Buckethead Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 The 0z 3km Nam initialized at 39° for me...5-6° warmer than reality. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 I think im staying up to see this one through. Starting at about 10 degrees colder than the models showed will be a sight. May make a run at negative digits tomorrow morning with a 30 to 40 degree drop by sunrise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Just now, Buckethead said: The 0z 3km Nam initialized at 39° for me...5-6° warmer than reality. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk The models are not handling this anomalous arctic front very well at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Temp just dropped to 33 already for tonight... This might be a fun fun night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said: I debated staying up since tomorrow is a hectic day, but simulated radar suggests moisture arrives a little after 11 and it's mostly snow. I'll be here reporting sipping on adult beverages. There you go! So will I except it might be bailey's and hot chocolate lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 The moisture feed from the gulf looks great and the orientation from the front looks much better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, Met1985 said: The moisture feed from the gulf looks great and the orientation from the front looks much better. We’ve got an overachiever on the way 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Maggie Ace said: Rum and Coke tonight. Bailey's is saved for tomorrow night. Very nice ol sport very nice! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Als23 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Can't recall an afternoon temp below 10. Early 2000s remember it only got to 12 with a few inches snow on the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 1 minute ago, BooneWX said: We’ve got an overachiever on the way I sure think we do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Can't recall an afternoon temp below 10. Early 2000s remember it only got to 12 with a few inches snow on the ground. This will be my first time seeing sub zero.I'm a bit excited about that, although I'm sure that will wear off quick. LolSent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 The latest HRRR is really ramping up the moisture for the mountains especially the snow with the current model run.... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Down to 32.2 and the wind is beginning to roar along the ridgetop above me. Nowcasting time!Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Now I’m wondering if I’m starting to have radar hallucinations. Did runs have that much moisture to our south and west? @Met1985got me hahahaha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 16 minutes ago, Met1985 said: The latest HRRR is really ramping up the moisture for the mountains especially the snow with the current model run.... Yea now that I look I was a little surprised myself. 01z shows a decently healthy band coming through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 I'm fascinated that there isn't even a WWA up here. Widespread black ice at the very least seems pretty likely if not guaranteed. That plus several inches of snow along the border you'd think would prompt one. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 13 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Now I’m wondering if I’m starting to have radar hallucinations. Did runs have that much moisture to our south and west? @Met1985got me hahahaha No this was the issue the further the front marched towards us the drier the system got but we have seen across the whole country the models have been underperforming with the cold and the moisture across the whole country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Also don't know if this got mentioned but Beech is closed the next 2 days.Last year it was too warm for Christmas, this year the opposite. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Just now, Met1985 said: No this was the issue the further the front marched towards us the drier the system got but we have seen across the whole country the models have been underperforming with the cold and the moisture across the whole country. Key to watch is the convective type nature of showers in central AL as to how they progress when the swing takes place. Those hold together that’s where I’ll be very interested. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Hope to see some snow covered landscapes from you all in the morning. I'm sure the wind and cold will be the main attraction here 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Worth noting looking back towards Paris, TN the HRRR has been nearly spot on with the temperature drop.NAM is running a little warm and the GFS and Euro even more so. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 I’ve got rain in downtown Waynesville, 44 on the truck thermometer. 38 at the house in Crabtree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 1 minute ago, WxKnurd said: I’ve got rain in downtown Waynesville, 44 on the truck thermometer. 38 at the house in Crabtree. I can't believe Waynesville is so much warmer than I am. Crazy. Still sitting at 33 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: I can't believe Waynesville is so much warmer than I am. Crazy. Still sitting at 33 degrees. It’s your dang hollar up there, it’s where all the cold goes in Haywood haha. Think we are sitting pretty for a surprise, just hope I get home tonight before it happens! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Just now, WxKnurd said: It’s your dang hollar up there, it’s where all the cold goes in Haywood haha. Think we are sitting pretty for a surprise, just hope I get home tonight before it happens! I know! Same thing Buckethead said lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Temp falling pretty quick down to 34.5 no precip yet.Won't be wasting much on liquid it doesn't appear. This assumes the upper temps catch up. Mesoanalysis has 850s back west of Morristown still. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 32.8 with flurries. The wind is really starting to roar now up top.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 These sw winds are absolutely ripping 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 These sw winds are absolutely ripping Where you at? Pretty calm over here in Foscoe. I live more or less in a hole though just a quarter mile off the Watauga River so we are decently protected from wind. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 41 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: Where you at? Pretty calm over here in Foscoe. I live more or less in a hole though just a quarter mile off the Watauga River so we are decently protected from wind. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk I’m just down the mtn in Burke these days! For some reason it won’t let me make a new profile name. I need to make a new account soon and start from scratch since it’ll likely be years before I have a high elevation place again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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