Fall 2022 Banter Hangout

[Chicago Storm]

mid-march is 6 months away.

[bowtie`]

This upper low parked over Lake Michigan is doing a fine job previewing the upcoming season. Cool and grey, yuck.

[Hoosier]

I put all my faith in the CFS for October.

[Hoosier]

Have an idea for a winter thread that I'm pretty sure we haven't done before.  Should I present it now or wait until, you know, winter?

[Frog Town]

14 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Have an idea for a winter thread that I'm pretty sure we haven't done before.  Should I present it now or wait until, you know, winter?

 

Is it just me or is the CFS throwing some cold for Jan/Feb/March.  I feel like in the past it's always torched that far out.  Curious??

[beavis1729]

On 9/17/2022 at 4:30 PM, Hoosier said:

Have an idea for a winter thread that I'm pretty sure we haven't done before.  Should I present it now or wait until, you know, winter?

Go for it. 

As with every thread, people can participate (or not) at their discretion.

[Hoosier]

Today is the 20th anniversary of a fairly noteworthy tornado in Indiana history.  It was on the ground for 2 hours and 21 minutes.  Considering all the towns and cities that it went through (including Indianapolis), it's pretty remarkable that nobody died.

Here is the tornado warning text when the storm was approaching Indianapolis, which included "tornado emergency" wording.

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
121 PM EST FRI SEP 20 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA
  MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF INDIANAPOLIS

* UNTIL 200 PM EST

* AT 116 PM EST...AMATEUR RADIO WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A 
TORNADO   JUST SOUTH OF MARTINSVILLE...OR ABOUT 17 MILES NORTH OF 
BLOOMINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
  BARGERSVILLE AT 135 PM EST
  GREENWOOD AT 140 PM EST
  HOMECROFT AT 145 PM EST
  BEECH GROVE AT 150 PM EST
  INDIANAPOLIS AT 150 PM EST

THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING TORNADO EMERGENCY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH
OF THIS LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. IF NO
BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...GO TO THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM. GET UNDER STURDY FURNITURE OR USE BLANKETS
OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT.
 

 

More here:

https://www.weather.gov/ind/sept20_2002tor

[Hoosier]

It's waaaaay out there, but nice hit in the eastern sub from Invest 98l on the 12z GFS.  

The anticipated synoptic pattern should be conducive for a north or northeast motion near/after landfall, so I think it would have to make landfall along the Gulf to have any shot of impacting part of the sub.

[madwx]

15 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

It's waaaaay out there, but nice hit in the eastern sub from Fiona on the 12z GFS.  

The anticipated synoptic pattern should be conducive for a north or northeast motion near/after landfall, so I think it would have to make landfall along the Gulf to have any shot of impacting part of the sub.

I'm guessing you mean Hermine?   Though with the way things are going in the eastern Atlantic 98L might end up being Ian or even Julia

[Hoosier]

10 minutes ago, madwx said:

I'm guessing you mean Hermine?   Though with the way things are going in the eastern Atlantic 98L might end up being Ian or even Julia

Whoops.  Yeah, I'm talking about the current invest.  Had Fiona on my mind lol

[IWXwx]

With a hurricane watch being issued for Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and Newfoundland by the Canadian Hurricane Centre, I had to look this Agency up. Here's what I found...

[Hoosier]

13 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

With a hurricane watch being issued for Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and Newfoundland by the Canadian Hurricane Centre, I had to look this Agency up. Here's what I found...

They're probably better than the Florida Blizzard Bureau.

[Malacka11]

Saw something really weird just a few minutes ago on a dog walk. It looked like a bunch of stars moving in a single line at a very quick pace, like several times faster than planes seem to travel in the sky. They were all very faintly connected by an extremely thin white line. Was only visible for a few seconds before vanishing behind nearby showers. Any ideas? Debris entering the atmosphere or something? 

[madwx]

1 minute ago, Malacka11 said:

Saw something really weird just a few minutes ago on a dog walk. It looked like a bunch of stars moving in a single line at a very quick pace, like several times faster than planes seem to travel in the sky. They were all very faintly connected by an extremely thin white line. Was only visible for a few seconds before vanishing behind nearby showers. Any ideas? Debris entering the atmosphere or something? 

It was a line of starlink satellites

[Malacka11]

2 minutes ago, madwx said:

It was a line of starlink satellites

No shit, that's interesting as hell! Thanks so much 

[cyclone77]

[hardypalmguy]

Wonder how bad Tampa is going to get hit by Ian.  Vacation there at end of year so not happy to see this developing.

[WaryWarren]

kerplunk. inshallah.

[A-L-E-K]

looks like a miss west so probably gonna be fine 

[Chicago Storm]

1 hour ago, hardypalmguy said:

Wonder how bad Tampa is going to get hit by Ian.  Vacation there at end of year so not happy to see this developing.

I'll be down there in a week and a half. 

Wish timing lined up better for me.

[iBrian]

1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said:

I'll be down there in a week and a half. 

Wish timing lined up better for me.

i lived there a few years ago when Irma came through. 95% of people seemed to have evacuated.  Nobody on the roads, Interstate 75 southbound lanes were converted to northbound. all tolls were waived (that'd never happen in Illinois!).  The winds were down to 100 when they reached my part of the area since it came onshore earlier than expected further south. it was amazing to see how well everything held up.  only some fence panels were blown over and signs outside gas stations were busted, but mother nature handled it well. no downed trees that I saw. it was cool leaning into the wind-driven rain at 2:30am wish it'd have come through during daylight.  it was intense!

[Hoosier]

I have nothing to back this up scientifically but it seems as if local wx is so boring like 90% of the time when a hurricane is making landfall in the CONUS.

[A-L-E-K]

On 9/26/2022 at 1:37 PM, A-L-E-K said:

looks like a miss west so probably gonna be fine 

Bust

[madwx]

1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

I have nothing to back this up scientifically but it seems as if local wx is so boring like 90% of the time when a hurricane is making landfall in the CONUS.

 

[Hoosier]

23 minutes ago, madwx said:

 

Interesting and timely.  Thanks for posting.

[Chicago Storm]

2 hours ago, Hoosier said:

I have nothing to back this up scientifically but it seems as if local wx is so boring like 90% of the time when a hurricane is making landfall in the CONUS.

yea, it usually is.


.

[Torchageddon]

5 hours ago, Hoosier said:

I have nothing to back this up scientifically but it seems as if local wx is so boring like 90% of the time when a hurricane is making landfall in the CONUS.

I noticed during Ian's LF that here it was dark and gloomy which isn't something I remember for other landfalling canes especially during this part of hurricane season. Not talking late Oct or Nov hurricanes though where I'm mostly under overcast or dreary wx.

[Chinook]

there could be blue skies west of the tropical storm

 

[Hoosier]

This time of day is freakin brutal when driving west bc the sun is so blinding.  Getting tired of it.

[Chambana]

Given the tranquil weather have to think farmers should have harvest finished earlier than normal this year, virtually nothing on the horizon in the next 7 days.