mahantango#1 Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 26 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 Seasonal low tying 32 this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 9 hours ago, paweather said: @Itstrainingtime Flyers could be for real. What a win. Now time for a winter storm next week @Blizzard of 93 The main 3 models each are now keying in on a storm chance Tuesday night & Wednesday with some cold air available for parts of CTP. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 Even more westward movement of Nicole on the AM progs. Less flooding concern and more potential severe if that trend continues. It will bring even more juicy sub-tropical air up into the valley setting the scene for some potential on the severe front. Also speeding up and way out of the area before Sunrise Sat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The main 3 models each are now keying in on a storm chance Tuesday night & Wednesday with some cold air available for parts of CTP. If this were January, the table would be set with 3 potentials in the next 10-12 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 32 this morning in Marysville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Even more westward movement of Nicole on the AM progs. Less flooding concern and more potential severe if that trend continues. It will bring even more juicy sub-tropical air up into the valley setting the scene for some potential on the severe front. Also speeding up and way out of the area before Sunrise Sat. WPC cut my projected rainfall from 3"+ to 1.5"... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 11 hours ago, paweather said: @Itstrainingtime Flyers could be for real. What a win. Now time for a winter storm next week @Blizzard of 93 They played their best game of the season so far last night. Having said that, the Blues aren't good and I still think this team is grossly undermanned. However, they are fun to watch and the effort is there. And of course in hockey...great goaltending will steal a team that lacks talent some wins. Not to mention it's nice to have 16 points already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: WPC cut my projected rainfall from 3"+ to 1.5"... It aint done moving west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, Superstorm said: It aint done moving west. Very likely correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 @paweather Mammoth Lakes "only" picked up 49" of snow from this latest storm. It was an underperformer by a couple of feet. (it is still snowing lightly, so pretty good chance they get to 50") Imagine getting a 49" snowstorm that underdelivered? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 13 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: @paweather Mammoth Lakes "only" picked up 49" of snow from this latest storm. It was an underperformer by a couple of feet. (it is still snowing lightly, so pretty good chance they get to 50") Imagine getting a 49" snowstorm that underdelivered? I can't even call that "fake snow" like I do with lake effect snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I can't even call that "fake snow" like I do with lake effect snow. Hardly - the first 11" of snow came from over 2" of QPF. Saw mountain reports that they were ecstatic because even though the snowfall totals were less than forecast, the first part of the storm was basically white concrete, which is great for building a solid base out on the hill. (I love how they refer to the 11,000' mountain "the hill". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I can't even call that "fake snow" like I do with lake effect snow. Dear Buffalo, Any heavy snow that occurs with a rapidly rising barometer is fake snow. Signed, AmWx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Dear Buffalo, Any heavy snow that occurs with a rapidly rising barometer is fake snow. Signed, AmWx Some of the higher terrain of western NY is about to be on the receiving end of this phenomena... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 36 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: @paweather Mammoth Lakes "only" picked up 49" of snow from this latest storm. It was an underperformer by a couple of feet. (it is still snowing lightly, so pretty good chance they get to 50") Imagine getting a 49" snowstorm that underdelivered? Exactly that is 2 years of winter for us maybe 3! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 So far 12Z has held serve as to Nicoles position when it nears PA. Almost directly over PITT on the more western models. Nam has it much closer to the LSV but is also having more interaction from the northern SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 MDT still 12 AN for Nov as of today....with the potential for 3 upper 60's/low 70's days to close out the week, they will probably be going into Mid Month (14th/15th) with a double-digit departure. From then on it seems likely to get pared down fast...do we have a month where we go from a double digit AN for the first half to BN by the time the month is over? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: MDT still 12 AN for Nov as of today....with the potential for 3 upper 60's/low 70's days to close out the week, they will probably be going into Mid Month (14th/15th) with a double-digit departure. From then on it seems likely to get pared down fast...do we have a month where we go from a double digit AN for the first half to BN by the time the month is over? Yep I think so model watching but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 Nooner 50 on the nose and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 53 and sunny Nooners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 53 @12:19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 10 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: 53 @12:19 What does that sign in your pic say? LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 GFS went to a cutter next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, paweather said: GFS went to a cutter next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: That is so small LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: That is so small LOL. GFS fantasy land white Thanksgiving and Uber Freeze. Thought it would cheer you up after the model went bad on you for next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: GFS fantasy land white Thanksgiving and Uber Freeze. Thought it would cheer you up after the model went bad on you for next week. Yep I called it, Thanksgiving snow so it has to be right. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, paweather said: That is 6 hours before the pic I posted above. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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