Rmine1 Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: So why did you ask? Please help me! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: can we get a few more 95 degree days? by october 1st fall will have arrived a little late... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 1 hour ago, Rmine1 said: Too bad there is no betting on forecasts (they already give you the probabilities). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 9/12 PHL: 86 EWR: 85 TEB: 85 BLM: 83 ACY: 83 TTN: 83 New Brnswck: 82 LGA: 82 ISP: 81 NYC: 81 JFK: 79 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Is that a hurricane hitting Los Angeles??? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Under partly sunny skies, temperatures rose into the 80s across much of the region today. Through midweek, temperatures will average somewhat above normal. Afterward, the coolest air mass so far this season will likely overspread the region. Noticeably warmer air could again return early next week. In the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The August ECMWF forecast shows a warmer than normal September in the Northeast. This warmth would be consistent with the ongoing warming that has been occurring in September. On August 18, the SOI fell to -32.90. Since 1991, there were 8 cases when the SOI fell to -30 or below during the August 10-25 period. That outcome has often preceded a wetter than normal September in parts of the Northeast. Mean September rainfall figures for those 8 cases: Boston: 4.38" (normal: 3.55"); New York City: 5.08" (normal: 4.31"); and, Philadelphia: 5.12" (normal: 4.40"). Very wet years outnumbered very dry ones by a 2:1 ratio in Boston and 3:1 ratio in both New York City and Philadelphia. 63% of cases saw at least one day with 1" or more rainfall in Boston. 88% saw at least one day with 1" or more in New York City and Philadelphia. 50% of those cases saw at least one day with 2" or more daily rainfall in Philadelphia. In sum, the SOI may be offering a signal that there will be some drought relief for the northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England regions in September. On September 7, Philadelphia picked up 1.22" of rain. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.0°C for the week centered around September 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.00°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +19.67 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.510 today. On September 10 the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 0.244 (RMM). The September 9-adjusted amplitude was 0.446 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 68% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 70.8° (1.6° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 41 minutes ago, Dark Star said: Too bad there is no betting on forecasts (they already give you the probabilities). Jake’s 58 would be broke! Radar favors wantagh pkwy west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 4 hours ago, forkyfork said: can we get a few more 95 degree days? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Radar filling in now over northern and central nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Radar filling in now over northern and central nj Where’s the screw zone? I actually know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 .25 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, Allsnow said: .25 already Nice. Doubt we see anything out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Just now, Rmine1 said: Nice. Doubt we see anything out here I think the further west you’re on the island the better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 42 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Radar filling in now over northern and central nj Agreed. Another miss for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Pouring 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 It is muggy outside with no wind. Maybe a recipe for some decent rains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 1.06 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 close to 1" now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 see flashes in the distance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 ripping rain with lightning and thunder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Deluge in the bronx. Close to 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 1.43" at lga. 0" at jfk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T5403CG Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 1.43" at lga. 0" at jfk.15" or so in SW Suffolk, much more NW of us.. Perhaps .65" over the last eight days... wettest week since early June... around 3" since June 1st....Next shot of precip looks to be around the 26th.... That gives us here around 2" for the entire summer... And a continuing severe drought... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Flooded advisory for the Bronx and Westchester. Flash flood warnings for parts of northeast New Jersey. Storms just keep rebuilding over the same areas More forming to the South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Omg warm front convection is finally working out for...some of us I know @forkyforkis happy with his fake heat loving *** 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 We'll be over 2" in The Bronx with this new batch moving up from Staten Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Only rained heavy for about 10 minutes here on the South Shore of Nassau County but it was the heaviest rain in a couple months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Dude this is the most rain as nd thunder I've had all summer. Literally having a cup of jw black to celebrate. Ugh it's been so long man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Btw this is a rotating supercell and it's headed for Brooklyn.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 I feel like @weatherwiz I'm deadass overjoyed right now lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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