SACRUS Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 0.28 in the bucket and down to 61 from a morning high of 80. WIll be the coolest here since May 9th tonight / fri fri night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 .40” at the wantagh meso. For once the south shore wasn’t shut out. Big waves tomorrow from fiona!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 44 minutes ago, psv88 said: Down to 63 in commack. Fall has arrived. First real “step down” anyway from summer. About 0.8” here, looks like that’ll do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 Beautiful now. Sunny and the temp popped up to 68. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 44 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: .40” at the wantagh meso. For once the south shore wasn’t shut out. Big waves tomorrow from fiona! . I’m at JB6 right now, and there’s some big rollers already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 Time to watch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 Underwhelming in west babylon. But it was heavy for a bit. No measurement but I’d guess maybe .5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scootmandu Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 We got .44 in Fort Salonga, in NW Suffolk. Temperature and dew point really started to drop shortly before noon. Bottomed out around 4 PM, before inching back up. Now 63/59. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 0.66" 830am Thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 0.71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 Just .31" for the event here. UNLESS moisture from 98L eventually gets up here will be dry over the next 7 days with sprawling high pressure over the area. All will hinge on what track 98L eventually takes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 A strong cold front moved across the region during the morning and early afternoon bringing showers and thundershowers. In response, temperatures began falling even as the sun returned. Tomorrow, many parts of the region will experience their coldest temperatures so far this season. Temperatures will warm up during the second half of the weekend. However, in part due to Merbok's impact on the jet stream, September will likely end with cooler than normal conditions. During Saturday, Hurricane Fiona will likely make landfall in Atlantic Canada. With a contribution from the ongoing marine heatwave, Fiona will likely do so as a category 2 hurricane. Canada's lowest barometric pressure on record could be challenged. In the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The August ECMWF forecast shows a warmer than normal September in the Northeast. This warmth would be consistent with the ongoing warming that has been occurring in September. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.0°C for the week centered around September 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.00°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +12.72 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.341 today. On September 20 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 0.336 (RMM). The September 19-adjusted amplitude was 0.365 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 61% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 69.9° (0.7° above normal). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 83 degrees with light rain showers from 98L down here in Aruba. I have a feeling I’ll see rain again from this system considering I’ll be back in NY in 48 hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 0z eps 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Chilly this morning. Definitely a fall feel 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 The OP Euro is a faster outlier with the track of the tropical system next week. Several EPS members stall the system near the Southeast as blocking builds to the north. So the strength of the blocking will determine if we can get a decent rain or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 The last 8 days of September are averaging 63degs.(56/70) or -3. Month to date is 72.6[+1.9]. September should end at 70.0[+0.8]. Reached 76 here yesterday before Noon. Then fell to 63 and then back up to 72 in the late PM. 51*(57%RH) here at 7am. 53* at 9am. 57* at Noon. 60* at 1:30pm. 62* at 3pm. 63* at 4pm. As for 98L: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 12 minutes ago, bluewave said: The OP Euro is a faster outlier with the track of the tropical system next week. Several EPS members stall the system near the Southeast as blocking builds to the north. So the strength of the blocking will determine if we can get a decent rain or not. Gfs just rots it in the southeast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 24 minutes ago, bluewave said: The OP Euro is a faster outlier with the track of the tropical system next week. Several EPS members stall the system near the Southeast as blocking builds to the north. So the strength of the blocking will determine if we can get a decent rain or not. Pressure gradient between high to the north and Hermine to the south would create vast onshore flow at a minimum (assuming the OP EURO is onto something with track up coast) with above normal tides and coastal flooding up to SNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today sunny but unseasonably cool. High temperatures will reach the middle 60s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 64° Newark: 66° Philadelphia: 67° Tomorrow will be another cool day. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 73.5°; 15-Year: 74.7° Newark: 30-Year: 75.1°; 15-Year: 76.3° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 76.3°; 15-Year: 77.4° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 12 minutes ago, MANDA said: Pressure gradient between high to the north and Hermine to the south would create vast onshore flow at a minimum (assuming the OP EURO is onto something with track up coast) with above normal tides and coastal flooding up to SNE. Most of the guidance like the EPS and GEM have a slower track north with Hermine. So the OP Euro seems to be on its own at 0z The other models have Hermine missing the first trough and stalling out near Florida. The GEM may be the middle ground with Herimine finally getting lifted north with the second trough next weekend. Hopefully, we can eventually get some rain from this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Some snow in Lake Placid, upstate NY. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 I can’t remember the last time we had one of these fall fronts. This was very well forecasted from last week on the guidance 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 14 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I can’t remember the last time we had one of these fall fronts. This was very well forecasted from last week on the guidance Newark has a shot at 40s tomorrow am which would be early by recent standards. First/Last Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Difference Minimum 05-01 (2018) 09-02 (2017) 110 Mean 05-16 09-28 134 Maximum 06-02 (2015) 10-18 (2021) 164 2021 05-30 (2021) 48 10-18 (2021) 46 140 2020 05-21 (2020) 47 09-19 (2020) 48 120 2019 05-15 (2019) 45 09-19 (2019) 49 126 2018 05-01 (2018) 44 10-13 (2018) 47 164 2017 05-14 (2017) 44 09-02 (2017) 49 110 2016 05-16 (2016) 40 10-10 (2016) 47 146 2015 06-02 (2015) 49 10-02 (2015) 48 121 2014 05-07 (2014) 47 10-05 (2014) 44 150 2013 05-27 (2013) 46 09-15 (2013) 48 110 2012 05-11 (2012) 48 09-25 (2012) 48 136 2011 05-06 (2011) 44 10-02 (2011) 49 148 2010 05-13 (2010) 43 10-03 (2010) 49 142 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 30 minutes ago, bluewave said: Newark has a shot at 40s tomorrow am which would be early by recent standards. First/Last Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Difference Minimum 05-01 (2018) 09-02 (2017) 110 Mean 05-16 09-28 134 Maximum 06-02 (2015) 10-18 (2021) 164 2021 05-30 (2021) 48 10-18 (2021) 46 140 2020 05-21 (2020) 47 09-19 (2020) 48 120 2019 05-15 (2019) 45 09-19 (2019) 49 126 2018 05-01 (2018) 44 10-13 (2018) 47 164 2017 05-14 (2017) 44 09-02 (2017) 49 110 2016 05-16 (2016) 40 10-10 (2016) 47 146 2015 06-02 (2015) 49 10-02 (2015) 48 121 2014 05-07 (2014) 47 10-05 (2014) 44 150 2013 05-27 (2013) 46 09-15 (2013) 48 110 2012 05-11 (2012) 48 09-25 (2012) 48 136 2011 05-06 (2011) 44 10-02 (2011) 49 148 2010 05-13 (2010) 43 10-03 (2010) 49 142 The new climate normal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Chilly this morning. Definitely a fall feel The wind definitely makes it feel cool outside. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Nhc expecting a major hurricane to hit Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Missing summer already 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T5403CG Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 58f @11:30am.. in SW Suffolk... Beautiful Sent from my moto g power (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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