Met1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Region wide snowfall for a lot of the viewing area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Sit down before you look at the 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 foot+ before the NWF kicks in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 MERRY WHITE CHRISTMAS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: This run is much better for us. Instead of getting the whole tpv coming down on us we get a piece that breaks off and rotates down and at hour 186 and looks to have some energy with it. Yep that's what we need. If the whole thing comes down the upslope area will still do well but piedmont and foothills likely wont 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Nothing more electric than seeing the “hot” tag on the threads in the winter 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Yep that's what we need. If the whole thing comes down the upslope area will still do well but piedmont and foothills likely wont Yep I agree. Really the hell with 0 degree temps. Give me 20 degrees and 6 plus inches of snow. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 I may have spoken too soon about 0 degree temps. The blocking is so strong and the ridge going up in the west the tpv is roling over and rotating back down.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 We’ll know how legit this is soon enough. The true big dogs are hunted a week out and waiver very little. I’ll never forget how the Dec 2018 had those preposterous runs 7-8 days out that we all scoffed at and it didn’t blink once that week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Well in a nutshell we have a very active pattern taking shape across the region. The pattern change is here starting today. As I preached and preached the target date was always the 15th and right on time. Stay steady and look lively but don't get ropped in on any one solution just yet mates. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 We’ll know how legit this is soon enough. The true big dogs are hunted a week out and waiver very little. I’ll never forget how the Dec 2018 had those preposterous runs 7-8 days out that we all scoffed at and it didn’t blink once that week. Exactly! That storm was a surety!Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Well, THAT certainly got my attention, lol. Cue the social media hype... sigh.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 The gfs ens also supports some type of storm or storms and the ens is straight damn cold also. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 A nice hit for the mountains on the euro. The storm is more north but the mountains do a decent job on the snow side. Still a lot of time for positive changes or to lose this altogether. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Eps and Gefs both show a good signal for snow on the 23rd and again on the 26th. Both ensembles have a mean of 2-5” thru the 26th. I’ll take that at this lead way any day of the week. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 GEFS also hinting at snowfall for the Monday night and Tuesday timeframe. The models don't have a total grip on this pattern change, I could see a few sneaky events. Flurries might not stop for a while after they begin in the high elevations sometime Saturday. Fun times ahead, doesn't feel like we have seen a pattern like this in quite some time. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 56 minutes ago, Hvward said: GEFS also hinting at snowfall for the Monday night and Tuesday timeframe. The models don't have a total grip on this pattern change, I could see a few sneaky events. Flurries might not stop for a while after they begin in the high elevations sometime Saturday. Fun times ahead, doesn't feel like we have seen a pattern like this in quite some time. Yes sir! Been preaching this a lot over the past few weeks. Good to see you pop in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Eps looks great with a very nice snow mean to go with some very cold temps. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Mountains hammered again on 18z 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 14 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Mountains hammered again on 18z Also shows a few snow showers Monday night. I’ve not punted that storm just yet could definitely trend to a inch or 2. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Gefs just took a huge jump in precipitation for the Thursday/Friday system. Almost a 1/2” mean. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Pattern looks great for Christmas week! Plenty of chances to score 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Anyone wanna come shovel my deck for me if things come to fruition since I’m recovering from a broken ankle for another 5 weeks? Lol. Was socked in with clouds off and on rising up the mountain til about 2 pm, turned into a pretty day after that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 1 hour ago, WxKnurd said: Anyone wanna come shovel my deck for me if things come to fruition since I’m recovering from a broken ankle for another 5 weeks? Lol. Was socked in with clouds off and on rising up the mountain til about 2 pm, turned into a pretty day after that. Hope you heal up quickly and enjoy the snow if we are lucky enough to get some for Christmas no less. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 1 hour ago, WxKnurd said: Anyone wanna come shovel my deck for me if things come to fruition since I’m recovering from a broken ankle for another 5 weeks? Lol. Was socked in with clouds off and on rising up the mountain til about 2 pm, turned into a pretty day after that. If you have snow when I come back from Charleston the Thursday after Christmas ill come help. Just let me know. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Yeah today was the warmest day of the week. Had a high of 56 and a current temp of 32 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 17 minutes ago, Met1985 said: If you have snow when I come back from Charleston the Thursday after Christmas ill come help. Just let me know. Omg you're not gonna be HERE for play by play over Christmas? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Omg you're not gonna be HERE for play by play over Christmas? Im leaving Christmas afternoon to go to Charleston for a few days. Anything up to Christmas ill be game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: Im leaving Christmas afternoon to go to Charleston Not if some of these model runs have anything to say about it. Nothing says crap roads like a foot of snow followed by multiple days well below freezing. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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