Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Most of what I've read so far regarding winter - storms may initially appear on/off the east coast and will trend further west in subsequent model runs. A lot of cutters on the menu. I know that's MU's strong take. A late for Halloween Boooo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: A late for Halloween Boooo! You don't have to read too far down to get the boo news: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: You don't have to read too far down to get the boo news: Nicole defintely following the trend alluded to here but of course it is based on timing of the front vs. large scale upper level issues. Another winter full of La Nina. NAM has Nicole going west of Pitt now though LSV still gets in on the initial slug. I am hearing some clapping from the Pillow area. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Nicole defintely following the trend alluded to here but of course it is based on timing of the front vs. large scale upper level issues. Another winter full of La Nina. NAM has Nicole going west of Pitt now though LSV still gets in on the initial slug. I am hearing some clapping from the Pillow area. Thats making me dizzy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Close W PA gets hammered plenty of time yet. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Close W PA gets hammered plenty of time yet. LOLI'd like to sign for that please. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 29 minutes ago, paweather said: Close W PA gets hammered plenty of time yet. LOL Here is the CMC at the same time. Crazy. Icon has the storm but west of Pitt. Euro has it sliding up the East Coast and tucking but too warm. Interesting to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 Nooners...61 and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 Just for fun, GFS number 2 in the Choo Choo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Nooners...61 and sunny. Really nice day out there - sunny and 61 here as well. Just a few high clouds from Nicole visible on the southern horizon...they should be filling in and thickening as the afternoon progresses. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Just for fun, GFS number 2 in the Choo Choo Yep was just going to post it the next frame it looks like snow maybe tracking ahead for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Really nice day out there - sunny and 61 here as well. Just a few high clouds from Nicole visible on the southern horizon...they should be filling in and thickening as the afternoon progresses. Yea, the other two warm days coming are 1) Wet for Friday and 2) More in the early AM Sat though it still may tickle 60's Saturday afternoon. This could be the nicest outside day we see for some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, the other two warm days coming are 1) Wet for Friday and 2) More in the early AM Sat though it still may tickle 60's Saturday afternoon. This could be the nicest outside day we see for some time. I like nice days in the upper 20-30's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, paweather said: I like nice days in the upper 20-30's Those are nice snow days :-). Do not like to sit outside on those days though. Plus, I am fully taking advantage of being able to keep wearing shorts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 12 minutes ago, paweather said: Yep was just going to post it the next frame it looks like snow maybe tracking ahead for us. I'd use US loosely. Were not in this one buddy, but Atomix/Mag/Paweather areas may be sharing the love in pic form. Like you, I'm just happy to see our N/W pals gettin some early love from above. Money panel says... aint a snowballs chance down here and as trainerboy often suggests....GFS thermal profiles are often a tad overdone w/ cold. Just somethin to ponder while we wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I'd use US loosely. Were not in this one buddy, but Atomix/Mag/Paweather areas may be sharing the love in pic form. Like you, I'm just happy to see our N/W pals gettin some early love from above. Money panel says... aint a snowballs chance down here and as trainerboy often suggests....GFS thermal profiles are often a tad overdone w/ cold. Just somethin to ponder while we wonder. Absolutely pondering this would be a tad early for us but at least we can track and dream about it. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 Up to 66. The UL influence from Nicole is kicking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 Up 4 degrees in the last hour to 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 66 Sunny last Beautiful day for a little while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 67 and clear blue skies at 315 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 5 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: You don't have to read too far down to get the boo news: I think the biggest thing that would concern me for a possible detriment to a average or above average snow is the moisture aspect over temps given the very dry October into first part of November we just had. I’m worried about a longer term below average precip regime persisting. Hopefully, this much needed rainfall tomorrow associated with the significant frontal system pulling Nicole up will be a catalyst to get us into a wetter pattern. Otherwise yea I think we will see the usual Nina issues with perhaps more cutters than we’d like to see and some big temp swings. We tracking at a moderate Nina right now which is forecast to continue that way through at least the first half of the winter so there definitely will be some influence there. What happens with regard to the dominant pattern in the mid-latitudes and Arctic region (NAO/AO/ Pacific, etc) will determine whether we see much of the “colder” or “warmer” La Niña effects (or both). Again, my worry snow wise is having the cold but not the active wet pattern to go with it. I agree to a point with the reduced Nor’easter threat but SSTs in the Northwest Atlantic are significantly above average (as they have been this time of the year the last however many years it seems). The Nina influence may not be overly conducive to an active southern jet and a train of coastals but if we do get a setup for one, and we usually do a couple times a winter even in less favorable overall patterns.. those +SST’s would figure to be a factor into really winding one up. If we get a fast starting winter on the front end I think this would be the best chance for us to score something like that early since we’re further inland from the coastal plain (that region can be too warm with the +SSTs and a low that tracks too close to the coast in an early season storm). 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 13 minutes ago, canderson said: 67 and clear blue skies at 315 Down to 65 here as clouds have overspread. CXY got their 70. They are the new MDT with temps high than surrounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 On 11/2/2022 at 9:39 AM, canderson said: CTP is hiring for a meteorologist. @MAG5035 Thanks for the head’s up on this, I’ve been slowly catching up with being quite busy this fall and not having much time to check in on here. That posting is still open for 4 more days so I’m glad I caught your post today haha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 THV, CXY, BUB all bagged 70 today. LNS just missed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 18Z GFS follows along with other suites and moves the focus back a bit east for Nicle's final qpf totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 I’m going with .8” for MDT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 11, 2022 Author Share Posted November 11, 2022 35 minutes ago, canderson said: I’m going with .8” for MDT I 8ee what you did there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 48 minutes ago, canderson said: I’m going with .8” for MDT 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I 8ee what you did there. I do too...his call might end up being pretty close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 The 76ers are abysmal. Playing an average team who played last night and yet are still getting embarrassed. At least I have nothing financial invested in this team. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 23 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: The 76ers are abysmal. Playing an average team who played last night and yet are still getting embarrassed. At least I have nothing financial invested in this team. They are TERRIBLE!!!! Doc needs to go they all do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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