New England heavy rain event Sept 5/6 2022. Does this end the summer drought?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Radar close to training from S Berks South to Danbury and back by NY border 

SNE will see some greening of the lawns 

[Typhoon Tip]

18 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's very wrong up here.

Did you notice that sudden collapse south of the northern edge up your way. I saw that an hr ago and thought it was just local mt eddy or something but it’s unilaterally along the entire length of the shield …

Maybe that halts? But was that modeled to do that - if it doesn’t stop collapsing we’re done even down here by 2 o 3am

[Spanks45]

12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

No thanks. Send it Brett’s way…he’s hanging on by his last full finger nail. 
 

1.68” for the day so far, intensity picked up the last 30min. Not looking good for dry basements in wct.

1.10" for the day here, thankfully we live on a hill, in the valley. Plus the sandy soil allows for excellent drainage. No basement worries here, at least for now.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

May need to buy that little jack in SW CT. 

Hate to waste the precip jack during the warm season....

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Did you notice that sudden collapse south of the northern edge up your way. I saw that an hr ago and thought it was just local mt eddy or something but it’s unilaterally along the entire length of the shield …

Maybe that halts? But was that modeled to do that - if it doesn’t stop collapsing we’re done even down here by 2 o 3am

It's modeled to bounce back, but I'm not feeling confident about it. We actually have our steadiest -RA that we've had for hours right now.

[powderfreak]

Hammer time is a good indication of a synoptic setup.  SW to NE arcing banding from BGM-UCA-ALB-DDH-CON... with the hammer handle echoes going SSW to NNE and blossoming on an upslope/mesoscale level.

Anytime you see the hammer form its a sign of a strengthening/consolidating event.  Moisture streaming northward and deforming.

[Typhoon Tip]

48 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Yes… correct me if I’m wrong but isn’t there some math and physics that show that as temperature drops the amount of water vapor that can be contained in the atmosphere is reduced? So you could never get 9” of rain in a twelve hour span when temps are that low…

It is true that colder air does not hold as much as warmer air. However George was talking about the giant rains that came out of completely different kinematics that are non- akin entirely to those mechanics associated to snow.

It’s comparing incomparable processes. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

May need to buy that little jack in SW CT. 

Hrrr with a 14” spot by the time I wake up over my back yard lol . Let’s see when we wake up will be a fun or scary night for some… 

[Torch Tiger]

Looks great! Hopefully those heavy 6-14" bands set up for SW CT!

[OceanStWx]

13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Did you notice that sudden collapse south of the northern edge up your way. I saw that an hr ago and thought it was just local mt eddy or something but it’s unilaterally along the entire length of the shield …

Maybe that halts? But was that modeled to do that - if it doesn’t stop collapsing we’re done even down here by 2 o 3am

Trying to figure out what/where that feature might be, the best I can come up with is the 700 mb boundary. RAP forecasts it to sag south like this, but re-establishes itself farther north overnight as WAA really kicks in. It is farther south than even the 00z run had it though.

[WxWatcher007]

I have .25” on the day. I’d be pretty unhappy if that played out. 

[dendrite]

Just now, Torch Tiger said:

Looks great! Hopefully those heavy 6-14" bands set up for SW CT!

Always good to get an early start on the winter seasonal rain totals.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

6 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

1.10" for the day here, thankfully we live on a hill, in the valley. Plus the sandy soil allows for excellent drainage. No basement worries here, at least for now.

Hate to waste the precip jack during the warm season....

My neighbor just finished a regrading project around his house. The Floods from last Aug (Irene?) put 6” down there.   I’ll check with him in the morning how it’s holding up. 

[Typhoon Tip]

14 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Trying to figure out what/where that feature might be, the best I can come up with is the 700 mb boundary. RAP forecasts it to sag south like this, but re-establishes itself farther north overnight as WAA really kicks in. It is farther south than even the 00z run had it though.

Interesting yeah. 

- there’s also an interesting band of enhancement behaving independent of the general motion of rad over NE Mass. I’ve been using COD, … which isn’t very good of course. But it’s been wobbling like a BD boundary.  I checked sfc obs and there’s no obvious indication of a boundary even though it wobbled SW into that position a couple hours ago. 
 

[OceanStWx]

Looks like that convection entering SW CT is slowing down. It's still moving for now, but could stall for a bit between DXR and BDR.

[Typhoon Tip]

Heh. Phew. That should keep the totals down huh

[acoolerclimate]

I’ve had 5.23 inches as of 11:40 pm. North Providence. So weird to see the airport at quite a bit less. It’s not that far south. 

[PowderBeard]

Seeing the pics and reports reminded me of living in RI for March 2010. I doubt anything will ever come close to that flooding event in RI. That was awful. Governor Carcieri calling is a "once in a 500 year event." A week straight of gridlock on major roads and highways because of closed roads, running pumps and shop-vacs for days on end without sleep. That was from two 6"+ events in a week span if I remember correctly.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

1.17" event total as of midnight.

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

My neighbor just finished a regrading project around his house. The Floods from last Aug (Irene?) put 6” down there.   I’ll check with him in the morning how it’s holding up. 

Irene was 2011 I believe.  So I don’t think it was Irene..? But I forget the name too. 

[Sn0waddict]

36 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Irene was 2011 I believe.  So I don’t think it was Irene..? But I forget the name too. 

IDA. Wildest rain event I can recall here personally. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

I’m in that convective rain all I can say is wow! Woke me up 1.5” in 15 minutes over 6” now! Training over me, this is going to be bad in this area. 

[Vinny Findley]

Finished with 7.37" for yesterday and sitting at 1.25 so far for today. 10" looking very likely by the time this rain event ends.

[Vinny Findley]

4 hours ago, PowderBeard said:

Seeing the pics and reports reminded me of living in RI for March 2010. I doubt anything will ever come close to that flooding event in RI. That was awful. Governor Carcieri calling is a "once in a 500 year event." A week straight of gridlock on major roads and highways because of closed roads, running pumps and shop-vacs for days on end without sleep. That was from two 6"+ events in a week span if I remember correctly.  

This is what happened in that event. If we weren't in a drought this current rain event would have been almost as bad!

Beginning with a Feb. 23-24 storm, the National Weather Service registered 4 inches of rainfall on its Warwick rain gauge. Another quarter of an inch fell between March 1-4 and from March 13-15 and March 22-23 the gauge logged another 3.7 and 3.4 inches, respectively. Add to that amount the 8.8 inches of rain that fell between March 29 and April 1, and Rhode Island was soaked by a total of 20.15 inches of rain in just 38 days.

[moneypitmike]

One good thing is that the heavy rains are taking place close to the coast.  If these were taking place inland like Irene the river flooding would impact a much larger area--think of Irene.

 

2.0" here

[fz583]

1.86" in Hopkinton Ma. so far, and rising, expecting around 4" total when said and done. 

[Vinny Findley]

Under a flood warning now. Went by one of the places that typically floods in heavy rain. Was just starting to flood the street when I went by this morning on my way to work. Hard to see puddles in the road. Raining along with construction and barriers damming water. Ride in sucked this morning. Gave myself plenty of time. 

[moneypitmike]

11 minutes ago, fz583 said:

1.86" in Hopkinton Ma. so far, and rising, expecting around 4" total when said and done. 

1.86 since midnight or on the event?

[Damage In Tolland]

1.72”

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

1.72”

AWT

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

1.86 since midnight or on the event?

Drier air working in so might be hard to get a lot more rain.