paweather Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 5:56 PM, pasnownut said: KMDT current 46 and forecast is 51. looks on track https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=40.19597500000003&lon=-76.73252999999994#.Y30MVb3MK70 Isnt this fun (or juvenile) everyone..... Ok I've gotta get back to work, so the troll can play for a while. Expand paweather troll is alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:12 PM, paweather said: paweather troll is alive. Expand I'm glad to hear it. Youre just fine pal. Sorry you all have to put up with the nonsense.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:17 PM, pasnownut said: I'm glad to hear it. Youre just fine pal. Sorry you all have to put up with the nonsense.... Expand Hahaha no nonsense I was just kidding I like your analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 GFS still signaling the second week of December is when the BN temps can get back to us...would be great to have a cold second half of Dec. And @paweather something to at least look at. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 MDT took a big jump to 52 a few minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:19 PM, paweather said: Hahaha no nonsense I was just kidding I like your analysis. Expand lol and thanks. And thats all it is...analysis on a disco board, that many of us like to chirp our thoughts on things...wright or wrong, but ya know...there's one knowitall on every forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:29 PM, canderson said: MDT took a big jump to 52 a few minutes ago. Expand yeah, just looked and etwown joined in the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:29 PM, canderson said: MDT took a big jump to 52 a few minutes ago. Expand They are actually at 54 when I last looked. A bit surprised they are so warm as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:28 PM, Bubbler86 said: GFS still signaling the second week of December is what the BN temps can get back to us...would be great to have a cold second half of Dec. And @paweather something to at least look at. LOL. Expand Yep thanks for checking it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:31 PM, Bubbler86 said: They are actually at 54 when I last looked. A bit surprised they are so warm as well. Expand Already up to 55 here at the work station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:34 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Already up to 55 here at the work station. Expand Weird. A model bust low this AM and now the reverse bust with the highs. Not even the HRRR has hourly plots of 54 and 55. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:39 PM, Bubbler86 said: Weird. A model bust low this AM and now the reverse bust with the highs. Not even the HRRR has hourly plots of 54 and 55. Expand Wind sock up top is blowing (lightly) from south to north - combine that with full sun and very low humidity and it's a recipe for large temp swings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:46 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Wind sock up top is blowing (lightly) from south to north - combine that with full sun and very low humidity and it's a recipe for large temp swings. Expand Yea, sometimes I get stuck in the models not being wrong. I usually do not apply the 3-5 rule to the HRRR since it is hourly. Maybe the temps level off now and do not go much higher and the model timing was just off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 Only 372 hours away lock it in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 At 2:00pm it's a glorious 52.9 degrees with clear skies and winds of 5-10mph. Humidity very dry at 27% and a dew point of 19.8 degrees. Feels great after a low this morning of 19.9 degrees. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 6:56 PM, CarlislePaWx said: At 2:00pm it's a glorious 52.9 degrees with clear skies and winds of 5-10mph. Humidity very dry at 27% and a dew point of 19.8 degrees. Feels great after a low this morning of 19.9 degrees. Expand Humidity is down to 24% at home, dew is also 19. Current temp is 55.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 7:20 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Humidity is down to 24% at home, dew is also 19. Current temp is 55.3 Expand 53 here in the Western 'Ville. I think the central LSV is going to beat me today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 52 sunny and beautiful. Do the Sixers have enough players to play tonight. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 7:32 PM, paweather said: 52 sunny and beautiful. Do the Sixers have enough players to play tonight. LOL. Expand It's Tobias time! Cannot let Big Ben East win in Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 7:34 PM, Bubbler86 said: It's Tobias time! Cannot let Big Ben East win in Philly. Expand Let's hope Ben is licking his chops with no Embiid, Maxey etc, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 7:20 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Humidity is down to 24% at home, dew is also 19. Current temp is 55.3 Expand One of your neighbors is threatening to get 60! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 7:37 PM, Bubbler86 said: One of your neighbors is threatening to get 60! Expand Quick check at home, work, and a couple of contacts all reporting temps in the 55-57 range currently. Temps have leveled over the past hour. Still well above forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 7:47 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Quick check at home, work, and a couple of contacts all reporting temps in the 55-57 range currently. Temps have leveled over the past hour. Still well above forecast. Expand Oh, I was not suggesting you should be 60. His/her temp may be getting effected by different factors. They actually made it. But yea zones were 7-10 too low for the warmer spots today. MU's forecast was more spot on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 55 at 4pm. High for the day in Maytown was 56. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 48 sun going down another day in the books Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 9:29 PM, paweather said: 48 sun going down another day in the books Expand Now some Tobias v. Big Ben action. Hey, I just checked the MA LR thread and folks are seeming quite happy once we get a bit into Dec. Teleconnections are not my thing as there is a lot of guess work but it's a better vibe and look once we get past the next couple weeks. Let's hope the reality of LR models becomes fact to set up a White Dec. It may soon be @Blizzard of 93 time to show some real threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 Home station made it to 57.6F after a low of 25F.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22, 2022 Author Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 9:51 PM, Superstorm said: Home station made it to 57.6F after a low of 25F. . Expand Impressive. Might see some 60's tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 52 for the high today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 On 11/22/2022 at 9:33 PM, Bubbler86 said: Now some Tobias v. Big Ben action. Hey, I just checked the MA LR thread and folks are seeming quite happy once we get a bit into Dec. Teleconnections are not my thing as there is a lot of guess work but it's a better vibe and look once we get past the next couple weeks. Let's hope the reality of LR models becomes fact to set up a White Dec. It may soon be @Blizzard of 93 time to show some real threats. Expand Can’t wait!! Let’s make it happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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