Maestrobjwa Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 25 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: For Washington or Baltimore? Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 12z GFS OP kicks the can down the road another week, on to the the GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 I would pay money for the GFS 384hr fantasy storm setup a week before Xmas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 49 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Baltimore I’ve added to the Mid-Atlantic subforum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 54 minutes ago, RedSky said: I would pay money for the GFS 384hr fantasy storm setup a week before Xmas Same here, 17th is my bday so I'd kill for a storm over that weekend. Set up looks a lot better than the first half of the month with more ridging out west, not perfect by any means but enough to potentially do the job. Still think the following week will be the one to watch though as the ridging out west looks to only improve from there. Now just have to hope it moves forward in time and doesn't keep getting pushed back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 2 hours ago, JTA66 said: My fortune cookie from last night sums it up best... Be patient; in time, even an egg will walk. 41F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 EPS with a good look entering the holiday festivities crunch time throw that can in the recycle bin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 1 hour ago, RedSky said: EPS with a good look entering the holiday festivities crunch time throw that can in the recycle bin. Deja Vu of last year already. Watching the EPS show a stellar pattern after 300 hours, everyone getting bricked up about it, then watching the EPS caving to the GEFS under 150 hrs is pure comedy honestly. If we kick the can enough times and are patient enough, eventually we will cash in. It might be the coming week, mid month, late month, or even Jan or Feb. But im optimistic with the blocking we are seeing at HL that we will get our chances and will reap the rewards of being patient. ...eventually. i still like dec 10-20 window. I know thats a broad range but with all the changes happening under the nao block, we just cant know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 NYC forum saying the upgraded GFS is worse than the current GFS. Gonna be a long winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 7 hours ago, The Iceman said: Really need the PNA to pop positive. Things look good in the NAO/AO domain beginning now, but until we get some ridging in the west we're going to be stuck in the cold/dry > warm up/wet cycle. Living in Phoenix now, so I like this post. A ridge in the right place gives me my 75 to 80 degrees, and you guys good snow. Many times the southwest (LA and Phoenix) broiled while we were getting dumped on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 22 minutes ago, Voyager said: Living in Phoenix now, so I like this post. A ridge in the right place gives me my 75 to 80 degrees, and you guys good snow. Many times the southwest (LA and Phoenix) broiled while we were getting dumped on. Congrats, Voyager! I know you’ll enjoy your new climate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 10 hours ago, RedSky said: I would pay money for the GFS 384hr fantasy storm setup a week before Xmas Accuweather already has spoken Warm Dry and Mild Maine to Florida west to the Ohio Valley all the way to Texas and all points in between sorry! LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 8 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: And We Wait! Soon! Soon! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 33 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Accuweather already has spoken Warm Dry and Mild Maine to Florida west to the Ohio Valley all the way to Texas and all points in between sorry! LOL Spiked eggnog or is this Accuweathers December outlook? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 34 minutes ago, RedSky said: Spiked eggnog or is this Accuweathers December outlook? More importantly what does family member think or weather bug? It's important and critical information. Dec far outlook forecast for North Wales from Accuweather. Seems decent, no blowtorch. https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/north-wales/19454/december-weather/340464?year=2022 BTW: Chrome spellchecker corrected me on accuweather and it should be be "weatherco*k"...interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 Batch of stuff ready to move in... 51F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: Batch of stuff ready to move in... 51F So much for putting up Christmas lights today 50F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 I take full accountability for the extended delay in the favorable pattern change. Ever since I tuned up my snowblower Thursday the ens have been delaying things. On a good note, the thing runs clean as new and all my Christmas decorating outdoors was finished at 1030pm last night. The lights look amazing in the umm rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 And whats with these 20 foot skeletons people still have in their front yards from Halloween? Saw like 3 yesterday with Santa hats on them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 9 hours ago, RedSky said: Spiked eggnog or is this Accuweathers December outlook? suppose it's their December outlook? You know how they are they change every 3-model cycle runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: And whats with these 20 foot skeletons people still have in their front yards from Halloween? Saw like 3 yesterday with Santa hats on them. You must have driven through my neighborhood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 Rainfall so far is up to 0.28" - rain should end from the west by around noon. Sunny and colder tomorrow before milder again with showers for mid-week before the pattern change to colder looks to take hold by the end of the work week. As that respected meteorologist who shall not be names says....delayed but not denied!! The record high for today is 69 degrees from 1998. Record low is 9 degrees from 1976. Daily rain record is 1.12" from 1905. Daily snow record is the 5.2" that fell today back in 1907. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 About .70” so far today, 54F. There’s a drowned woolly bear on the driveway, not sure what that means for winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 17 hours ago, Voyager said: Living in Phoenix now, so I like this post. A ridge in the right place gives me my 75 to 80 degrees, and you guys good snow. Many times the southwest (LA and Phoenix) broiled while we were getting dumped on. You are definitely in Heat Miser's kingdom (although further north up in the mountains where Flagstaff is, they do get frozen precip)! I ended up with a high of 47 Tues, and of 46 on the last day of November after a low of 37. And December did start out December-like with highs/lows of 41/30 and 44/26, along with some dps that were in the 20s. This morning's low was a big non-diurnal change with a 43 just after midnight and the temp rising slowly ever since. So far with the initial round of rain pretty much moving towards the coast, I got 0.49" from it and it's currently an overcast and misty 55 with dp 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 5 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: And whats with these 20 foot skeletons people still have in their front yards from Halloween? Saw like 3 yesterday with Santa hats on them. They symbolize what inflation has done to Santa I reckon, just like smaller portions of everything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 The sun has peaked out here a few times last hour otherwise cloudy 0.52" of rain today 56 degrees dewpoint 53 pressure 29.78 winds SW 25-35 typical weather associated with the La Nina Lakes Cutters. I am trying to be patient, but I have seen this song and dance before. My theory is to blame the warm Pacific, Atlantic, and Gulf of Mexico Waters. Let's see what happens between December 9th to 15th for further clues if winter will show up this year or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 Sun popped out about 2:30 pm an the temp is probably sitting at the day's high (which is 57, with dp 54 so far) before the cold front comes through. There's some kind of line to the NW that might be associated with the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 Squall line through brief heavy rain gusty winds temp was 56 now down to 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 18z GFS pushes the good pattern out into January possibly, says AccuWeather you guys genius lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 The line came through here giving me another 0.18" of rain (no convection though) for a total of 0.67" for that 2-round event. The temp didn't drop off much yet as I think the front is still a bit west of here. Currently misty and 55 with dp 53. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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