strongwxnc Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Good luck boys!!! Nothing but pain down here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 You know whats crazy is Asheville is in the Winter Weather Advisory and also the Winter Storm Warning and you go look at the hourly its all rain. I'm confused on all this. Guess they're not really sure what it's going to do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 5 minutes ago, Tacoma said: You know whats crazy is Asheville is in the Winter Weather Advisory and also the Winter Storm Warning and you go look at the hourly its all rain. I'm confused on all this. Guess they're not really sure what it's going to do The issuances are really for 3500ft and up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 1 minute ago, eyewall said: The issuances are really for 3500ft and up. That's what I was thinking as well but when it list the cities it has Asheville , Candler and everyone around close to Asheville, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 That's what I was thinking as well but when it list the cities it has Asheville , Candler and everyone around close to Asheville, That's just automated when they generate the warning. The system automatically includes any cities within the warning area (in this case the county) without regard for elevation. Can't really do what they do in upstate SC and issue only half the county because the higher elevations are scattered around everywhere and not just in one section.It's a super common problem with FFC and the northern Georgia counties too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 GSP does have communication problems..However this morning they put out one of the better maps I have ever seen. It was a warning/advisory map and showed specific areas in each county and the product they were under 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Guess it will be a win if a few flakes fly tomorrow here 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 NWS forecast for Asheville that I am looking at is almost all rain which I think is correct. Good luck to the mountain peeps with elevation! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Don't look now but the NAM came in a little better with the deform band for SWNC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Don't look now but the NAM came in a little better with the deform band for SWNC Unfortunately the HiRes Nam and FV3 did not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Guess it will be a win if a few flakes fly tomorrow hereSame. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Well, it was fun to track at least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Sorry y’all. I made a lot of “never will I ask for ____” again prayers in exchange for the Dec 2018 storm. My bad. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 12z GFS - Posting the 10:1 for fun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 12z GFS - Posting the 10:1 for fun. Someone in Rutherford county is getting in on the action… . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 9 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: Someone in Rutherford county is getting in on the action… . Also about the third day in a row of multiple models hinting at a jackpot zone around Burke/Catawba counties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Still a dry slot showing up on the 12z models for the southern mtns. Amazing we can have 80-100" of rain fall almost every year, but it's a struggle for 1" of that to fall as snow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Who knows if we have enough time to trend far enough but all guidance has ticked back south and east this morning. If it goes far enough that deform band will have a much better angle of approach into the area. Things are bleak, but I'm gonna stay hopeful for a surprise given that the dynamics are at least in place to produce one. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 3 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Who knows if we have enough time to trend far enough but all guidance has ticked back south and east this morning. If it goes far enough that deform band will have a much better angle of approach into the area. Things are bleak, but I'm gonna stay hopeful for a surprise given that the dynamics are at least in place to produce one. Hopefully it shifts south about 100 miles. March 09 did that at the last minute and became vertically stacked as it ran up 85 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 12z gfs snowfall map. This run was a bit of improvement. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 24 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Still a dry slot showing up on the 12z models for the southern mtns. Amazing we can have 80-100" of rain fall almost every year, but it's a struggle for 1" of that to fall as snow Models seem to struggle with deform bands / dry slots. So who knows we definitely still have a chance for a 2-4” event to happen down this way. With that being said it’s probably dead right and will be lucky to get a dusting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 10 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said: Models seem to struggle with deform bands / dry slots. So who knows we definitely still have a chance for a 2-4” event to happen down this way. With that being said it’s probably dead right and will be lucky to get a dusting. As we pickup 5 plus inches of rain over the next week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 The saddest part of this is it's so close to being a massive snowstorm. Bigger than last years. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 6 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The saddest part of this is it's so close to being a massive snowstorm. Bigger than last years. Yep even normal winter temps and this is a huge winter storm with a potentiay great ULL track to add more on the backside. What could've been.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 26 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: As we pickup 5 plus inches of rain over the next week Rain comes easy in these parts, snow not so much. What part of the county are you in? I’m in the upper part of Cowee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 One positive thing I saw last night and this morning was we went from 66 to 31 this morning all under cloudy skies. So it can be done with the right thermals. We will see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 12z EURO. This one hurts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 Northern mtns looking better now. Maybe 6 inches for Beech 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 25 minutes ago, BretWx said: 12z EURO. This one hurts! This is a big improvement from the 00z suite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 11, 2023 Share Posted February 11, 2023 12z EPS mean ticked up. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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