house to see how high it gets. Hope we don't lose the camera. Looks like only Casa Ybel East and West are still up, everything else appears to be down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 12Z UKMET: 2nd landfall much further north at Myrtle Beach instead of Charleston and near a cat 2 hurricane: HURRICANE IAN ANALYSED POSITION : 26.0N 82.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092022 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 28.09.2022 0 26.0N 82.7W 949 92 0000UTC 29.09.2022 12 27.4N 81.4W 978 47 1200UTC 29.09.2022 24 28.5N 80.6W 987 51 0000UTC 30.09.2022 36 29.7N 79.5W 983 59 1200UTC 30.09.2022 48 31.5N 79.0W 976 62 0000UTC 01.10.2022 60 34.6N 79.0W 985 40 1200UTC 01.10.2022 72 36.3N 79.5W 1002 28 0000UTC 02.10.2022 84 37.5N 79.0W 1007 27 1200UTC 02.10.2022 96 CEASED TRACKING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 That Ft. Myers stream from Severe Studios is very reminiscent of Mexico Beach in Michael and Grand Isle in Ida. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Couple of the hurricane models trying to nude the 2nd US landfall further east and now as a Cat 1/2 hurricane. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 43 minutes ago, Tatamy said: This station has just reported a wind gust to 91 mph. Most recent gust at this station up to 97 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Ian already showing the difference between he and Charley. Its one thing dealing with 150 mph winds.....a whole other thing dealing with that and tsunami like storm surges. the reverse surge out of Tampa Bay is wild. Historic storm, no other way to describe it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Live feed from Cape Coral lock showing the water surging into the canal system. 6 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Just now, Normandy said: Ian already showing the different between he and Charley. Its one thing dealing with 150 mph winds.....a while other thing dealing with that and tsunami like storm surges. the reverse surge out of Tampa Bay is wild. Historic storm, no other way to describe it. Yeah, sad to think that all that water going out some place is coming back in at another place. It's really like a mound and like we're seeing, something like a tsunami. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
f2tornado Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Cape Coral cam definitely has water rising.https://www.webcamtaxi.com/en/usa/florida/capecoral-chiquitalock.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 46 minutes ago, ATDoel said: The brown ocean effect won't save Ian from all that dry air that it's going to wrap into its circulation later today. We should actually see Ian weaken faster than normal when compared to other landfalling hurricanes in Florida. That drum has been banged and has failed repeatedly. Yes eventually they all do weaken but it’s not shear nor dry air that’s doing it while the eye is over water. Inland it will weaken because it’s inland so will see if “dry air/shear” crowd will chirp some more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Live feed from Cape Coral lock showing the water surging into the canal system. That city's screwed, not sure how else to put it. Over 200,000 people in that area. Yikes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 It looks like the Orlando area will get what’s left of the Western eyewall tonight and tomorrow AM. Could be the worst storm in WDW history. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Sanibel Island just had a gust to 100 mph, webcam showing either wind obliteration or storm surge covering the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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