Prismshine Productions Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 NOAA2 confirmed the 985mb pressure (984.6)Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 It’s extremely close to a hurricane if it isn’t there already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 18, 2022 Author Share Posted September 18, 2022 Much of the eastern half of PR is getting blasted with very heavy rain along with solid TS force winds. Fiona is quite possibly a hurricane now. Waiting on official confirmation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 a ship has measured 48 knots (55mph) near the eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 18, 2022 Author Share Posted September 18, 2022 Now a hurricane officially at 70 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 1 minute ago, GaWx said: Now a hurricane officially at 70 knots. Took 24 hours after it started to look impressive on satellite imagery yesterday. You knew this was coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 RAPID Intensification occurring right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 59 minutes ago, MANDA said: Now that Fiona is a done deal as far as a U.S. hit I think we can close the lid on a miserable CV season. Any potential threats to the U.S. are going to have to come from a system lifting north out of the Caribbean / Gulf at this point. Not giving up on that chance just yet. Fiona has organized significantly over the last 24 hours and seems destined to reach hurricane status and maybe major hurricane status as it exits into the SW Atlantic over the next couple of days and heads out in general direction of Bermuda. This season is going to bust hard for anyone that was calling for big numbers and land impacts. Very surprising based on what the pattern looked like going into the season. Solid La Nina, SST that were at least normal, if not above in the MDR and some healthy waves emerging off Africa. Shear and dry air just put an end to the MDR season before it began. Even the Caribbean and GOM could not produce. We'll see what happens over the next 4 weeks. After that can't count on much. Not sure why this post was given the "weenie" - I like to know from "NCsandhills" what he finds confusing or out of line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, Normandy said: RAPID Intensification occurring right now Only thing to impede it over the next 24 hours is proximity to PR. Once it clears PR and DR to the north it should be off to the races but yes it continues on the upswing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Area near the radar looks to be having power issues. Expect intermittent outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 The last three named storms have become hurricanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The last three named storms have become hurricanes. STRUGGLE season beginning to not struggle so much. Will be fascinating watching the monster HOT tower roll around the eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 STRUGGLE season beginning to not struggle so much. Will be fascinating watching the monster HOT tower roll around the eyewall. Still got that slug of dry air to deal with but that eyewall is rapidly getting it's act togetherSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Yeah folks grab your popcorn, this things about to go nuclear. Finally after all of the angst and pain we have something here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 18, 2022 Author Share Posted September 18, 2022 11 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The last three named storms have become hurricanes. Looking at the prior 10 years, the average number of hurricanes from storms born in Sept is only two. So, Sept of 2022 has already exceeded that mark with three. Of the last 10 years, only 2020 had more with four and 2022 still has another 12 days to go. Fiona's ACE is likely going to end up quite impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Have to agree that is indeed a hot tower 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Now that Fiona is a done deal as far as a U.S. hit I think we can close the lid on a miserable CV season. Any potential threats to the U.S. are going to have to come from a system lifting north out of the Caribbean / Gulf at this point.Are you saying done deal as in no US hit? PR is the US. Your angle there sounds like you were focusing on the CONUS. At any rate, Fiona is crawling and the worst of the hurricane (heavy precip) is going to drag prolonged over the heart of the island. Those folks are hurricane hardened, but flash flooding is always worrisome to life and infrastructure. Could see some nasty totals and a mudslide threat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Buoy 42085 southeast of Ponce: 39kt gusting to 49kt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 32 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Still got that slug of dry air to deal with but that eyewall is rapidly getting it's act together Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Seems like a situation where land interaction actually helps to push out dry air and tighten the circulation. It may or may not be over land long enough to impede strengthening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Hopefully somebody is saving an extended radar loop. Its very rare you get to see a rapidly intensifying hurricane develop right next to a radar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 You can run a radar loop with this web site, even many days after the storm is done https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov/qvs/product_viewer/ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Big ups for that website! Radar is showing a monster sized eyewall developing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 9 minutes ago, Normandy said: Big ups for that website! Radar is showing a monster sized eyewall developing Down sloping could be enhancing the MV in the NW eyewall. It doesn't seem to be circulating the eye like a typical MV would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 VDM and radar, the SW eyewall is still open. Not sure land, dry air, shear. Pretty decent pressure to still have an open eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Seriously concerning for Bermuda. Could be the worst since Fabian in '03. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Fiona putting 103 MPH wind gusts on Ponce right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 16 minutes ago, Stormfly said: Seriously concerning for Bermuda. Could be the worst since Fabian in '03. We talk about the "I Curse" a lot, to a lesser extend the "M Curse" (Marilyn, Mitch, Matthew, Maria, Michael) but "F" names have also produced a lot of big ones going back to the mid-'90s. Fran, Floyd, Francis, Fabian, Florence...now perhaps Fiona? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Windspeed said: Are you saying done deal as in no US hit? PR is the US. Your angle there sounds like you were focusing on the CONUS. At any rate, Fiona is crawling and the worst of the hurricane (heavy precip) is going to drag prolonged over the heart of the island. Those folks are hurricane hardened, but flash flooding is always worrisome to life and infrastructure. Could see some nasty totals and a mudslide threat. Yes, sorry. I was focusing on CONUS. Should have been more clear about that. I totally agree PR is in for a rough go with extremely heavy rains, potential mudslides and flooding as Fiona moves slowly over / past the island. Just hard to envision potential landfalls for the balance of the season for the CONUS coming out of the MDR of the Atlantic or CV type systems. Believe any potential threat would come from a system lifting north out of the Caribbean / Bay of Campeche / GOM. Not ruling out something landfalling on CONUS from Caribbean or GOM just yet. Fiona will rack up ACE but there does not seem to be much behind her in the pipeline at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Gfs and cmc shifted west with the path but still going to recurve. If the trough wasn't coming down then this would most likely hit the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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