pasnownut Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 16 minutes ago, pawatch said: It’s irritating all this cold air in the mornings. it’s 18 degrees this morning. And we’re looking at rain coming up. No cold air to be found. 22 for me this AM. Forecast was 28, so we can go lower than expected once in a while. Yeah, like I suggested for a little while now, this weekends event is still being sorted out. Yesterday I almost posted about the possibility of this storm ending up in CHI...and if you look at 6z...well there you go. WAY west. Thought -AO might help to suppress a bit, but NAO is heading + so that might be the more dominant feature helping to let this thing lift and not stay under us. Again, just my hunches at to whats driving the pattern and how the models respond. As always (and already alluded to), the long range looks better...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 28 minutes ago, Voyager said: Front end thump, then a mixed bag of slop? Front end "snow" vs. Dump. 2-3" with temps in the 30's. But it is the only game in town for the LSV area over the next 15 days (as progged now.) Outside back and forth model perturbations, there is no real cold air to grasp on over the next couple weeks. Seems a fairly mild period with some bouts of well AN are possible. If not for some help from the Atlantic, we would be really frying. End of the Euro/EPS/GFS (240+)/GEFS (240+) all show some signs of real cold entering the US again, so targeting the second week of Dec for winter to return. My AC unit has NOT been covered yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: 22 for me this AM. Forecast was 28, so we can go lower than expected once in a while. Yeah, like I suggested for a little while now, this weekends event is still being sorted out. Yesterday I almost posted about the possibility of this storm ending up in CHI...and if you look at 6z...well there you go. WAY west. Thought -AO might help to suppress a bit, but NAO is heading + so that might be the more dominant feature helping to let this thing lift and not stay under us. Again, just my hunches at to whats driving the pattern and how the models respond. As always (and already alluded to), the long range looks better...... Cold air was always too far north for this one anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 Forecast low was 28, my low this morning was 24. Nice to see the temp drop lower than forecast. Doesn't happen often. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 16 hours ago, paweather said: This stinks after last week. We had to go through much of Nov warm now starting in December. Yuck. Get the shorts out. LOL 16 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: AKA, every morning in Maytown. Just saw this! I own 2 pairs of pants - nice ones for the office, a pair of jeans for date nights with my wife. Outside of that it is shorts 24/7/365. I'm fine outside in shorts when we walk until the temp gets down close to zero. We walked 5 miles early Sunday morning and it felt amazing out there in shorts. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 24 was my low - and this might sound weird but it didn't feel cold to me at all at 7:30 am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Superstorm said: Cold air was always too far north for this one anyway. Yeah but for a couple runs the storm was taking on a stacked look and when it got close, the 700's were close to diving in on the back side. I shared a couple pics to show that, so that ya'll didnt think I was nuts or anything Verbatim it was a coulple ticks away from something salvagable for parts of our area. Obviously that changed, and still is changing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 Just saw this! I own 2 pairs of pants - nice ones for the office, a pair of jeans for date nights with my wife. Outside of that it is shorts 24/7/365. I'm fine outside in shorts when we walk until the temp gets down close to zero. We walked 5 miles early Sunday morning and it felt amazing out there in shorts. Senator-elect Fetterman? Is that you?Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: Senator-elect Fetterman? Is that you? Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk The Senate is going to to start allowing hoodies. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 I swapped shorts all time to shorts above 60, sweats under 60 when I turned 35. I just can't do the cold like I used to. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Senator-elect Fetterman? Is that you? Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk I knowingly laugh every time i see him - kindred spirits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: The Senate is going to to start allowing hoodies. LOL Hoodies and shorts...I'm getting ready to change the office dress code here. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 Already up to 40 here....50's in sight today. Tomorrow is the annual Turkey Bowl tennis match, and I will enjoy the 50's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 Turkey Bowl Tennis Match? You just made America cry. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: Turkey Bowl Tennis Match? You just made America cry. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk LOL, The football game is Thursday. Tennis is a warmup. Only need two to play tennis on a workday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 I think you two are the last Americans to play tennis since Andre Agassi. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 9 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I think you two are the last Americans to play tennis since Andre Agassi. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk You should check out the local tennis and pickleball courts. It is cool again, especially pickleball. 20 somethings playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 You should check out the local tennis and pickleball courts. It is cool again, especially pickleball. 20 somethings playing. I have seen tennis courts converted to pickle ball courts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 26 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I have seen tennis courts converted to pickle ball courts. . Yea, we have one here at the main Waynesboro park and it is a hassle to play. Even if you get lucky and get the court, people will stand there and stare at you hoping to pressure you off. You can also lower the tennis ball net and use the serve lines on a full tennis court. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 30 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I have seen tennis courts converted to pickle ball courts. . 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, we have one here at the main Waynesboro park and it is a hassle to play. Even if you get lucky and get the court, people will stand there and stare at you hoping to pressure you off. You can also lower the tennis ball net and use the serve lines on a full tennis court. Pickelball is so cool that a potential NFL Hall of Famer is playing: https://www.wtae.com/article/local-woman-unknowingly-plays-pickleball-with-tj-watt-alex-highsmith-and-minkah-fitzpatrick/40272471# 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Pickelball is so cool that a potential NFL Hall of Famer is playing: https://www.wtae.com/article/local-woman-unknowingly-plays-pickleball-with-tj-watt-alex-highsmith-and-minkah-fitzpatrick/40272471# That is pretty cool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 57 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I have seen tennis courts converted to pickle ball courts. . I cant think of any local public tennis courts that havent been converted. My wife/fam grew up playing tennis (had their own court as well), and she just played pickleball w/ her mom and brother and said she really enjoyed it. I also grew up playin tennis, so I hope to try pickleball next year. Gotta keep movin to stay young....or feel less old. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 Like I've been sayin, this isnt done showing its hands....yet. 6z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 and IF 12z GFS has a clue, 2m temps show one day in the 50's as we turn the calendar, but lotsa 40's showing for max temps. Sounds kinda normal and I'm just fine w/ that. Cold press looks looming in wayoutthereville, although I'm not putting much stock in that, as we've got some sorting out to do well before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 12Z GFS has highs in the low to mid 50's (LSV) for most of the next 7 days with 1PM temps being in the upper 40's and low 50's. Slight Above Normal highs and then a spike more AN for a short period. So little cold air on this side of the country right now. Even help from the Atlantic would be limited. Rain wise Sat night and Sun look wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 Piping hot nooners. 48 and Mostly Sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 and to further support my statements about this weekend, loop through the GFS/GEPS/GEFS 500 maps over the last 2 days. Just a tad bit of change...inside 5 days 12z seems to fit the pattern a bit better. Of course that doesnt correlate to a win w/ snow, but at least the maps look a little more like they should IMO. These are my takes (and not from another forum or source), so take it with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 CXY currently at a mild 54 at 1PM. GFS had them at 49. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 KMDT current 46 and forecast is 51. looks on track https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=40.19597500000003&lon=-76.73252999999994#.Y30MVb3MK70 Isnt this fun (or juvenile) everyone..... Ok I've gotta get back to work, so the troll can play for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 52 and sunny at 1pm. Beautiful day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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