BretWx Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 I am just glad to have something to watch. These things can always pull a surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 For some reason I just don't think these models are grasping the full extent of the ULL. I guess we will see over the next 36 hours. Deformation feature is going to be key for accumulation and that is notoriously difficult to model. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Gotta love the 3k NAM literally sucking in dry air and wrapping around the ULL thus choking off the precip. Thanks God its the NAM showing this right now and not the GOOFUS or EURO. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 That upper level cold just continues to arrive later and later and look more and more stale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 1 minute ago, SnowDawg said: That upper level cold just continues to arrive later and later and look more and more stale. Yep. And its arriving during the day Sunday which isn't helping either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Gotta love the 3k NAM literally sucking in dry air and wrapping around the ULL thus choking off the precip. Thanks God its the NAM showing this right now and not the GOOFUS or EURO.The dry slot was always my main concern. I was hoping that wouldn't be a concern this far north. The 2009 ULL memories still sting. That was the first time I ever saw a TV met break down and cry on air. Poor Ben Tanner. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 I’m going to hang on until tomorrow before I let the fat lady go warm up her voice but the trends certainly aren’t positive atm. Even with an ULL, it’s tough to watch us work with only marginal cold air all the way into lower Canada. Truly an anomalous pattern we’ve had this whole winter. The things I’d do for a 1040 in the Ohio valley right now! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Might as well hangon because this is still the best shot many of us have had all winter and will likely be the best shot barring a March madness miracle 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx n of atl Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Still hopeful, more adjustments today and tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 3” gives me double digits for the year (and it’s already mid-Feb). I feel like that’s not asking for much just below a 4000’ ridge line in a NWFS area but this winter it seems it is. ULL are so tricky I would not want to be a forecaster whether behind the scenes or in the media. I’m already prepared for Spring to be like all the past recent ones I.e. not Spring like at all and messing up fishing conditions. All I have to say is when the tide changes we are due for a big storm or “bad” (good if you like cold and snow) winter in order to average things out. Cyclical nature and all that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, wx n of atl said: Still hopeful, more adjustments today and tomorrow. Same but my hope has went very low this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Let's ROLL 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Congrats I have a dusting up here in NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Wow GFS really falling off.. crazy forecast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, Hvward said: Wow GFS really falling off.. crazy forecast. What a difference 12hrs makes. 12in to barely 4in for AVL. I am still hanging in there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 12z GFS looks horrible for most folks.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 It's cutting northeast way too much now. Almost trying to miller B. I don't know why but storms almost always miller B nowadays 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 2 inches of QPF on GFS. What a shame there is no cold air 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 7 minutes ago, wncsnow said: It's cutting northeast way too much now. Almost trying to miller B. I don't know why but storms almost always miller B nowadays My theory: Warmer oceans > more energy > stronger storms tending to go poleward faster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 The Canadian is another buzzkill. Ouch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 GEFS mean FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 4 hours ago, Phelps said: Wow, GSP with 8-12 across most of Avery County. Not sure I saw that coming overnight. @MotoWeathermanis it going to be raining or snowing when we wake up Sunday morning on Beech? LOL...looking more and more like rain at that time. I'm in Dahlonega GA right now and was debating going up to Beech. But I'm holding off until the Saturday morning runs to make that call. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Was/still hoping this would/will produce the first something for the season down here in the foothills. So far, the day has not been the best 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Its already 65 here. Warmer than progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Its already 65 here. Warmer than progged. Enjoy. It feels great out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 The Euro was another step down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 10 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The Euro was another step down. In some ways for sure. But it was the first run in a while on any model to come colder aloft. Something to at least keep an eye on cause despite the stronger vort cutting north quicker, logic also says it should have better dynamics for cooling if it can overcome the poor daytime timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted February 10, 2023 Author Share Posted February 10, 2023 15 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The Euro was another step down. How I feel right now: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 With the trends the euro didnt look all that bad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 12 euro snowfall Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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