MotoWeatherman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 41 minutes ago, Buckethead said: The only caveat I see is the flow is more westerly this time. My area doesn't do as well typically in that setup. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk I could see that. It will be interesting to see how isolated to the far northern mountains this turns out to be. I still feel good about Beech Mtn. but less and less so the further south you go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 37 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said: The mountain wave has arrived. Winds are increasing dramatically the past 15 minutes and gusts approaching 60 MPH are possible even in the Valley. On a personal note, my 88 year old Mom survived the EF-3 Tornado that impacted SE Texas yesterday afternoon by getting in her bath tub just before it struck her apartment complex in Deer Park, TX. I am forever grateful for my friends and former colleagues at NWS HGX and the Houston media who got the message out ahead of time and throughout the day yesterday. So far, there has not been any deaths or significant injuries associated with the Tornado. Great news! I bet that was freaking scary as crap. Thank gosh for bathtubs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 The only caveat I see is the flow is more westerly this time. My area doesn't do as well typically in that setup. Sent from my SM-S908U using TapatalkI like a more westerly flow here at the house. We tend to get down sloped a little bit less for some reason. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 I like a more westerly flow here at the house. We tend to get down sloped a little bit less for some reason. Well here's hoping that you get it instead of me this time buddy!Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 28 with moderate snow in Wolf. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, Buckethead said: 28 with moderate snow in Wolf. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 31.9 here on Beech with light snow. Here's to the GSP forecast busting...hopefully! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 31.9 here on Beech with light snow. Here's to the GSP forecast busting...hopefully!We have a dusting on raised surfaces already and it's beginning to stick to the ground. That didn't take long at all...and this is supposed to go through tomorrow. We just might bust the forecast, which was less than an inch here. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Let the fun begin. Lower Cam-223801-223806.mp4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Remote Day learning for Mitchell County Schools...dusting up to 1" from Bakersville northward 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 An inch so far on Beech. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 We have a little less than that in Wolf. The forecast may hold after all!Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 An inch so far on Beech. Looks like you have another inch inbound.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Another dusting here. I think that makes 5 or 6 snows of less than an inch this season.I think I had more accumulation of limbs and sticks overnight. The difference in wind here at the house with W vs NW is wild. Not nearly as protected with W as NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Still snowing. And still right at an inch. Nice call, GSP. Being conservative worked out great with this one.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Had a skiff of snow this morning with temps in the 30s all day. The forcing with this was never really there. Will be waiting for more rain this Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Temp down to 24 already. Going to be mighty cold tonight. Also the gefs looks good from the 2nd on. Seems like we aren't punting this little chance for some winter weather currently... Am I optimistic? No. Am I pessimistic? No. I'm watching and waiting... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 At the current state we are looking at a ton of rainfall and not a snowstorm or any winter weather storm. We will see a glancing blow of cold air and that's it. The ensembles look meh and the operational models don't give any hope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 Yesterday, a buddy and I hiked from Brown Gap north on the AT to Max Patch. It was a beautiful clear day. Snow the day before had come down to about 3300. Brown Gap is at 3500 and Max Patch is at 4600. Thus, we hiked in about an inch of snow the entire way - just under 7.5 miles round trip. I love being the first on a trail after a snowfall, so that my tracks are the first made (other than the many animal signs we saw).When we got to Max Patch summit, we had it completely to ourselves. 360 views under clear skies. Beautiful views of the snow line on the Black Mountain Range to the NE, Mt LeConte to the SW, and Roan Highland balds way in the distance to the N. According to my Kestrel, the temperature at the summit was 24 F, the max wind gust I recorded was 21 mph, and the average wind speed was a stiff 12 mph producing a wind chill frequently in the single digits. Fortunately, we were dressed for the elements, and the sun made it very pleasant (as long as you kept your back to the wind). And, that part of the AT is quite sheltered, other than when on the summit.I love a good winter hike!(These are some lower-res uploads from Tapatalk. Not that great, but you will get the idea.) 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 Would be nice to see some ensemble support for that Miller A on the GFS starting around 180 hours out. Verbatim that's a wet snow paste bomb all the way up the mountain chain. Soundings even for here showed all snow between 31-33 degrees throughout. CMC has the same exact storm just warmer, showing ice to rain, to backside snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 While west and middle Tennessee get a winter event our outlook is possible flooding with so much rain coming in. I have zero faith in any winter weather the first week of February at this point. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 While west and middle Tennessee get a winter event our outlook is possible flooding with so much rain coming in. I have zero faith in any winter weather the first week of February at this point. Yeah, my forecast has a 90% chance of soft mud for the foreseeable future.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 I officially have more rain in the month of January at my location than inches of snow over the past 3 years. edit: forgot the upper level low in Feb 2021 that brought me a few surprise inches but still pretty close 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 We have the NAM, NAM 3km, RDPS, Canadian, & GFS all showing snow showers to a good portion of WNC late Thursday night and into Friday. This looks like it could actually happen. Might sneak up on us! Sounds look pretty good though from most models, Nam and NAM 3km even showing some accumulation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 18 minutes ago, Hvward said: We have the NAM, NAM 3km, RDPS, Canadian, & GFS all showing snow showers to a good portion of WNC late Thursday night and into Friday. This looks like it could actually happen. Might sneak up on us! Sounds look pretty good though from most models, Nam and NAM 3km even showing some accumulation. Was just looking at this very thing. Looks promising at a very close range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Spring peeper frogs are singing here. Earliest I can remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 The gfsSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 The NAMSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 The Canadian Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Spring peeper frogs are singing here. Earliest I can remember Just saw where this January was the 6th warmest in record in Asheville... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 6 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Just saw where this January was the 6th warmest in record in Asheville... I have been hearing the peepers here in late February the past few years but never January. If we didn't get the cold spell back a few weeks ago that gave you snow, I bet this would be a top 3 warm January. Now that the models are generally forecasting a very warm February, maybe we can reverse the mojo for all the long range cold that never happened. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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