Ahoff Posted August 30, 2022 Share Posted August 30, 2022 Figured I'd start it a little early, as I will be out of town this weekend starting the 1st. Happy Fall! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted August 30, 2022 Author Share Posted August 30, 2022 To start the Almanacs look good for us for winter, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 Who do I have to sell my soul to for a September that actually feels like fall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted August 31, 2022 Author Share Posted August 31, 2022 3 hours ago, TimB said: Who do I have to sell my soul to for a September that actually feels like fall? Last year was not egregiously warm, mostly warm lows and 2020 was actually slightly cooler than normal. So, probably don't to sell to anyone they've been pretty good the last couple years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 7, 2022 Share Posted September 7, 2022 Speaking of “not egregiously warm” patterns and “mostly warm lows.” When we analyze recent Septembers next year at this time, we’ll see a pattern that wasn’t miserable, but the ground truth is pain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted September 7, 2022 Author Share Posted September 7, 2022 4 hours ago, TimB said: Speaking of “not egregiously warm” patterns and “mostly warm lows.” When we analyze recent Septembers next year at this time, we’ll see a pattern that wasn’t miserable, but the ground truth is pain. I'll take the lower highs. Would like those comfortable lows in the 50s, but what can we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 7, 2022 Share Posted September 7, 2022 1 hour ago, Ahoff said: I'll take the lower highs. Would like those comfortable lows in the 50s, but what can we do. As far as I can tell, the fall record for lows of 60 or above is 16 (13 if you only include the KPIT era). We’re at 5 now, and although we could have a few close calls the next few nights, the official NWS forecast does currently have us tacking on at least another week with no 50s so we could get close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted September 7, 2022 Author Share Posted September 7, 2022 18 minutes ago, TimB said: As far as I can tell, the fall record for lows of 60 or above is 16 (13 if you only include the KPIT era). We’re at 5 now, and although we could have a few close calls the next few nights, the official NWS forecast does currently have us tacking on at least another week with no 50s so we could get close. As long as the highs generally stay in the 70s I'm good. Lower humidity would be nice though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted September 7, 2022 Share Posted September 7, 2022 I think "higher lows" is the more expectant result of climate change, overall. Regularly hitting new highs and maintaining hotter temps isn't necessarily the most measurable change. More humidity, higher wet bulbs at a more consistent rate is also an extension of that. There are a few places on Earth that are actually becoming inhospitable to humans because of their increased and dangerous humidity levels (like locales in Pakistan, for example). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 dewpoint 55.8! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted September 13, 2022 Author Share Posted September 13, 2022 Dropped to 52 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Second summer arrives this weekend and sticks around for who knows how long. My bet is on longer rather than shorter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted September 16, 2022 Author Share Posted September 16, 2022 On 9/13/2022 at 11:31 AM, TimB said: Second summer arrives this weekend and sticks around for who knows how long. My bet is on longer rather than shorter. Doesn't look too long. Mid week next week, then Fall again. Not too unusual in my opinion. This month, temperature wise has been pretty average. Rain wise too much, so this dry stretch is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 17, 2022 Share Posted September 17, 2022 On 9/16/2022 at 8:33 AM, Ahoff said: Doesn't look too long. Mid week next week, then Fall again. Not too unusual in my opinion. This month, temperature wise has been pretty average. Rain wise too much, so this dry stretch is nice. Really starting to look like a pretty drastic change mid to late week. This warm stretch doesn’t look unbearable either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted September 17, 2022 Author Share Posted September 17, 2022 5 hours ago, TimB said: Really starting to look like a pretty drastic change mid to late week. This warm stretch doesn’t look unbearable either. Yeah, low 60s Friday. Wow. Maybe that ex-Typhoon hitting Alaska is the culprit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 On 9/17/2022 at 7:08 PM, Ahoff said: Yeah, low 60s Friday. Wow. Maybe that ex-Typhoon hitting Alaska is the culprit? NWS blames Fiona for locking in our chilly pattern in their forecast discussion. The Euro makes next week look especially chilly with lots of highs in the 50s. GFS allows the Midwest ridge to encroach a little more and keep us cool but not unseasonably. Of course, by the end of the Euro run, the yet to be named storm is in our backyard, so it seems our weather is going to be heavily influenced by what’s going on in the tropics for the foreseeable future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted September 21, 2022 Author Share Posted September 21, 2022 51 minutes ago, TimB said: NWS blames Fiona for locking in our chilly pattern in their forecast discussion. The Euro makes next week look especially chilly with lots of highs in the 50s. GFS allows the Midwest ridge to encroach a little more and keep us cool but not unseasonably. Of course, by the end of the Euro run, the yet to be named storm is in our backyard, so it seems our weather is going to be heavily influenced by what’s going on in the tropics for the foreseeable future. Well, thank you Fiona for some Fall weather. Hopefully it can jump start the leaves changing nicely too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted September 21, 2022 Share Posted September 21, 2022 5 hours ago, Ahoff said: Well, thank you Fiona for some Fall weather. Hopefully it can jump start the leaves changing nicely too. Wonder if we manage and decent storms this evening, seems to have already gotten overcast which will probably limit instability. I'm looking forward to the cool weather for sure. Will probably close the pool for the season. Meanwhile way out in fantasy land GFS has remnants from whatever develops in the gulf taking aim at us with another shot of cold air on the backside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted September 21, 2022 Author Share Posted September 21, 2022 5 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Wonder if we manage and decent storms this evening, seems to have already gotten overcast which will probably limit instability. I'm looking forward to the cool weather for sure. Will probably close the pool for the season. Meanwhile way out in fantasy land GFS has remnants from whatever develops in the gulf taking aim at us with another shot of cold air on the backside. Not looking good for storms. Pretty quiet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 Ended up getting exactly .5" of rain last night between 2-5am mostly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 Fall is here! I seem to remember though the weather turned like this part year end of October only for us to have a pretty awful two week stretch in October with high humidity and temps in the 80’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 1 hour ago, KPITSnow said: Fall is here! I seem to remember though the weather turned like this part year end of October only for us to have a pretty awful two week stretch in October with high humidity and temps in the 80’s. The numbers seem to bear out that even in late September last year it was an up and down pattern. I’m not saying we don’t get a miserable stretch in October, but we only had 3 days last September with highs in the 60s and none were consecutive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted September 23, 2022 Author Share Posted September 23, 2022 Yeah, it's unrealistic to even think there won't be another warm stretch or two. Will it be 80s, maybe, but obviously less likely in October, but 70s are still likely. We should just enjoy the extended cool down we have for likely the next week plus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted September 23, 2022 Author Share Posted September 23, 2022 42 this morning, coldest since May 18th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Still have a shot at a slightly below normal September with the upcoming forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Has anyone ever seen a flood watch fkr lake effect rain? That might be a first for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Had been waiting for the small hail all day and just got it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Quite a wonderful stretch we're having. I'd prefer upper 60's/low 70's so I could air the house out a bit more, but this is really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Looks like today’s high of 59 will be the first September day since 2014 that did not get to 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Maybe some rains from the remnants over the weekend. Be curious to see how this tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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