Tyler Penland Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 I've actually got some flurries right now. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 I've actually got some flurries right now. Sent from my Pixel 5 using TapatalkYeah I'm heading home in piney flats tn and have flurries right now. I'm hoping it's doing this up at the house too. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Euro is super close to frozen precip Wednesday night now with first wave. Has some slop and mix for mountains and even foothills. If we can get a little more CAD it could be a sneaky event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 5 hours ago, Met1985 said: Yeah I think some flurries maybe if that. Ill be moving to Lake Norman next year. It's a piece of paradise. I'm in Cornelius. Love it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Razor thin margin for rain/snow on Tuesday around WNC. We've seen this before. These type setups have been known to produce 1"-2" surprise events for portions of WNC. Short range models should provide a much more clear picture over the next 36 hours. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 6z GFS another small improvement with this little wave on Christmas. It won't be much but could give a lot of the region some light snow on Christmas Day itself.Edit: actually a significant improvement at 500.Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 I’m in Fincastle VA at the foot of the Alleghenies. Close to about 50 miles the way the crow flies from West VA. It’s looking like we can squeeze in a couple of inches. Hoping for some decent CAD to get us to snow quicker Friday. Whatever falls will stick and stay through Christmas. Trying to be a glass half full guy here. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 12z NAM showing over a tenth of an inch QPF wintry mix this run over NE GA. If the 850's could just be colder it'd probably be all snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Dropped to 16 this morning with a very light dusting of powder...just enough to see on the grill cover. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 N9 snow but had a low of 17 this morning. Love when it's cold. Still lots to track fellas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 23 here. Could be some freezing rain or sleet this week. Will be nice to see something wintry falling. Havent even had flurries here all season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Yeah that little system to the south could be sneaky on the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Weather station is showing a low of 20.8 this morning, currently 28.6. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 This run not going to cut it either this weekend. Hell looks like we get storms then a flash freeze. Still a ways to go though. But currently not impressed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Upslope totals are ok but generally have been getting less and less too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 25 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Upslope totals are ok but generally have been getting less and less too I wouldn’t worry about upslope totals on global models, they never project much if any. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Hope this trends drier. I’m absolutely sick of the rain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Euro going to cut way west of us again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Cold rain then a fropa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Not going to happen on the euro. This pattern change has been nice getting back to normal lol. Honestly we will do better in January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 19 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Not going to happen on the euro. This pattern change has been nice getting back to normal lol. Honestly we will do better in January. Modeling aside, I’m with Hunter’s thinking that this Friday system isn’t gonna start to be cemented until Tuesday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 19 minutes ago, WxKnurd said: Modeling aside, I’m with Hunter’s thinking that this Friday system isn’t gonna start to be cemented until Tuesday. And the Sat/Sun system can very very easily trend in our favor as well. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 3 hours ago, Met1985 said: This run not going to cut it either this weekend. Hell looks like we get storms then a flash freeze. Still a ways to go though. But currently not impressed. Nothing worse than rain then flash freeze and bitter cold with no snow. Better to be warm and sunny for Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 hour ago, WxKnurd said: Modeling aside, I’m with Hunter’s thinking that this Friday system isn’t gonna start to be cemented until Tuesday. 20 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Nothing worse than rain then flash freeze and bitter cold with no snow. Better to be warm and sunny for Christmas. Oh yeah im not giving up but all the models have been atrocious with this pattern setup even the damn Euro. It's not the king because in the mid range it was clueless especially on the PAC side. The gfs really has been very consistent the past few days with the euro literature moving lows 700 miles from run to run. We very well may see something pop once we get 2 to 3 days from a system coming through. Seems like the more upgrades the worst the models get... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 The GFS was showing a huge snowstorm. Not the time to brag about it either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 9 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The GFS was showing a huge snowstorm. Not the time to brag about it either. The Euro moved the low from the coast of NE to west of Chicago in one model run... I don't think that any model should really be bragged about but that's my personal opinion. And anyone outside the mountains thinking they are going to get a huge snow being shown 7 days plus out must be smoking some good stuff. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 The eps is showing some very cold air working in here still by next Friday. Likely some of the coldest we have seen in a few years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Also don't look now but the nam is really wanting to do something with the system on the 20th. Giving several mountain counties some frozen precipitation even down into part of the foothills. This is kind of what im talking about sneaky little systems showing up in under 3 days... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Man if that warmth aloft is overdone even in the slightest, this could turn into a really nice snow event all things considered. NAM now showing around a qtr inch or more QPF area wide for Tuesday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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