dan11295 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Colder cloud tops trying to wrap around the eye again. Certainly not weakening at all. based on IR presentation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:10 PM, Joe4alb said: That eye wall looks more ominous now then it did an HR ago... Good grief Expand ERC complete just in time for land fall.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crocodile23 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Wow lightning has fired up again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 A new recon plane is about to take off, should get in there just in time. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:11 PM, DeltaT13 said: What exactly was critical about determining rapid intensification this morning? It's not like it makes any tangible difference when you have a Cat 4 or Cat 5 storm. 135mph, 150mph, 160mph, it's all basically the same at this point. It's not like we suddenly started taking it seriously after that recon pass. Once the storm is this close to making landfall they shouldnt even send those guys out, it's unnecessary. Expand There are still important data to collect for research purposes. As the models get finer and finer resolution, there needs to be observational checks on their output. 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:11 PM, DeltaT13 said: What exactly was critical about determining rapid intensification this morning? It's not like it makes any tangible difference when you have a Cat 4 or Cat 5 storm. 135mph, 150mph, 160mph, it's all basically the same at this point. It's not like we suddenly started taking it seriously after that recon pass. Once the storm is this close to making landfall they shouldnt even send those guys out, it's unnecessary. Expand One good reason a Cat 4 vs. Cat 5 designation matters is because it factors into the amount of financial assistance that can be authorized to aid in recovery. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Absurd amount of lightning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:13 PM, hawkeye_wx said: A new recon plane is about to take off, should get in there just in time. Expand It's going to be really close. Should be there in about an hour. Plenty of time to make one last pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:17 PM, Powerball said: One good reason a Cat 4 vs. Cat 5 designation matters is because it factors into the amount of financial assistance that can be authorized to aid in recovery.This is getting bantery but I do not think category dictates the financial restitution in any given legislative or emergency coordinated relief and assistance. A distaster is a disaster mitigated by the severness of the aftermath. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Wow highest I’ve found yet. I think this is about 8K or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 1:58 PM, Tatamy said: Recent gust to 63 mph at St. James City (Davis network). Expand Recent gust at this location up to 81 mph within the last 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 With the angle of attack and large eye, a large area is going to be hammered with that eyewall. Only moving 10 mph as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Took a little jog back north.. Looks like it will end up close to the forecast, which is unfortunate for many. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 2:54 PM, MN Transplant said: Stop sign tells the story Expand Winds are really whipping now. Impressed with the camera and connection. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyEC Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Naples at 7 feet now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguysc Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:21 PM, weatherwiz said: Wow highest I’ve found yet. I think this is about 8K or so Expand Found this just now at 11:22am. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Visible satellite shows the eye clearing out/rounding. Still appears to be strengthening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:30 PM, weatherguysc said: Found this just now at 11:22am. Expand Holy crap...I hope that is just some sort of error. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguysc Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:33 PM, weatherwiz said: Holy crap...I hope that is just some sort of error. Expand I do as well but the new update at 11:32 shows 222.8 in that same area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:33 PM, weatherwiz said: Holy crap...I hope that is just some sort of error. Expand Just a quick question, since when it moves onshore winds will be blowing over land rather than water will that reduce maximum winds on that quadrant or will it really not matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Has there ever been a CAT 5 hurricane that was moving with an easterly component in the Atlantic Basin? Most hurricanes this strong are continuing westward or have some sort of westerly component. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 We have such an array of tools to analyze tropical cyclone these days. Here's how things were done in 1973. 7 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:36 PM, LeesburgWx said: Has there ever been a CAT 5 hurricane that was moving with an easterly component in the Atlantic Basin? Most hurricanes this strong are continuing westward or have some sort of westerly component. Expand Michael comes to mind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:34 PM, weatherguysc said: I do as well but the new update at 11:32 shows 222.8 in that same area. Expand I just found that too On 9/28/2022 at 3:35 PM, KPITSnow said: Just a quick question, since when it moves onshore winds will be blowing over land rather than water will that reduce maximum winds on that quadrant or will it really not matter Expand That's a bit out of my area of knowledge but I would think there would be some reduction of wind over land, however, in this case I don't think it really matters. I mean when talking about winds of this magnitude is there really much of a difference? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Someone else feel free to chime in but considering the intensity, size, surge prone coast being affected, major population area, high end real estate and rainfall associated flooding could this be the costliest CONUS hurricane of all time by the time ALL is said and done? Katrina stands out in front of the pack but have to believe this will make it into the top 5. Any thoughts? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:36 PM, LeesburgWx said: Has there ever been a CAT 5 hurricane that was moving with an easterly component in the Atlantic Basin? Most hurricanes this strong are continuing westward or have some sort of westerly component. Expand Hurricane Michael, 4 years ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 There are multiple 200+ mph bins on the right side now too. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 On 9/28/2022 at 3:38 PM, MANDA said: Someone else feel free to chime in but considering the intensity, size, surge prone coast being affected, major population area, high end real estate and rainfall associated flooding could this be the costliest CONUS hurricane of all time by the time ALL is said and done? Katrina stands out in front of the pack but have to believe this will make it into the top 5. Any thoughts? Expand Definitely top 5 and depending on what happens further northeast-inland FL, NE FL and SC/GA it could be top 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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