Met1985 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Well I was off a bit. Hoisted up the warning right off the bat. Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, and Stecoah 340 AM EST Thu Jan 12 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY BELOW 3500 FEET... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 9 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 2 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...The North Carolina mountain counties along the Tennessee border. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 7 AM EST Saturday. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 10 hours ago, nchighcountrywx said: NAM modeling 61” snow at Clingman’s Dome! Wow, five feet plus of snow; that would be 60.95 more inches than the model average for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 11 hours ago, nchighcountrywx said: NAM modeling 61” snow at Clingman’s Dome! It will forever blow my mind that us in the piedmont sit an hour away and can’t even buy a flake! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 As it stands now I will probably head to Banner Elk for tomorrow or that vicinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 21 minutes ago, eyewall said: As it stands now I will probably head to Banner Elk for tomorrow or that vicinity. Good call and should be easy to get in an out off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 NAM cut totals a bit around Boone. Seems like it’s going to a pretty sharp cutoff between accumulating snow and nothing but a few flurries . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Good call and should be easy to get in an out off. Road conditions should be decent. The traffic on the roads will be the headache. It gets backed up big time on the holidays around Sugar and Beech. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 12z NAM totals for the border counties... incredible! Have fun up there y'all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Our wild ride starts in 4-6 hours with the rain and squall line, then 24-36 hours of flow snow in some spots. Point and click forecast has me with 2-4” total accumulation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: Road conditions should be decent. The traffic on the roads will be the headache. It gets backed up big time on the holidays around Sugar and Beech. No doubt. Little bottleneck head that way for sure. Might take the family that way but would be on Sunday. We are all snow starved so those with snow better be sharing some videos 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phelps Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: Road conditions should be decent. The traffic on the roads will be the headache. It gets backed up big time on the holidays around Sugar and Beech. I was going to leave for Beech tomorrow but I’m biting the bullet and heading up this evening (through the squall line lol). Road conditions aren’t my primary concern as much as Friday evening tourist traffic. 4wd and chains can’t help when there’s a fort mill minivan pile up on food lion hill. I have a feeling it could get pretty gnarly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Impressive snowfall totals showing up on the 12z NAM 3km. I’ve been saying this for a while but someone is going to get hammered. 3km even picking up on that Buncombe Co streamer. Looking forward to the first decent snow of the season for many! 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Looks like totals are being cut back since last night's 0z nam run? Correct me if I'm wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 1 minute ago, snowbird1230 said: Looks like totals are being cut back since last night's 0z nam run? Correct me if I'm wrong Perhaps slightly but guidance has been remarkably consistent with upslope QPF for this event run after run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Upslope is a mesoscale feature so can't just go with every slight tick on the models. It is very likely it will snow either way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 41 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Looks like totals are being cut back since last night's 0z nam run? Correct me if I'm wrong You should do well in Graham. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 I know this isn’t necessarily y’all’s side of the mountains but I’ll be in Gatlinburg at 2900 feet. Hoping for a few inches and maybe a surprise. Good luck to all! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 33 minutes ago, jrips27 said: I know this isn’t necessarily y’all’s side of the mountains but I’ll be in Gatlinburg at 2900 feet. Hoping for a few inches and maybe a surprise. Good luck to all! Good spot to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 To the newbies on here that are fixing to enjoy this upslope dream don't really worry about totals and what not at this point. As eyewall pointed out with flow snow as long as you have a strong signal things will proceed. This is different than a synoptic storm. All models have a difficult time with flow snow because we have so many peaks above 3500' and we have some really small microclimates in the mountains that can produce huge totals given the right setup. The signal is there still very much so and at this point just sit back and wait for tomorrow morning to come. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 The wind is really picking up ahead of this squall line. Heads up for the SW mountains. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Currently 43 in Wolf with a severe thunderstorm. We've had pea sized hail/graupel for a minute as well.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 12z euro dropped highest totals yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Mitchell County schools closed tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Not everyday you have a severe thunderstorm warning on top of a winter storm warning 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Big time cell fixing to hit me. Torrential rainfall and high winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Pea size hail hitting now. Embedded storm is strengthening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Pea size hail hitting now. Embedded storm is strengthening. I didn’t have any hail over here I don’t think but dang did it pour. Thundered right over the house and shook it pretty good, it just hits different at elevation lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Just now, WxKnurd said: I didn’t have any hail over here I don’t think but dang did it pour. Thundered right over the house and shook it pretty good, it just hits different at elevation lol. Yeah no kidding. Big time storm rolling through. Freaking torrential rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 31 minutes ago, Buckethead said: Currently 43 in Wolf with a severe thunderstorm. We've had pea sized hail/graupel for a minute as well. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Yeah temp dropped from 62 to 46 with this line blowing through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Rain finally letting up a bit. We've seen better storms this winter than this past spring and summer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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