MotoWeatherman Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 And yet flakes continue to fly here on Beech. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 And yet flakes continue to fly here on Beech. I'm back to light snow here as well.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 I'm back to light snow here as well.Sent from my SM-S908U using TapatalkWe got some sun and lost our half inch but have picked up another solid dusting since sunset now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 17° currently with a little diamond dust to end the day. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 My temperature went from 17 at midnight to 32 at 7am here. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, Buckethead said: My temperature went from 17 at midnight to 32 at 7am here. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk That's crazy even with your snowpack... Current temp this morning is 15 degrees. Done chilling cold with no snowpack. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 The wind switched from wnw to sw around 330. I think that may be why.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Down to 21 here this morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 39 minutes ago, Buckethead said: The wind switched from wnw to sw around 330. I think that may be why. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Yeah probably so. It's calm here in my bowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 18 here with a massive frost sticking to everything including trees. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Beautiful morning on Beech. Round 2 coming up Wednesday night into Friday with another 3-5 inches likely per the GFS. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Beautiful morning on Beech. Round 2 coming up Wednesday night into Friday with another 3-5 inches likely per the GFS. What's your season total so far?Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 21 this morning, crisp perfect morning with the .25-.5” of snow I got yesterday still coating everything. Might drive up to Max Patch later to see how they did. Hopefully can get another light coating tomorrow night, I’ll penny (can’t even calm that amount a nickel) my way to double digits this thus-far anemic season if I have to! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Buckethead said: What's your season total so far? Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk About 22. You did a lot better with that system last week than me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phelps Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 GSP downplaying the next one. The clown maps may be incorrectly showing some of the rain as snow before the NWF starts up. Profiles will quickly fall below freezing through the column and any lingering low-level moisture will eek out some light snow showers in the favored upslope zones along the NC-TN border and the spine of the Appalachians. Only light, sub-advisory accumulations are currently expected, even at the higher elevations of the northern mountains. Flurries may continue well into the day Thursday...not ending entirely until early afternoon, as CAA begins to falter and residual valley moisture is finally exhausted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Not sure if it's a blip because of the supercomputer outage on the euro but wow is it ugly after this next storm and the ensembles kind of agree. The cold air is pushed back to the 4th on the 12z eps now. Again maybe a blip but this is why I have little to no faith currently in us seeking a change anytime soon that is really meaningful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 The 18z gfs operation doesn't look good either. Doesn't really make a great push of cold air in here at all. The negative epo just dumps west and the SER flexes and the trough cuts north of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 The 18z gfs operation doesn't look good either. Doesn't really make a great push of cold air in here at all. The negative epo just dumps west and the SER flexes and the trough cuts north of us. I will gladly punt the rest of this winter if I don't have to see this piece of junk pattern again for another decade. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, Tyler Penland said: 2 hours ago, Met1985 said: The 18z gfs operation doesn't look good either. Doesn't really make a great push of cold air in here at all. The negative epo just dumps west and the SER flexes and the trough cuts north of us. I will gladly punt the rest of this winter if I don't have to see this piece of junk pattern again for another decade. Yeah same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 hours ago, Met1985 said: The 18z gfs operation doesn't look good either. Doesn't really make a great push of cold air in here at all. The negative epo just dumps west and the SER flexes and the trough cuts north of us. Yeah, this is one of the crappiest Winters of my lifetime. Reminds me of the 1973-74, '90-91 and '91-92 Winters here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Yeah, this is one of the crappiest Winters of my lifetime. Reminds me of the 1973-74, '90-91 and '91-92 Winters here.Would anyone be interested in meeting up here in Wolf for a nwf event and taking a little hike along the AT? I thought I'd throw it out there...4wd is a must, but trust me, it's worth it. It's not a long hike, up to the bald and back is a little over a mile. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 thanks for the invite. would love to but am covered up with very little free time. ill be up in far ne west virginia next week. may get lucky and enjoy some decent snow while there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 6 hours ago, Phelps said: GSP downplaying the next one. The clown maps may be incorrectly showing some of the rain as snow before the NWF starts up. Profiles will quickly fall below freezing through the column and any lingering low-level moisture will eek out some light snow showers in the favored upslope zones along the NC-TN border and the spine of the Appalachians. Only light, sub-advisory accumulations are currently expected, even at the higher elevations of the northern mountains. Flurries may continue well into the day Thursday...not ending entirely until early afternoon, as CAA begins to falter and residual valley moisture is finally exhausted. Maybe I'll be wrong but I just don't see anything telling me that elevations above 4k feet won't get 3+ inches out of this event. This is for areas north of Ashville. Really these NWF events are not that difficult to get a good idea about. 850 moisture will be plenty into Friday and 850 temps will be cold enough to wring it out. QPF of GFS is .3+ inches while 3k NAM is way more but I've seen that bust too high many times. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 hours ago, Buckethead said: Would anyone be interested in meeting up here in Wolf for a nwf event and taking a little hike along the AT? I thought I'd throw it out there...4wd is a must, but trust me, it's worth it. It's not a long hike, up to the bald and back is a little over a mile. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk If I had time I would love to. Got a newborn and 2 and a half year old so I'm pretty occupied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Surprised it's 30 here still. Shame we have no blocking. This would have been a good storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Heavy rain at 38 degrees.. boo . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Waking up to 36° with a power outage. The wind is fierce this morning... had a gust to 52 a few moments ago. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Buckethead said: Waking up to 36° with a power outage. The wind is fierce this morning... had a gust to 52 a few moments ago. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Ripping here on Beech also. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 17 hours ago, Buckethead said: Would anyone be interested in meeting up here in Wolf for a nwf event and taking a little hike along the AT? I thought I'd throw it out there...4wd is a must, but trust me, it's worth it. It's not a long hike, up to the bald and back is a little over a mile. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk I would be interested in doing that sometime. I am always looking for new access points to trailheads for the the Appalachian Trail without trespassing on someone else's private land. The OnX OffRoad app does a good job of showing who owns which land. I have never visited the bald in your area. I would bring along my Garmin Montana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Maybe I'll be wrong but I just don't see anything telling me that elevations above 4k feet won't get 3+ inches out of this event. This is for areas north of Ashville. Really these NWF events are not that difficult to get a good idea about. 850 moisture will be plenty into Friday and 850 temps will be cold enough to wring it out. QPF of GFS is .3+ inches while 3k NAM is way more but I've seen that bust too high many times.The only caveat I see is the flow is more westerly this time. My area doesn't do as well typically in that setup. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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