Albedoman Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 by the way, the air is so soupy this morning. Its been awhile for these ripe conditions to form but I really think some good boomers will be popping with some squall lines late this afternoon and into the evening. Its been a long time ( since June?) The drought was killed off this weekend and especially after tonight. Too late for the crops though. Really think an east based La Nina will form in mid November and dump on us this year in December with some really cold outbreaks . Snowfall should be average to just above average from the LV to the NW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 10 hours ago, Albedoman said: by the way, the air is so soupy this morning. Its been awhile for these ripe conditions to form but I really think some good boomers will be popping with some squall lines late this afternoon and into the evening. Its been a long time ( since June?) The drought was killed off this weekend and especially after tonight. Too late for the crops though. Really think an east based La Nina will form in mid November and dump on us this year in December with some really cold outbreaks . Snowfall should be average to just above average from the LV to the NW And this evening, currently at 74F/DP 72F /9pm. Past couple frames on radar, decent echoes starting to form W---E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 13, 2022 Author Share Posted September 13, 2022 Picked up 1.97" of rain so far today. Picked up 0.16" of rain for the day yesterday. Three day rainfall total of 2.50" Current temp 70/DP 68/RH 97% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 There was some light rain last night enough to tip the bucket for 0.01" but the bulk of overnight rain came between 1 - 3 am giving me an additional 0.82". That has now brought my September total (usually one of our drier months absent any tropical cyclones/remnants) to 5.55" IMBY. Currently an overcast and misty 71 with dp 71. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Many sections of Chester County PA are now well above normal regarding both monthly and YTD rainfall. With the passage of the cold front last night we are beginning a stretch of almost perfect late summer weather. Wall to wall sunshine every day with temperatures averaging near to a little below normal over the next 5 days before temps rise to a bit above normal by Sunday. Many of the lower spots in the county may actually see their 1st reading in the 40's by Friday morning! Our record high for today is 96 degrees set in 1952. The record low is 37 degrees set in 1953. The daily rainfall record is 2.33" set back in 1930. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 90F potential next week on the ECM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Sneaked in another inch between yesterday and today. We fertilized the lawn right before it rained a couple of days ago and it is greeeeeeeen. Joke's on me, I'll have to start mowing it every other day at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 ECM huge cave to the cooler GFS next week, unexpected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 Our record high for today here in Chester County PA is 92 degrees set back in 1915. The record low for today is 36 degrees from 1975. The daily rainfall record is the 3.53" that fell in 1966. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 GFS reverses course with the massive Canadian high pressure later next week and goes for a hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, RedSky said: GFS reverses course with the massive Canadian high pressure later next week and goes for a hurricane Maybe for this guy that formed today. Otherwise I bottomed out at 59 this morning and it's currently a sunny 77 and all blue sky, with dp 60. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 Only 11 days out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 The big ones get sniffed out early. 77F/DP 61F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 3 hours ago, The Iceman said: Only 11 days out Maxed out at 78 and the dews have been staying in the low 60s much of the day. Currently clear and 74 with dp 61. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted September 15, 2022 Share Posted September 15, 2022 5 hours ago, The Iceman said: Only 11 days out Say what now? I have a crabbing trip planned 9/22-9/25 where we're "camping" down near Ocean City, MD. Then on 9/26 I'm scheduled to be in Newark for two weeks. This could be interesting, to say the least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted September 15, 2022 Share Posted September 15, 2022 6 hours ago, The Iceman said: Only 11 days out This potential (Hurricane Fiona) potential should be taken real seriously. This first look at this storm is almost at the same pressure as Floyd (1999) in almost the same location under similar drier than normal conditions for our area in 1999. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Floyd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted September 15, 2022 Share Posted September 15, 2022 I would get more concerned if the guys in the tropical forum start barking about it. Right now they don't seem very chattery... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 15, 2022 Share Posted September 15, 2022 Today we may struggle to get out of the upper 60's across some of the higher terrain in Chester County. Lows tonight could see the 40's especially in the lower spots and valleys. This would be the first reading in the 40's since our low of 49.5 on June 20th. Our record high for today is 93 degrees from 1927. The record low is 35 degrees from 1895. The daily rainfall mark is the 1.85" that fell back in 1904. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 15, 2022 Share Posted September 15, 2022 Tropical threat making it's way north next week looks dead. Also looks like huge Canadian high pressure and coc weather for days after mid week. Weather World five week outlook is dry and mild. Research shows very unactive tropical seasons are followed by mild winters.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted September 15, 2022 Share Posted September 15, 2022 2 hours ago, RedSky said: Tropical threat making it's way north next week looks dead. Also looks like huge Canadian high pressure and coc weather for days after mid week. Weather World five week outlook is dry and mild. Research shows very unactive tropical seasons are followed by mild winters.. good, I hope it stays dead. La Nina patterns are not necessarily mild but they are sure the hell less snowy for our area. The Central US (Missouri, Illinois and northern Kentucky) with the Great Lakes area will get pounded (Indiana, Ohio, NW PA and NY) with heavy snow in this pattern. Usually only one or two good snows(8+ in) are typical in our area and they have to be thread the needle type storms Miller B's or over producing Alberta clippers). Snow may start right after Thanksgiving this year but they will 2-4 inch type snows throughout December. Snow cover may be the real issue(long duration) and a prolong cold outbreak for our area maybe the real issue for us. I see no biggies Nor'easters in our future this year as the GOM is shutoff from LP production in this LA Nina crappy pattern for big snowstorms. If the GOM opens up during the winter, we get one but I am not holding my breath.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 16, 2022 Share Posted September 16, 2022 This morning's low of 48.6 was our coldest reading since the 47.8 back on May 11th. A near normal day today across the County before a warming trend kicks in starting over the weekend and lasting through most of next week. We should see temps rise to well above normal with highs in the low to mid 80's for most of next week. That is a good 8 to 10 degrees above normal. There is a slight chance of showers on Monday but otherwise dry through the period. The record high for today is 91 degrees set in 1991. Our record low is 36 degrees in 1913. The record rain was the 7.85" at Coatesville from 1999. That rain was the result of Hurricane Floyd and is the greatest 1 day rain total since "official" record keeping began back in 1888 for Chester County PA. I was actually in Thorndale PA for that storm and we received 8.38" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 16, 2022 Share Posted September 16, 2022 Made it up to 73 as a high yesterday after a 67 low. The dews yesterday had dropped down into the upper 40s to boot. This morning's 53 low was the lowest here since June 6. It's currently mostly sunny and 69 with dp 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 16, 2022 Share Posted September 16, 2022 45.5F low 43.7F Qtown airport 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 16, 2022 Share Posted September 16, 2022 If GFS is to be believed....some 30's within next 2 weeks as we close out September Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 17, 2022 Share Posted September 17, 2022 Our warming trend gets well under way today as we rise to the above normal upper 70's to near 80 across much of the County. Above normal temps should continue through Thursday before much cooler air again arrives on Friday with highs on Friday again failing to escape the 60's in many locations. Our record high today is 93 degrees set back in 1915. The record low is 36 degrees set back in 1959. The daily rainfall record is the 3.01" that fell in 1995. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 17, 2022 Share Posted September 17, 2022 My high yesterday was 75 and I had a "warmer" low this morning of 60. It's currently already past yesterday's high and is mostly sunny and 78 with scattered cumulus and a dp of 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 17, 2022 Share Posted September 17, 2022 Could be wrong but long range looks alot like the same old boring pattern that dominated the first half of the year, below normal temp and precipitation too. Hate this 3 year Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 I agree. That huge low in Alaska is going to bring down some good ole cold fronts in the next few weeks with lows dropping into the 30's. The La Nina pattern is also going to help steer the hurricanes away from our area. The growing season will end early this year. This stubborn pattern creates long duration small accumulations of snow on the ground but constant clippers will keep the snow pack refreshed and cold . I expect the parade to start around Thanksgiving going into December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Made it up to 80 as a high yesterday and had a "warmer" low this morning of 62, with what I expect was some stratus that has mostly cleared now. There's currently a thin and hazy deck of cirrus that the sun is penetrating and it's 66 with dp 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 The next few days will continue to average above average temperature wise before a sharp cold front and switch to autumnal chilly weather arrives by Thursday. We should see high temps remaining in the low to mid-60's by Friday. Those kind of temperatures are typical for mid-October than late September. The record Chester County high for today is 93 degrees set way back in 1898. Our record low reading was the 35 degrees set in 1990. The daily rainfall record is 3.90" from 1945. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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