BooneWX Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 One thing I really liked that I haven’t seen in a while: the models despite a pesky SE ridge were honking with CAD signals. That gives me some optimism that we could at least score a Miller B type of setup in the next few weeks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: Obviously we aren't in a great pattern now and we still managed to see snow accumulations from 1 inch all the way up to 2 feet. Really it only takes a few storms to make our average around here and the foothills. Hopefully we get a synoptic storm but this pattern currently is more conducive for upslope flow snow. Genuinely asking, how many winters has our area ever gone wire to wire with no kind of synoptic event, even if just a minor marginal temps slop fest? It maybe selfish, but living where I do, fropa and flow snow is never going to get me excited. My town has never had a winter without measurable snowfall on record, and I am cautiously optimistic that this streak will live on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 hour ago, SnowDawg said: Genuinely asking, how many winters has our area ever gone wire to wire with no kind of synoptic event, even if just a minor marginal temps slop fest? It maybe selfish, but living where I do, fropa and flow snow is never going to get me excited. My town has never had a winter without measurable snowfall on record, and I am cautiously optimistic that this streak will live on. Yeah it is very rare. More so lately but there are so many variables I really cannot put my finger on it. Im optimistic we see some type of synoptic storm this winter eventually to where everyone can cash in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Big fail in temps today. Current temp is 38 and our high was only 40 today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Big fail in temps today. Current temp is 38 and our high was only 40 today. Hit 52 around noon then it clouded up, down to 45. Lot of melt today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 19 minutes ago, WxKnurd said: Hit 52 around noon then it clouded up, down to 45. Lot of melt today. Dang man crazy how the inversion just carried tight through the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 8 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Dang man crazy how the inversion just carried tight through the day. No doubt! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 My forecast temp today was 43...I reached 52. The forecast low tonight is 41. I'm sitting at 34.6 currently...Maybe they'll get the rain part right lol.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 The euro and eps look great in the mid to long range and the euro weeklies look great also heading into and through February. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Something the gfs is spitting out. To me this is a good signal at this range.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 This is strictly showing what we could be looking at for this pattern change. We are working towards a different hemispheric setup that is roughly only 3 to 4 days away from starting. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 The overnight euro is bringing more of an upslope flow similar to what we just saw. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 This is a cold look on the euro.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 34 and rain in Wolf. The gravel roads have melted with the snow.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 The 12z gfs changed again.... Nothing new but the 12z gefs looks really good in the medium to long range. It would put us with at least chances of winter weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 The 12z gfs has a ton of potential and still showing some mighty cold air coming in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Another really good run by the EPS. Cold is near by with a damn active storm track. That's about all you can ask for at this juncture. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 18z GFS is a beautiful run from mid next week onward.Unfortunately it's the GFS.And mid next week. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Check out the Hardee's drive thru in Mammoth, CA.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Buckethead said: Check out the Hardee's drive thru in Mammoth, CA. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Snow is not stopping anyone from that thick burger !! 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 24 and flurries this morning in Wolf.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Truthfully im not impressed with the upcoming pattern. Everything cuts then get have a cold front then back to warmth because majority of the cold air is in the Rockies. Im just about done with January at this point. Things have not trended well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 I sure hope the middle of February thru March saves us. Tired of cold and sunny, then warm and rain. Rather have 70 and sunny if its not going to snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 40 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Truthfully im not impressed with the upcoming pattern. Everything cuts then get have a cold front then back to warmth because majority of the cold air is in the Rockies. Im just about done with January at this point. Things have not trended well. Exactly. The writing is on the wall..It would take 4 or 5 good events to get us back on track for a good winter. This is gonna be tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Exactly. The writing is on the wall..It would take 4 or 5 good events to get us back on track for a good winter. This is gonna be tough. If it continues as is, this winter would be a top 3 worst of all time since I have lived here. (35 years) Even 2019/20 had a dusting of snow. 2012/13 had accumulating sleet/ice. Only flurries so far this year. The only other that was this bad was 2011/12. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 hours ago, snowbird1230 said: Exactly. The writing is on the wall..It would take 4 or 5 good events to get us back on track for a good winter. This is gonna be tough. Yeah the so called pattern change is not going to come to fruition until probably March.... There has been a recurring theme that has repeated since September. And that is exactly what we are looking at. At this point the only way we get a synoptic storm is threading the needle on a storm because we are getting plenty of moisture in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Yeah the so called pattern change is not going to come to fruition until probably March.... There has been a recurring them that has repeated since September. And that is exactly what we are looking at. At this point the only way we get a synoptic storm is threading the needle on a storm because we are getting plenty of moisture in here.Yeah when a track like this upcoming weekend brings rain to all of us you know it's a crap pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 8 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: 2 hours ago, Met1985 said: Yeah the so called pattern change is not going to come to fruition until probably March.... There has been a recurring them that has repeated since September. And that is exactly what we are looking at. At this point the only way we get a synoptic storm is threading the needle on a storm because we are getting plenty of moisture in here. Yeah when a track like this upcoming weekend brings rain to all of us you know it's a crap pattern. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 hours ago, wncsnow said: If it continues as is, this winter would be a top 3 worst of all time since I have lived here. (35 years) Even 2019/20 had a dusting of snow. 2012/13 had accumulating sleet/ice. Only flurries so far this year. The only other that was this bad was 2011/12. At least you have had flurries. I've been skunked so far just like 2011-12. Sure not looking good for these parts right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 hour ago, Jmoon said: At least you have had flurries. I've been skunked so far just like 2011-12. Sure not looking good for these parts right now. I’ve seen 28 sort of flakes this year.. maybe 29 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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