T5403CG Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 Our front associated rains usually are best with warm fronts coming in from the SW... looks like some nice showers developing down that way... headed for SW Suffolk...I dare say... we may see our first heavy down pours since early June...Sent from my moto g power (2021) using TapatalkOnce again... looks like the marine air taking the wind out of the energy off the coast...Just can't catch a break this year...Sent from my moto g power (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 Yes it looks like nothing has changed for Long Island, at least at this point. First round of rain, very little here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T5403CG Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 Yes it looks like nothing has changed for Long Island, at least at this point. First round of rain, very little here.Some light rain at best... Maybe somewhere out east gets a downpour Sent from my moto g power (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 Coming down pretty good here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 49 minutes ago, T5403CG said: Once again... looks like the marine air taking the wind out of the energy off the coast... Just can't catch a break this year... Sent from my moto g power (2021) using Tapatalk And the beat goes on. Why expect change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 .50 now. Nice gentle soaking for the lawns which badly need it around here 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 almost nothing here-couple light showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 90-95% of it’s been sheet drizzle here. Something like a light rain shower now. We have a shot at something more significant tomorrow night but otherwise this will likely be another snoozer for coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 A system will likely continue to bring light to occasionally moderate rain to the region tomorrow perhaps into Tuesday. The coolest air mass so far this season will likely arrive late in the week. In the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The August ECMWF forecast shows a warmer than normal September in the Northeast. This warmth would be consistent with the ongoing warming that has been occurring in September. On August 18, the SOI fell to -32.90. Since 1991, there were 8 cases when the SOI fell to -30 or below during the August 10-25 period. That outcome has often preceded a wetter than normal September in parts of the Northeast. Mean September rainfall figures for those 8 cases: Boston: 4.38" (normal: 3.55"); New York City: 5.08" (normal: 4.31"); and, Philadelphia: 5.12" (normal: 4.40"). Very wet years outnumbered very dry ones by a 2:1 ratio in Boston and 3:1 ratio in both New York City and Philadelphia. 63% of cases saw at least one day with 1" or more rainfall in Boston. 88% saw at least one day with 1" or more in New York City and Philadelphia. 50% of those cases saw at least one day with 2" or more daily rainfall in Philadelphia. In sum, the SOI may be offering a signal that there will be some drought relief for the northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England regions in September. On September 7, Philadelphia picked up 1.22" of rain. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around August 31. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.95°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +13.91 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.755 today. On September 9 the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 0.446 (RMM). The September 8-adjusted amplitude was 0.722 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 66% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 70.6° (1.4° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 0.01 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 0.11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 And we are denied yet again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 .14 but it's wetter than you'd expect after so little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 Tonight Showers before 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Low around 66. South wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, TWCCraig said: Ok 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, TWCCraig said: Sadly not happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: .50 now. Nice gentle soaking for the lawns which badly need it around here Same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scootmandu Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 Very light, drizzly rain continues on and off. We finally made it to .10, so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 O-k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 12, 2022 Author Share Posted September 12, 2022 Picked up 0.37" of rain for the day yesterday. Current temp 71/DP 70/RH 98% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 been raining steadily since 10:30 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 nyc has picked up .50 of rain.. since yesterday.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T5403CG Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 nyc has picked up .50 of rain.. since yesterday..Some nice storms along Long Islands north shore over night... south shore and east... mainly dry... Perhaps .2" here in SW Suffolk...Another miss...Incredible...Sent from my moto g power (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will be variably cloudy. Showers and thundershowers are possible. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 82° Newark: 84° Philadelphia: 85° Much cooler air will arrive late in the week. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 77.7°; 15-Year: 78.2° Newark: 30-Year: 79.2°; 15-Year: 79.8° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 80.4°; 15-Year: 80.8° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 Reminder this is a weather forum. If you wanna play in the mud there is a politics forum (and apparently no mud to be found in long island, we get it. It didnt rain). 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 Picked .28 inch of rain from yesterday and last night event. Better than I expected. Looks like a week of normal temperatures coming up. Thursday and Friday night look fairly chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 Endless summer pattern so far this month across the area. Many urban stations still haven’t fallen below 60° yet. Several suburban stations haven’t dropped below 55° yet. These are among the warmest minimums we have seen this far into September. There is a chance that we may finally pass these early fall benchmarks by later this week with a brief cool down. But temperatures rebound back to around 90° by early next week. So September has become more like a 4th month of summer rather than the first month of fall. Very warm minimums so far across the area Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Lowest Min Temperature Aug 1 to Sep 12 Missing Count 1 2015-09-12 63 0 2 2022-09-12 62 1 3 2020-09-12 61 0 - 2016-09-12 61 0 - 2014-09-12 61 0 - 1996-09-12 61 0 4 1966-09-12 60 0 - 1947-09-12 60 0 - 1905-09-12 60 0 Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Lowest Min Temperature Aug 1 to Sep 12 Missing Count 1 2015-09-12 57 0 - 2011-09-12 57 0 - 1996-09-12 57 6 2 2022-09-12 56 1 3 2005-09-12 55 0 - 1999-09-12 55 5 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Lowest Min Temperature Aug 1 to Sep 12 Missing Count 1 1996-09-12 58 0 2 2020-09-12 57 0 - 2018-09-12 57 0 - 2014-09-12 57 0 3 2022-09-12 56 1 - 2016-09-12 56 0 - 2015-09-12 56 0 - 1983-09-12 56 0 Brief cool down later this week 90° readings may return by early next week 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 .32 Wantage NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 about a half inch of rain overnight here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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