snowbird1230 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 The final nail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, Maggie Ace said: Not for the Mountains. Certainly not a foot of snow, but enough for Warning criteria I believe. Maybe for those right along the border. Places like Buncombe and Henderson maybe an advisory level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Sadness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 This will continue to change in my opinion. Not trying to hold out hope but just the truth. We'll see how thing look around Tuesday.... That's my target date. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 At least it's gonna feel and look like Christmas..cold with at least flakes flying around..much better than last year. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 I need a stiff drink 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 The Ops haven't shown a storm on the 26th or 27th in a long while. Its gonna warm up around New Years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Models don't even have a handle of what will happen on Monday Night/Tuesday. This could still produce some snow showers. As far as the storm to end the week next week, there are a ton of moving pieces. Does the Northern stream dip all the way to the Gulf or does it pop a low in the middle of the US and phase with the PV or will it dip under the Appalachians? Models are cutting it now, but this could easily trend back to a Gulf Low. I am looking forward to seeing the 12z Euro and what it does with the LP. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Even with these cutters the NW flow on the backside means business. Obviously not great the farther you get from the border but I think most everyone here would still do decent. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 We've done this time and time again. It's fun to watch. And we're 5-6 days out. Let's keep watching! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Yea and it’s important to stay wary of the main thread. For most, I hate to say it, they live in areas where storms in borderline perfect setups don’t work in their favor. And when they don’t, it’s all pessimism and hate for anyone that does score. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 This is definitely not going to get it done on the euro. But I'm not sweating it. We got several days to go obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Euro doesn't even have much upslope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: This is definitely not going to get it done on the euro. But I'm not sweating it. We got several days to go obviously. Yeah maybe the worst run yet..Moisture starved frontal passage with no NWF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Yeah maybe the worst run yet..Moisture starved frontal passage with no NWF. Yeah we have really saw everything. We just need to see some severe storm action and that'll do it... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Via NWS Blacksburg VA. At this point I’ll freakin take it. Im right at the foot of the Alleghenies. So hopefully some lingering snow showers will effect me as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 This run of the gfs may be better than the last run. Seems to be more separate of the low and tpv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Nope not going to happen this run either.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Worse if anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 I score with another inch of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Actually a much much better run. Really hammers the border counties with some great upslope snows. Probably 6 plus. Asheville went from .5 inches to nearly 4 inches. That's about as best you can ask for after this shit runs today... Not bad at all. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Actually a much much better run. Really hammers the border counties with some great upslope snows. Probably 6 plus. Asheville went from .5 inches to nearly 4 inches. That's about as best you can ask for after this shit runs today... Not bad at all. Yeah with single digit Temps and wind.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Yeah with single digit Temps and wind.. Yeah some very high ratio stuff. Im all in on the gfs lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 A front this strong coming through never made sense with the earlier models showing very little upslope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Yeah some very high ratio stuff. Im all in on the gfs lol.Yup, I'd take the ~ 12" it shows here and smile! Hell, I'll take 1" and be grateful at this point. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Giving up on snow in the Lake Norman area. The setup is just not there. Any token flakes before January will be a bonus at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 2 hours ago, LakeNormanStormin said: Giving up on snow in the Lake Norman area. The setup is just not there. Any token flakes before January will be a bonus at this point. Yeah I think some flurries maybe if that. Ill be moving to Lake Norman next year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 22 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Yeah I think some flurries maybe if that. Ill be moving to Lake Norman next year. Mountain crew will miss you. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Another decent hit for the mountains at 0z.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Another decent hit for the mountains at 0z..Yeah seems to have taken a tiny step in the right direction but I might be seeing things.That next wave also has my attention for the 25/26. The 500mb charts look completely different for that one from 18z to 0z.Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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