Floydbuster Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 Hard to believe this was a naked swirl a few days ago. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 Fiona looking like a beast when it makes landfall in Eastern Canada this Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 Starting to see much higher SFMR readings and FL winds. Eyewall is closed now too. No question that it’s a major now. Off to the races tonight, I think. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 Fiona looks to be in the 120-125mph range. At 5pm we had 957mb. At 7pm we had 953mb and at 7:35 we have 951mb. Looks like rapid deepening is finally underway now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 8pm Advisory has winds now at 125mph and pressure down to 951mb. Fiona should be a Category 4 by the 11pm advisory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 Anyone see the “face” in the SE? lol captured just now 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 Anyone see the “face” in the SE? lolYeeeep...Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 948 mb now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: 948 mb now ADT only off by 20mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 ADT only off by 20mb. They saying 968 or 928?Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: They saying 968 or 928? Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 927mb t6.7 It would be pushing cat5 if that were accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 942 mb per the latest dropsonde. 128 kts flight level wind 105 kts SFMR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 Hurricane Fiona is now a Category 4 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 Euro is getting veeeeeeery close to Halifax with a 927 mb storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 5am advisory is delayed to due an outage impacting NOAA. Very disappointing as they have made a ton of upgrades recently. Also, this is not an ideal time to have an outage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 5am advisory is delayed to due an outage impacting NOAA. Very disappointing as they have made a ton of upgrades recently. Also, this is not an ideal time to have an outage.Was wondering what happened with reconSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Normandy said: Euro is getting veeeeeeery close to Halifax with a 927 mb storm. Not going to happen, you may see 940-945 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 937mb last passSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 The 12Z ICON is a bit further south and a little weaker with it initially getting to just S of PR at 120 hours before later curving NW and then N while strengthening into a H. It ends up just E of the SE Bahamas, which is the furthest W of any run. Is this a sign that there this will keep trending SWard on later runs? I wouldn't be surprised if this ends up in the Gulf based partially on analogs fwiw. The 12Z GFS does ~nothing with this through 204. Its vorticity gets into the W Caribbean and may be a hint to consider. For the 2nd run in a row, the 12Z CMC has this as a TC in the Gulf with this run having it as a TS in the far E Gulf at 192. It then turns west and ends up as a H in the W GOM aiming for TX. The 12Z JMA, which had this as a TC the prior two days, is slightly weaker through 72 (1012 mb vs 1011 mb near the LAs). The rest of the run won't be for awhile. The 12Z UKMET, which has it initially only because that's how this model handles all Invests, drops this immediately afterward: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96L ANALYSED POSITION : 15.3N 46.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL962022 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 13.09.2022 0 15.3N 46.0W 1011 25 0000UTC 14.09.2022 12 CEASED TRACKINGLooks like the ICON was king hereSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 933.5mbSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 Recon reporting multiple vortices rotating around the eye. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 06z GFS has the storm making landfall in eastern Nova Scotia / Cape Breton Island at 75 hours and basically parks it or moves very slowly in the vicinity for upwards of 12 - 15 hours. This is highly unusual in that in the majority of cases these storms rip through that area in 3 - 6 hours. This is going to lead to potential mass destruction in that region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 21 minutes ago, Tatamy said: 06z GFS has the storm making landfall in eastern Nova Scotia / Cape Breton Island at 75 hours and basically parks it or moves very slowly in the vicinity for upwards of 12 - 15 hours. This is highly unusual in that in the majority of cases these storms rip through that area in 3 - 6 hours. This is going to lead to potential mass destruction in that region. 06z Euro has the same scenario. Pressure at landfall is 935mb on the GFS and 928mb on the Euro. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 Using the RAMMB multiplatform wind field product the IKE is 68 TJ. Using the official NHC wind field the IKE is 39 TJ. The wind field is forecast to expand significantly as it phases with the trough so I would not be surprised if the IKE climbs above 100 TJ as it approaches Canadian coastline. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 Fiona looking a bit ragged at the moment. Believe our strengthening trend has ended Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 The latest NHC track makes landfall on Cape Breton Island as a 100 mph cat 2, with up to 10 inches of rain. No comments on surve yet, although the rocky coastline will help mitigate surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 This is the strongest run yet from the Euro.... 921 mb just prior to landfall in Nova Scotia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: This is the strongest run yet from the Euro.... 921 mb just prior to landfall in Nova Scotia. Incredible. A near 921 mb hurricane landfalling in Nova Scotia and 12 hours later it is still drifting in the area with a pressure of 942mb. This would be amazing if it hit Belize or another part of the Yucatán Peninsula. However it is coming ashore at 46N. No words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Incredible. A near 921 mb hurricane landfalling in Nova Scotia and 12 hours later it is still drifting in the area with a pressure of 942mb. This would be amazing if it hit Belize or another part of the Yucatán Peninsula. However it is coming ashore at 46N. No words. Obviously Fiona will not be purely tropical at this point is technically forecast to be post-tropical at landfall NHC. Regardless, this storm is going to have a very large wind field at landfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 1 mph = 1.609344 kph The KPH number south of Nova Scotia would translate to 120 mph. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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