Hurricane Agnes Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, Hurricane Agnes said: The line came through here giving me another 0.18" of rain (no convection though) for a total of 0.67" for that 2-round event. The temp didn't drop off much yet as I think the front is still a bit west of here. Currently misty and 55 with dp 53. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 1 hour ago, RedSky said: 18z GFS pushes the good pattern out into January possibly, says AccuWeather you guys genius lol 18z GFS is a complete dumpster fire with blocking with no cold air. Two lows get blocked off the Jersey shore which would be great if only there was cold air these are our new times. The warm oceans rule! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 Sounds like the GFS upgrade removed happy hour. 50F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 15 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: 18z GFS is a complete dumpster fire with blocking with no cold air. Two lows get blocked off the Jersey shore which would be great if only there was cold air these are our new times. The warm oceans rule! Well remember that everything is pushed a couple months later. So spring is the new winter. You'll see the verification in March. Cold front did start advecting cooler and drier air in. Currently down to 50 with dp 39. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 56 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: 18z GFS is a complete dumpster fire with blocking with no cold air. Two lows get blocked off the Jersey shore which would be great if only there was cold air these are our new times. The warm oceans rule! PNA is negative phase. Needs to move towards neutral or positive to counter the huge NAO block and allow for CAA and not stale cold. This could work in Jan/Feb but not early/mid Dec. Sst's in the Atlantic dont help but less of an influence than having a cold air source via the PNA+ Eta: also, this is an op at range. Better off using the ens means imho 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 After yesterday's balmy temps and rain we are back to below normal temps but sunny skies for both today and tomorrow. We then warm back up to above normal before potentially cooling down and even a model shows some significant snow in Chester County by week's end. That said there is only one model "The European" that shows any such event. No one should take that as a forecast...just a period to keep an eye on. As I mentioned earlier with the change to more consistent colder weather expect to hear of snow or rumor of snows between now and the end of the month. Our record high for today is 71 degrees from 1998. The record low is 6 above zero from 1940. The daily rain record is 1.54" from 1900. The daily snow record is 10.0" from today in 1957. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 Looks like the Euro out on it's own with our first significant model snow event of the season for parts of our area. Of course as we all know we don't shovel model snow...this will likely be gone by the 12z run. Start adding these up for the season....vs true shoveling or plowing!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 6z control run still modeling snow but covering more or our region by Saturday AM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 57 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Looks like the Euro out on it's own with our first significant model snow event of the season for parts of our area. Of course as we all know we don't shovel model snow...this will likely be gone by the 12z run. Start adding these up for the season....vs true shoveling or plowing!! GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits Maybe the 0z run of the GFS last night is just a week too late? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 54 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: 6z control run still modeling snow but covering more or our region by Saturday AM Fixed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 On 12/3/2022 at 8:02 AM, JTA66 said: So much for putting up Christmas lights today 50F Christmas lights up...delayed but not denied! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 It's watching us! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 4, 2022 Share Posted December 4, 2022 New thread is up for winter....delayed but not denied https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/58525-e-panjde-winter-2022-2023-obs-thread/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now