paweather Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I’m on it… give me a few…Lol! Do it Blizz I saw it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Do it Blizz I saw it! I have it on screen but it wouldnt feel right to steal his "thunder". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Do it Blizz I saw it! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 This is one crazy slow moving storm as depicted on this 12z GFS run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Still going as the low slams to a crawl in eastern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Weather weenie rule reminder...... hug the one that gives you the most snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 That High in Quebec stays parked there for the duration. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This is one crazy slow moving storm as depicted on this 12z GFS run! Miller then extreme tuck and maybe a loop-de-loop before heading east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Still going as the low slams to a crawl in eastern PA. Yeah deform bands showing up as well. rocks NC down through true central. Wowzers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Superstorm 2022! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: That High in Quebec stays parked there for the duration. Thats been a problem of late, and w/ the varying depth of cold, as it's been bouncing around, I'm guessing this will be one of a myriad of solutions....even if its the one most here are rooting for. Need that HP to anchor to keep the wet....white. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: That map royally sucks. No wonder I despise the damn things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 This type of storm would fit the pattern. Look at this beautiful +PNA, -NAO & 50/50 low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That map royally sucks. No wonder I despise the damn things. Lol, the crowd demanded it to be posted! Plenty of time to move this low 50 to 100 miles east! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Thats been a problem of late, and w/ the varying depth of cold, as it's been bouncing around, I'm guessing this will be one of a myriad of solutions....even if its the one most here are rooting for. Need that HP to anchor to keep the wet....white. Yes, long way to go, but the pattern supports a storm in the east. This could be a fun week of tracking as we get ready for Turkey Day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, long way to go, but the pattern supports a storm in the east. This could be a fun week of tracking as we get ready for Turkey Day. If that storm eased east a bit, it would be real bad news for travel and shopping. An east coast storm on Turkey bone weekend. Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This type of storm would fit the pattern. Look at this beautiful +PNA, -NAO & 50/50 low. Nice. That map sure has "the look". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 13 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That map royally sucks. No wonder I despise the damn things. Canderson is counting over a foot, and you are having flooded streets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Canderson is counting over a foot, and you are having flooded streets. Road trip to the Candersons only until 18z says Kaputs. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Canderson is counting over a foot, and you are having flooded streets. Thanks for the reminder. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Canderson is counting over a foot, and you are having flooded streets. I was doing some cleanup in my yard after work yesterday and the amount of water was surprising - I guess the ground had frozen enough the night before that my 1"+ of rain didn't fully saturate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Canadian has the storm but much slower than the GFS, thus allowing the high pressure to position too far east and have maybe an interior ice set up on retreating cold with a primary low heading to the lakes instead of a redeveloping coastal. One thing about the Canadian progged high is it is much stronger (~1048mb). Something is definitely afoot here in this Thanksgiving weekend timeframe. It seems models all have the pressing high that probably eliminates the continuation of whatever moderating trend towards average we have around mid-week next week, and they all currently have some kind of system... So we’ll see if that continues. Funny I just made a post about the whole coastal thing last week, since the popular opinion for this winter is a reduced threat of them. The 12z GFS scenario sort of illustrates the potential I alluded to in that post if we do line things up for a coastal.. especially in the early part of the winter. On 11/10/2022 at 3:26 PM, MAG5035 said: I agree to a point with the reduced Nor’easter threat but SSTs in the Northwest Atlantic are significantly above average (as they have been this time of the year the last however many years it seems). The Nina influence may not be overly conducive to an active southern jet and a train of coastals but if we do get a setup for one, and we usually do a couple times a winter even in less favorable overall patterns.. those +SST’s would figure to be a factor into really winding one up. If we get a fast starting winter on the front end I think this would be the best chance for us to score something like that early since we’re further inland from the coastal plain (that region can be too warm with the +SSTs and a low that tracks too close to the coast in an early season storm). 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 12z GEFS ensemble pattern supports the Op. run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 12z GEFS ensemble pattern supports the Op. run. Blizz I'll put in sick time for you for next week. We need your daytime luck! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 12z GEFS ensemble pattern supports the Op. run. That's definitely a plus and verbatim would argue against a cutter solution, but could support a more progressive solution (which would be ok), even if not as big and wound up like GFS Op suggests. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 That’s a good look. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 25 minutes ago, paweather said: Blizz I'll put in sick time for you for next week. We need your daytime luck! Lol! I’m off next week starting Wednesday until the following Monday! Lots of tracking, Turkey & football! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol! I’m off next week starting Wednesday until the following Monday! Lots of tracking, Turkey & football! The G-men visit the Star. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Could be an ugly time for travel in PA tomorrow afternoon - CTP really playing up the potential for dangerous snow squalls over the much of central PA. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 26 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol! I’m off next week starting Wednesday until the following Monday! Lots of tracking, Turkey & football! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now