New England heavy rain event Sept 5/6 2022. Does this end the summer drought?

[OceanStWx]

That's not a bad separation vector on that tornado warned cell. ZDR arc and KDP foot are definitely showing size sorting, and the vector is close to perpendicular (maybe 60ish degrees).

Sign that there is streamwise vorticity (not surprising along the frontal boundary) and should at least maintain for a little bit.

[dendrite]

3k NAM came way north for up here.

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

3k NAM came way north for up here.

found 17.06 max total on weather.cod in southern ct 

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

found 17.06 max total on weather.cod in southern ct 

Insane.  How are the ratios? 

[radarman]

18 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

In Easton for a Labor Day party and just got a tornado emergency.

They issued a tornado emergency for that?  Not throwing shade on the TOR itself but that wording is generally reserved for a huge wedge on video approaching a city.

[Vinny Findley]

6 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

Digital storm totals might be a tad overdone, PWS i am seeing have 4.5-4.7" where 5-5.5" are estimated currently. Of course it depends on PWS accuracy/siting etc.

Regardless, current trends on radar are problematic for this corridor.

I have an Ambient weather 2902 connected to meteobridge. I also set up a few old fashion rain gauges in my back yard to compare against the weather station rain gauge. The weather station is set up without anything around it and level. The weather station was .15 off from the 2 tube rain gauges. The meteobridge allows for correction in the router software. The weather station is now within .01 of the other 2 rain gauges.

[ineedsnow]

12k rains through tomorrow night

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, radarman said:

They issued a tornado emergency for that?  Not throwing shade on the TOR itself but that wording is generally reserved for a huge wedge on video approaching a city.

It was just a regular warning...no tornado emergency 

[HoarfrostHubb]

BOX threw this on social 

[powderfreak]

31 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

This is like classic tropical rain though. Z is mostly moderate across RI right now, ZDR on the lower side (~1-2 db), and KDP around 1 deg/km. Now KDP around 1 or 2 can be either heavy continental rain or heavy tropical rain. The giveaway is ZDR. Large continental drops would be large ZDR (flatter than they are round), but tropical raindrops stay close to 1 or 2 db as they are smaller and more spherical. 

 

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Warm cloud processes ftw.

This is the stuff we come to the forum for.  Both of you with much value added today.  Thanks.

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

BOX threw this on social 

Gotta clown map?

[moneypitmike]

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

 

This is the stuff we come to the forum for.  Both of you with much value added today.  Thanks.

Chris is adding the science haha. I admit I’m a bit rusty on the stuff since I don’t do it on a daily basis. 

[Damage In Tolland]

The one constant on every model. Stein has both cheeks planted squarely on the Cape. So strange how it just doesn’t rain there anymore last couple years 

[dan11295]

5 minutes ago, Vinny Findley said:

I have an Ambient weather 2902 connected to meteobridge. I also set up a few old fashion rain gauges in my back yard to compare against the weather station rain gauge. The weather station is set up without anything around it and level. The weather station was .15 off from the 2 tube rain gauges. The meteobridge allows for correction in the router software. The weather station is now within .01 of the other 2 rain gauges.

Current estimate is ~5" in your area. So i would knock 20% off those radar estimates

[HoarfrostHubb]

The tornado warning has been dropped

[Vinny Findley]

Up to 4.41" Right on the southern edge of the training right now. Just when I think it's letting up it gets heavy again. Light rain right now. 3 hours of heavy rain.

[Damage In Tolland]

Ginx will get 6-8” at least 

 

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Ginx will get 6-8” at least 

 

 

At least he won't flood. 

[OceanStWx]

1 minute ago, Vinny Findley said:

Up to 4.41" Right on the southern edge of the training right now. Just when I think it's letting up it gets heavy again. Light rain right now. 3 hours of heavy rain.

The boundary is sitting just north of the Kent County border, and I don't see much reason why the rains won't continue there given the cells feeding into it from the southwest. 

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Gotta clown map?

Not for this storm but I'll take the 962mb 12z EPS member that goes into SNE 

I do wonder though if today's storm will have some influence on that storms track.. seems like it might

[OceanStWx]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Chris is adding the science haha. I admit I’m a bit rusty on the stuff since I don’t do it on a daily basis. 

This is as close as I get to nude at work.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

This is as close as I get to nude at work.

I mean as much as I enjoy extreme events, water scares me. It ruins everything. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I mean as much as I enjoy extreme events, water scares me. It ruins everything. 

Luckily your area doesn’t flood 

[Vinny Findley]

8 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

Current estimate is ~5" in your area. So i would knock 20% off those radar estimates

Sounds about right. I'm at 4.48 right now.

[Vinny Findley]

6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

The boundary is sitting just north of the Kent County border, and I don't see much reason why the rains won't continue there given the cells feeding into it from the southwest. 

Looking back into CT I'm getting really concerned if we get a repeat of what we just had over night. I'm up high so no problem for me but Where I have to drive through to get to work tomorrow morning isn't going to be fun unless I take the long route which is about 17 miles longer. Another 4 to 5 inches on top of what we already had and I will take the longer route.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Took a nap and woke up and that same area is getting pounded. Dumbfounded that we managed to miss that here. Up to .80 in the scraps 

[Ginx snewx]

2.33 

[metagraphica]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Ginx will get 6-8” at least 

 

Still getting Steined so far down here.  .05" from a 3 minute extra heavy shower around 1:30ish, but nothing since then.

Warm and moist.  78/74 IMBY.  Lot's of rumbles of thunder from the storms just to the north.  Hopefully they sink south as the day progresses.

 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

Still getting Steined so far down here.  .05" from a 3 minute extra heavy shower around 1:30ish, but nothing since then.

Warm and moist.  78/74 IMBY.  Lot's of rumbles of thunder from the storms just to the north.  Hopefully they sink south as the day progresses.

 

You are going to be close to ground zero there I think. Boundary will stall over or just south of you