Met1985 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 May have spoken too soon but still an odd solution. The main low swings up right over the top of us into Canada and just stalls out or gets absorbed into the energy coming down from the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 13 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Really weird solution with the gfs. This is going to cut our totals way back for NW flow snow. Looks like a fair amount more northwest flow to me. Around 16 inches at Roan this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 Yep spoke too soon. My bad. This is a dang great run for the border counties. Totals are upped a bit more than the 12z. With the trough sharpening more and digging it throws more moisture right into the mountains for about 30 plus hours. A great look from the gfs for us. I really hope we get hammered. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 1 minute ago, chris21 said: Looks like a fair amount more northwest flow to me. Around 16 inches at Roan this run. Yeah I spoke too soon. My fault. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 Yep spoke too soon. My bad. This is a dang great run for the border counties. Totals are upped a bit more than the 12z. With the trough sharpening more and digging it throws more moisture right into the mountains for about 30 plus hours. A great look from the gfs for us. I really hope we get hammered. Best gfs run yet for the border imo! Up to 14" here.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Buckethead said: Best gfs run yet for the border imo! Up to 14" here. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Yeah the trough sharpening really helped up totals. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 I guess until you get up into the high elevations of Maryland and North Carolina this region is not a good place to sit and wish for snow. It never snows at all where I am. But I do look forward to spring. The sun is already going down 20 minutes later than it did in early December. I look forward to Mid February because my belief is that that is when it starts becoming spring like warm in the southeast especially below 1000 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 3 hours ago, Met1985 said: I mean I understand people's frustration but it's January the 8th and people are acting like it's the end of the damn world. It's freaking weather. If you cannot keep your shit together then don't post.... Are you directing that post at me???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 6 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Are you directing that post at me???? No not at all but there is a lot of meltdowns this weekend and people canceling winter already when we are just in the first of January. Seems like we go through this same song and dance every damn year even though most people's average snowfall is minimal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 3 hours ago, Met1985 said: No not at all but there is a lot of meltdowns this weekend and people canceling winter already when we are just in the first of January. Seems like we go through this same song and dance every damn year even though most people's average snowfall is minimal. That’s what makes me chuckle and shake my head somewhat, if anyone should be complaining about this winter to date it’s us mountain, and to a lesser extent, foothill folks, especially above 3000’ in the border counties. Beech and sugar are something like 40” behind average right now, we haven’t even had a legit “region wide” flow snow yet and the SW mountains have barely had anything. Looking objectively, we had cold sooner this season (October, November and December all had spells) as it took until this week last year to have any real cold temps looking back at my data from my weather station and the only region wide decent synoptic storm that wasn’t flow snow related didn’t occur until MLK weekend. Historically it’s been eh the past few years but this year is at least off to a better start compared to last year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 16 minutes ago, WxKnurd said: That’s what makes me chuckle and shake my head somewhat, if anyone should be complaining about this winter to date it’s us mountain, and to a lesser extent, foothill folks, especially above 3000’ in the border counties. Beech and sugar are something like 40” behind average right now, we haven’t even had a legit “region wide” flow snow yet and the SW mountains have barely had anything. Looking objectively, we had cold sooner this season (October, November and December all had spells) as it took until this week last year to have any real cold temps looking back at my data from my weather station and the only region wide decent synoptic storm that wasn’t flow snow related didn’t occur until MLK weekend. Historically it’s been eh the past few years but this year is at least off to a better start compared to last year. Could not have put it any better. My exact thoughts about this year so far. Besides minimal snow I give this cold season a B so far because of the colder Fall and extreme temps we just had. Very well put. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Ill be short and sweet. 00z gfs looks great for the border counties still. Everyone have a wonderful night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Overnight suites still look very good. The euro was much more robust with the northern vort coming down so the totals were upped a good bit more and much more colder. We are 4 days out and this is exactly what we want to see from the euro. The cmc still looks like a nice hit for the mountains. The gfs still looks good. Back off of totals a bit but still a strong signal there and that's about all you can ask for from that model. Also all three of the big three ensembles look great for a pattern change around the 20th. The eps and cmc looks great. The gfs is getting there but we know it's a broken model currently.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Flurries and 26 this morning at 3100' in Wolf.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Getting some flurries here at the house. Cute little snow pellets.Had some road issues around the county this morning from what I read. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 That’s what makes me chuckle and shake my head somewhat, if anyone should be complaining about this winter to date it’s us mountain, and to a lesser extent, foothill folks, especially above 3000’ in the border counties. Beech and sugar are something like 40” behind average right now, we haven’t even had a legit “region wide” flow snow yet and the SW mountains have barely had anything. Looking objectively, we had cold sooner this season (October, November and December all had spells) as it took until this week last year to have any real cold temps looking back at my data from my weather station and the only region wide decent synoptic storm that wasn’t flow snow related didn’t occur until MLK weekend. Historically it’s been eh the past few years but this year is at least off to a better start compared to last year.Good point! Over the 5 previous seasons, my average snowfall total to date is 21.5" and we've received 6.5" thus far. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Great runs by the cmc and the gfs on the 12z suites. Steady she goes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Great runs by the cmc and the gfs on the 12z suites. Steady she goes. That's what I like to see as we approach short range. Looks like a weekend full of tourists in 2wd vehicles getting stuck up here is on the way. Time to print out the towing info flyers!Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Glad you all are gonna cash in some. It's about time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Glad you all are gonna cash in some. It's about time. I'd send it on down the mountain if I could!Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 The mountains are about to feast. I may make the trek from the hills to see it. An afternoon walk on the parkway may be calling on Saturday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 28 minutes ago, BooneWX said: The mountains are about to feast. I may make the trek from the hills to see it. An afternoon walk on the parkway may be calling on Saturday. Yea Saturday is definitely looking like a visit Roan Mtn type of day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Had a low of 25 just after sundown, currently I'm experiencing my high temperature for the day, 34.2. That's an impressive inversion!Gotta love mountain weather!Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, Buckethead said: Had a low of 25 just after sundown, currently I'm experiencing my high temperature for the day, 34.2. That's an impressive inversion! Gotta love mountain weather! Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Im down to 27 currently. It's been a very slow drop from sunset to now. 33 to 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 30 at my place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Up to 38 now. At this rate I might be in the 50s by morning.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 29 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 GFS not looking good at both 18z and 12z..snow totals going down with our flow snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 25 here. Station about a half mile up the hill in Seven Devils is reporting 36.9What I've always found interesting is the wind right along the top of the inversion. It's very breezy just at the treetops here but calm right on ground level. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Good morning! These inversion events that we have we just kill it in temps. Having elevation and living in a bowl helps a lot with these events. Current temp is 21 degrees. A lot colder than forecasted. Still a strong signal for upslope snow. I'd say anywhere from 2-4 inches to 3-6 in the highest elevations. Also this squall line that will be blowing through could bring some pretty severe weather with it as well. Possibly high winds and some hail and torrential rainfall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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