Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 The moisture isn't there on the euro like on the gfs but it's in the right direction in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 Temps are what scare me on this one. Look very borderline outside of 4kft+.Of course if the GFS is correct it will fall quick enough it don't matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 The 18z gfs is much different than last runs. It's closes the ull off much much quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 Not sure how this will translate but it may ley the ull strengthen more our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 The ull is way south which if it's too far south it will cause temp issues for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 This produces a great hit for us here in the mountains so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 We go from this.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 To this with dynamic cooling. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 To this with all snow for the area. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 The 18z gfs snowfall map. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 Just now, Met1985 said: The 18z gfs snowfall map. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Can I cash out now? For whatever reason and whatever happens with this weekend, I think we have a few more surprises in store between now and May. Odds say we are due for a big storm in March, mountains seem to average a big one (I’d even say one that has blizzard conditions) about every 30 years it seems (Haywood had ‘34 or ‘36, then you had the end of February and March of 1960 with the 3 straight weeks of storms and finally everyone knows ‘93). 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxKnurd said: Can I cash out now? For whatever reason and whatever happens with this weekend, I think we have a few more surprises in store between now and May. Odds say we are due for a big storm in March, mountains seem to average a big one (I’d even say one that has blizzard conditions) about every 30 years it seems (Haywood had ‘34 or ‘36, then you had the end of February and March of 1960 with the 3 straight weeks of storms and finally everyone knows ‘93). Yeah I think spring starts late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, WxKnurd said: Can I cash out now? For whatever reason and whatever happens with this weekend, I think we have a few more surprises in store between now and May. Odds say we are due for a big storm in March, mountains seem to average a big one (I’d even say one that has blizzard conditions) about every 30 years it seems (Haywood had ‘34 or ‘36, then you had the end of February and March of 1960 with the 3 straight weeks of storms and finally everyone knows ‘93). With the euro bringing the mjo into phase 8 towards the end of the month then we have a possible major ssw coming. Also we might get a Nino spring which is usually cold for us. I really don't see signs of spring in the future. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 LAWWWWWWD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 Great trends on all the models today but lets get this inside 3 days. This is one of those systems where things are going to have to fall our way to pull in colder air into the system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 The 18z gfs has some great support from its ensembles also. All good signs so far today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 Euro ensemble certainly trending towards a better snowfall event at 12z. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 0z GFS is the best run yet for WNC. Really like the trends here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 GFS paste bomb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Sheesh. Widespread double digits.Thundersnow a good bet too this run verbatim. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 That GFS run.. sheesh. If I were above 3k I would be getting pretty excited. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Don't want to be in the bullseye just yet. I think we have this one right where we want it to get a decent storm here in WNC. Now we focus on when negative tilt occurs and how much moisture the system can pull from the Gulf. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Looking good! Especially inside 80 hours or so. Going to be a fun day watching. The shift on the 6Z GFS worries me a bit but we shall see. I love when these potential storms sneak up on us. Much more fun than seeing it at hr 384 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 RNK not buying it yet. Barely has any snow in my forecast so far. Guessing they'll bite if the 12z runs don't change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 12K NAM looks almost identical to the GFS. HR 84. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Would’ve loved to have seen the NAM go out about 6 more hours because she was preparing to unload. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Yea the NAM was going to be a huge hit for WNC.. I think higher elevations could see a foot plus easy if it keeps trending stronger. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 So far so good. Like Hunter said we don't want to be the bullseye at this point because there will still be jostling going on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 At hour 60 we have 1 closed countour low forming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 At hour 75 its a 5 contour storm that is very similar to the recent runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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