forkyfork Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 help us second low, you're our only hope 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Also shows even less for E Ct and RI, and they’re getting into the action right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: help us second low, you're our only hope Hate, hate, hate delays. Almost never works out. We can kiss the first round goodbye as it’s focused on SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 23 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: everything seems to be blossoming N of 95 in CT. Whatever is left to our SW is highly disorganized. Just don’t see how we get some good rains from this That low riding the front is our best shot 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, forkyfork said: help us second low, you're our only hope Exactly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 23 minutes ago, psv88 said: 3 to 2 inches. Putting the sprinklers on i think you get at least 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 If south shore LI escapes this we are screwed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: That low riding the front is our best shot Yup, just have to wait and see if it happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 I think a prolonged period of rain will give Long Island over an inch of rain. Much needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 This omg it’s a bust is annoying the big rain wasn’t supposed to start until late tonight into tomorrow…. Let it play out folks! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, allgame830 said: This omg it’s a bust is annoying the big rain wasn’t supposed to start until late tonight into tomorrow…. Let it play out folks! It’s been a long, painful, stretch. We’re war torn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Just now, Rmine1 said: It’s been a long, painful, stretch. We’re war torn Ya I get it! But let the second play out first before saying it’s a bust…. That’s where the rain was mostly coming from anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 89 for me today just missing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 At least SNE drought was busted. Only LI left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 42 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i think you get at least 2 No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 25 minutes ago, qg_omega said: No Yeah. Second hope appears to be be to far north to bring us the goods 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 1 hour ago, allgame830 said: This omg it’s a bust is annoying the big rain wasn’t supposed to start until late tonight into tomorrow…. Let it play out folks! Certainly did here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 As others have said it'll really be a nowcast with how the second low evolves. Hopefully the NAM/GFS are right on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Tonight coastal sections should see a few showers increasing after midnight with an isolated thunderstorm or two. Heavy rainfall tonight over coastal areas looks to be in pockets so while anyone could jackpot with an inch of rain in an hour a mile or two away gets .25" or less. As of now tomorrow morning looks to be extremely bad/good depending on how you look at it with very heavy showers, possibly a thunderstorm over most of the area with many locations receiving over 2.00" rainfall. It continues to slowly diminishes tomorrow afternoon through Wednesday with pockets of an additional 1.00-2.00" or rain. WX/PT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Welcome rains over New England 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Welcome rains over New England Yay SNE. We’re beyond crispy here and everything seems to rotating around LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted September 6, 2022 Share Posted September 6, 2022 RI has been hammered all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 6, 2022 Share Posted September 6, 2022 Clouds gradually pushed into the region this afternoon ahead of a slow-moving front. Showers and thunderstorms along that front will lead to a significant rainfall through early Wednesday. A general 1.00"-2.00" rainfall appears likely with locally higher amounts. Drought-stricken southern New England could see 1.50"-3.00" or rain with some locally much higher amounts. Already, a small part of Rhode Island has seen 3"-6" or rain. Ahead of the front, temperatures climbed well into the 80s. Highs included: Baltimore: 87° Bridgeport: 83° Islip: 85° New York City: 88° Newark: 87° Philadelphia: 90° Washington, DC: 87° The ongoing intense heatwave will continue into Wednesday (and Thursday at some locations) in the West. Today's preliminary high temperatures included: Casper: 97° Cheyenne: 95° (old record: 94°, 2020) ***Record 8th 95° or above day*** Death Valley, CA: 121° ***Record 5th 120° or above day in September*** Denver: 97° Fairfield (Travis Air Force Base), CA: 117° (old record: 96°, 1958) ***New all-time record*** Redding, CA: 113° Reno: 102° (old record: 100°, 2020) Sacramento: 114° (old record: 108°, 1988) ***New September record*** Salinas, CA: 103° (old record: 97°, 2004) Salt Lake City: 104° (old record: 100°, 2020) ***New September record for the 3rd time in 5 days*** San Francisco: 97° (old record: 94°, 2004) San Jose: 104° (old record: 99°, 2008) Santa Rosa, CA: 112° (old record: 101°, 1923 and 2008) ***New September record*** In the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The August ECMWF forecast shows a warmer than normal September in the Northeast. This warmth would be consistent with the ongoing warming that has been occurring in September. On August 18, the SOI fell to -32.90. Since 1991, there were 8 cases when the SOI fell to -30 or below during the August 10-25 period. That outcome has often preceded a wetter than normal September in parts of the Northeast. Mean September rainfall figures for those 8 cases: Boston: 4.38" (normal: 3.55"); New York City: 5.08" (normal: 4.31"); and, Philadelphia: 5.12" (normal: 4.40"). Very wet years outnumbered very dry ones by a 2:1 ratio in Boston and 3:1 ratio in both New York City and Philadelphia. 63% of cases saw at least one day with 1" or more rainfall in Boston. 88% saw at least one day with 1" or more in New York City and Philadelphia. 50% of those cases saw at least one day with 2" or more daily rainfall in Philadelphia. In sum, the SOI may be offering a signal that there will be some drought relief for the northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England regions in September. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around August 31. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.95°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +19.26 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.792 today. On September 3 the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 0.549 (RMM). The September 2-adjusted amplitude was 0.587 (RMM). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 6, 2022 Share Posted September 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: RI has been hammered all day Not modeled, at least by GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 6, 2022 Share Posted September 6, 2022 9/5 PHL: 90 TEB: 89 NYC: 88 TTN: 88 EWR: 87 New Brnswck: 87 LGA: 87 BLM: 86 ISP: 85 ACY: 84 JFK: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 6, 2022 Share Posted September 6, 2022 Currently under a max rain rate of 3.67”. 1.14” in the bucket so far today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted September 6, 2022 Share Posted September 6, 2022 North Smithtown rain totals: June 2022 3.44" July 2022 2.53" Aug 2022 2.89" Sept 2022 0.34" (today's total so far) 5.76" since July 1 9.20" since June 1 Nothing profoundly wet about that, but it beats the heck out of nothing. Of note was 1.75" in an hour the morning of 8/24 when most places, including elsewhere on the north shore, got nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 6, 2022 Share Posted September 6, 2022 Rain today, turned into rain tonight. Neither happened. Now we’re relegated to tomorrow, and further delayed onset. Fully expecting dry conditions tomorrow am at this point 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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