SnoSki14 Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Looks like we should get a good batch. Don't know if there's anything severe there though but any rain is good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Looks like a blown forecast here in NE Sussex county for this afternoon. Looking at radar, it's slipping southeast of us. Maybe the 2nd line late this evening will produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Warning for Monmouth and ocean. Just light stuff up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks like we should get a good batch. Don't know if there's anything severe there though but any rain is good Too bad the northern part of the batch weakened. Just some light to moderate rain for a little while here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Uneventful. Like the entire season has been. Just enough rain to wet the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 And we’re back…… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 I'm not biting but there's a nice line in Central PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Not a drop as of yet. Clear skies. Supposed to be 70% chance of numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. I need a job where I can screw up so often and not be disciplined or fired. Lol! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 After a few additional showers or thundershowers tonight, tomorrow will be another warm day with temperatures rising to near or somewhat above normal levels. Afterward, cooler air will be bleeding into the region. The week could end with unseasonably cool temperatures. Developments in ENSO Region 1+2 could have implications for October's temperature anomalies. A decline in the anomaly to -1.0°C or below would likely mean a warmer than normal outcome. Since 1950, 11/13 (85%) of cases where the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.0°C or below were warmer than normal in the northern Mid-Atlantic region. In New York City, the mean monthly temperature for those cases was 59.3° (the current normal is 57.9°). Of the two cooler cases, 1967 was slightly below normal while 1988 was much cooler than normal. Later this week, Cuba will face a potential major hurricane threat and the Gulf Coast of Florida could face a hurricane threat. In part due to Merbok's impact on the jet stream, September will likely end with cooler than normal conditions. The cool weather could continue into the start of October. In the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The August ECMWF forecast shows a warmer than normal September in the Northeast. This warmth would be consistent with the ongoing warming that has been occurring in September. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.0°C for the week centered around September 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.00°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +24.07 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.108 today. On September 23 the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 0.478 (RMM). The September 22-adjusted amplitude was 0.500 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 70% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 69.7° (0.5° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Nice lightning storm in progress out here. 230 strikes in the past 3 hours with this activity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Decent line moving north and seems to merging with that moving northeast. Getting a nice light show to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Somerville area must be getting blasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Pouring here now and a decent amount of lightning. Glad we're getting something good afterall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 We have been getting doused over the past hour. Total on the day up to 0.64” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Rain. But the best is to my north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Pouring here now and a decent amount of lightning. Glad we're getting something good afterall. .5" in about 5 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: .5" in about 5 minutes Yeah a good amount of rain even though it was very brief. Came down in buckets. Looking at radar, we could see another downpour in a little while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Looks like Long Island may get some decent rain after all. Certainly missed the first batch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 10 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah a good amount of rain even though it was very brief. Came down in buckets. Looking at radar, we could see another downpour in a little while. Yeah this 2nd line looks intense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 12 minutes ago, lee59 said: Looks like Long Island may get some decent rain after all. Certainly missed the first batch It’s going to miss us to the north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah this 2nd line looks intense Yeah it's just hitting here now. Starting to pour again and just had a very close lightning strike. My DirecTV just went out again too. Annoying that it's messing up me watching the football game, but I'm glad we're getting the rain. Another very small storm, so it'll pour for only a few minutes again but it's very intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Pouring with thunder and lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Just now, winterwx21 said: Yeah it's just hitting here now. Starting to pour again and just had a very close lightning strike. My DirecTV just went out again too. Annoying that it's messing up me watching the football game, but I'm glad we're getting the rain. Another very small storm, so it'll pour for only a few minutes again but it's very intense. Thunder and a present downpour in RedHook. As always …. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Nyc and ewr about to get a good burst of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Nyc and ewr about to get a good burst of rain Pouring here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Thunder and lightning here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Heavy rain, lightning, thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Solid evening thunderstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Thunder here but so far a LIE and north heavy rain, what else is new. Hopefully the rain to the west will hit the rest of the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 31 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah it's just hitting here now. Starting to pour again and just had a very close lightning strike. My DirecTV just went out again too. Annoying that it's messing up me watching the football game, but I'm glad we're getting the rain. Another very small storm, so it'll pour for only a few minutes again but it's very intense. Round #3 incoming in a few though it could miss to the north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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