paweather Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Nooner 55 Sunny. Looking forward to the TS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 27 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Feel free to saddle up and mow mine next. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk You've had snow for like 2 months already - probably mow less than 10 times a year in your subarctic climate. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 8, 2022 Author Share Posted November 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: You've had snow for like 2 months already - probably mow less than 10 times a year in your subarctic climate. Let's just be glad the sentence Feel free to saddle up and....did not go a different direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 You've had snow for like 2 months already - probably mow less than 10 times a year in your subarctic climate. Then he won't have to saddle up too much then will he?Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 8, 2022 Author Share Posted November 8, 2022 Turning out to be a great day. Up to 59. Euro is so far west with Nicole that we may need to start talking severed in the warm sector. Euro has the temps rising to near 70 overnight Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 GFS is real close at 198 got to pull closer to the coast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Elliott on Nicole and the weekend: By the end of the week, my attention turns to the remnants of what is currently Subtropical Storm Nicole several hundred miles east of the Bahamas. Nicole is projected to make landfall along the east coast of Florida Wednesday night as a strong tropical storm or Category 1 hurricane. It may remain over the Florida Peninsula on Thursday or briefly emerge into the eastern Gulf of Mexico before setting its sights on the Southeast. Nicole's northward turn from Thursday night into Friday can be attributed to strong, west-to-southwesterly flow in advance of a deep, upper-level trough (dip in the Jet Stream) moving into the central U.S. A strong cold front at the leading edge of the trough will traverse the eastern half of the nation from west-to-east from Thursday night through Saturday night and ultimately absorb Nicole. As this occurs, Nicole's remnant low pressure system is expected to accelerate northeastward, reaching the southern New England coastline no later than Saturday afternoon. Nicole's track will play a large role in determining how much rain falls across southern PA and northern MD on Friday and Friday night. It's certainly within the realm of possibilities that Nicole's remnant low passes close by or directly overhead. Regardless of the exact track, rain should overspread the region from south-to-north late Thursday night into Friday morning and continue through Friday night. The heaviest rain should hold off until after the Friday afternoon commute, but I'd still expect slowdowns and use extra caution on the wet roadways. Rain should taper off rather quickly from southwest-to-northeast late Friday night into Saturday morning but not before at least 2-3 inches falls across the Lower Susquehanna Valley. Due to another stretch of abnormally dry conditions since Ian's remnants in early October, Nicole's rainfall should be largely beneficial. Barring an unexpected slowdown in Nicole's forward speed, flooding shouldn't be a concern except in low-lying and poor-drainage areas. Moist, southerly flow ahead of Nicole will prevent this from being a "cold rain" like what ocurred with Ian in early October. Highs should easily reach the low-to-mid 60s on Friday, and dewpoints will briefly surge back into the upper 50s or low 60s, as well. A strong pressure gradient, or change in pressure, between Nicole's remnant low pressure system and an area of high pressure building into the northern Plains will be responsible for strong, gusty winds on Saturday. The cold front that Nicole merges with should move through eastern PA immediately after the rain tapers off. In what meteorologists call a "dam-breaking event," the drastically colder air west of the mountails will crash into areas farther east on the wings of howling, west-to-northwesterly winds. These events are notorious for producing dangerous crosswinds with gusts up to 50 mph.. sufficient to also cause sporadic tree and powerline damage. At the very least, it'll be necessary to "hold onto your hats" Saturday and prepare for a dramatic shift in the weather pattern. Temperatures may still reach or exceed 60°F Saturday morning but should "fall off the cliff" Saturday afternoon or evening in the wake of the cold front. By Sunday morning, temperatures may only be in the upper 20s or low 30s as an Arctic air mass settles over the Great Lakes region. Due to the combination of strong, west-to-northwesterly winds and very cold air moving over the still-warm waters of the Great Lakes, the first lake-effect snow event of the season is likely from Saturday night into Monday downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Although flurries shouldn't reach southeastern PA, mostly cloudy and blutery conditions will accompany highs no better than the 40s and wind chills in the 30s Sunday afternoon. In a matter of a week, we'll be trading shorts, t-shirts, and sunscreen for coats, gloves, and chapstick.. what a rude awakening and downright nasty plunge into winterlike weather! -- Elliott 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 8, 2022 Author Share Posted November 8, 2022 10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Elliott on Nicole and the weekend: By the end of the week, my attention turns to the remnants of what is currently Subtropical Storm Nicole several hundred miles east of the Bahamas. Nicole is projected to make landfall along the east coast of Florida Wednesday night as a strong tropical storm or Category 1 hurricane. It may remain over the Florida Peninsula on Thursday or briefly emerge into the eastern Gulf of Mexico before setting its sights on the Southeast. Nicole's northward turn from Thursday night into Friday can be attributed to strong, west-to-southwesterly flow in advance of a deep, upper-level trough (dip in the Jet Stream) moving into the central U.S. A strong cold front at the leading edge of the trough will traverse the eastern half of the nation from west-to-east from Thursday night through Saturday night and ultimately absorb Nicole. As this occurs, Nicole's remnant low pressure system is expected to accelerate northeastward, reaching the southern New England coastline no later than Saturday afternoon. Nicole's track will play a large role in determining how much rain falls across southern PA and northern MD on Friday and Friday night. It's certainly within the realm of possibilities that Nicole's remnant low passes close by or directly overhead. Regardless of the exact track, rain should overspread the region from south-to-north late Thursday night into Friday morning and continue through Friday night. The heaviest rain should hold off until after the Friday afternoon commute, but I'd still expect slowdowns and use extra caution on the wet roadways. Rain should taper off rather quickly from southwest-to-northeast late Friday night into Saturday morning but not before at least 2-3 inches falls across the Lower Susquehanna Valley. Due to another stretch of abnormally dry conditions since Ian's remnants in early October, Nicole's rainfall should be largely beneficial. Barring an unexpected slowdown in Nicole's forward speed, flooding shouldn't be a concern except in low-lying and poor-drainage areas. Moist, southerly flow ahead of Nicole will prevent this from being a "cold rain" like what ocurred with Ian in early October. Highs should easily reach the low-to-mid 60s on Friday, and dewpoints will briefly surge back into the upper 50s or low 60s, as well. A strong pressure gradient, or change in pressure, between Nicole's remnant low pressure system and an area of high pressure building into the northern Plains will be responsible for strong, gusty winds on Saturday. The cold front that Nicole merges with should move through eastern PA immediately after the rain tapers off. In what meteorologists call a "dam-breaking event," the drastically colder air west of the mountails will crash into areas farther east on the wings of howling, west-to-northwesterly winds. These events are notorious for producing dangerous crosswinds with gusts up to 50 mph.. sufficient to also cause sporadic tree and powerline damage. At the very least, it'll be necessary to "hold onto your hats" Saturday and prepare for a dramatic shift in the weather pattern. Temperatures may still reach or exceed 60°F Saturday morning but should "fall off the cliff" Saturday afternoon or evening in the wake of the cold front. By Sunday morning, temperatures may only be in the upper 20s or low 30s as an Arctic air mass settles over the Great Lakes region. Due to the combination of strong, west-to-northwesterly winds and very cold air moving over the still-warm waters of the Great Lakes, the first lake-effect snow event of the season is likely from Saturday night into Monday downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Although flurries shouldn't reach southeastern PA, mostly cloudy and blutery conditions will accompany highs no better than the 40s and wind chills in the 30s Sunday afternoon. In a matter of a week, we'll be trading shorts, t-shirts, and sunscreen for coats, gloves, and chapstick.. what a rude awakening and downright nasty plunge into winterlike weather! -- Elliott I am actively wondering about the chance of it being 70 at midnight Friday-->Saturday. 2 for one special on highs for those days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 8, 2022 Author Share Posted November 8, 2022 61 now. A 5-7 more than I was expecting today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 It looks like feet of snow out west and in Reno. Bring it here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 7 minutes ago, paweather said: It looks like feet of snow out west and in Reno. Bring it here! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village Here's a webcam from where I'll be staying in May - so far, about 30" has fallen with another 20" expected. Believe it or not, it's underperforming...(the 17" total was from 7:00AM this morning) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village Here's a webcam from where I'll be staying in May - so far, about 30" has fallen with another 20" expected. Believe it or not, it's underperforming... That is stinking awesome!!!! Thanks for sharing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village Here's a webcam from where I'll be staying in May - so far, about 30" has fallen with another 20" expected. Believe it or not, it's underperforming... It even rotates to different parts of the Village. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 61 now. A 5-7 more than I was expecting today. 57 here - looks like that will be the high, which was exactly what was forecast. Bubbler turns from the summer cool dude to the offseason heat miser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Just now, paweather said: It even rotates to different parts of the Village. If you go to the Mammoth website, there are quite a few cams - and you have the ability to take control and rotate them yourself. (when someone else isn't) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: If you go to the Mammoth website, there are quite a few cams - and you have the ability to take control and rotate them yourself. (when someone else isn't) Awe very cool I'll have to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 8, 2022 Author Share Posted November 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 57 here - looks like that will be the high, which was exactly what was forecast. Bubbler turns from the summer cool dude to the offseason heat miser. CXY is our heat miser sitting at 62. LOL. Wundermap does show more upper 50's vs low 60's. I would guess 3/4 of the readings are below 60. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Awe very cool I'll have to do that. Funny thing is, they literally got a brand newly designed web page yesterday, I did not verify that you can take control of the cams on the new site. I'm on this website about 300 days a year. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Funny thing is, they literally got a brand newly designed web page yesterday, I did not verify that you can take control of the cams on the new site. I'm on this website about 300 days a year. LOL No worries at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, paweather said: That is stinking awesome!!!! Thanks for sharing. Check out the summit cam at 11,053' - that's what 4-5"/hour snow looks like with 50mph winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Check out the summit cam at 11,053' - that's what 4-5"/hour snow looks like with 50mph winds. Will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 57 here - looks like that will be the high, which was exactly what was forecast. Bubbler turns from the summer cool dude to the offseason heat miser. My station got up to 60F.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Check out the summit cam at 11,053' - that's what 4-5"/hour snow looks like with 50mph winds. Yep, crazy.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 8, 2022 Author Share Posted November 8, 2022 18Z GFS Nicole precip with a chance of a little wet snow in the highlighted area (Sunday AM). Also on board with the midnight 70's Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 60 for the high today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: 18Z GFS Nicole precip with a chance of a little wet snow in the highlighted area (Sunday AM). Also on board with the midnight 70's Friday night. Please move that area about 30 miles south east! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 The 18z GFS is still trying to get a Winter storm brewing late next week. This is a period of interest, but mostly a miss to the south this run for CTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said: 60 for the high today. Surprisingly warm for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 14 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Please move that area about 30 miles south east! LOL. What is the saying....at least were in the game or something like that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 @Itstrainingtime Flyers could be for real. What a win. Now time for a winter storm next week @Blizzard of 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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