Typhoon Tip Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Bust in the wind ahhaha ..for some reason I had to lean forward laughing when I read that - all we are is bust in the winnnnnnnnnd. I think it is because of the next lyric, "saaaame ollllld sooonnnnng" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 Having said that ... F! why oh why as tropical phenomenon enthusiasts ... must we be shown a "deterministic" solution, that ... really defies any formulaic convention to find a flaw in its design (about 100%), at range that is about 0% likely to verify? That's well above the 95th ...perhaps 98th percentile - you could fiddle with that some and still make out alright as a "responsible mentality" LOL ... you sickos ... j/k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 That goes right up the CTRV . Yes f’ing please ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 And there comes grapply CAA showers into the Lakes 3 days later, with flips to snow in the U.P. It seems every year we canvas a GFS painting at this range like that. I swear I saw a 15 contoured hornet sting E of the Del Marva last year around this time...and the year before, and the year before that. ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That goes right up the CTRV . Yes f’ing please ! Uhhh no, it's east of the CT River Valley. E. LI over Worcester to Nashua to ET transistion over Montreal. It's actually a send in structural engineers for the Prudential Tower in the aftermath sort of track - 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That goes right up the CTRV . Yes f’ing please ! Only 45 runs to go! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Only 45 runs to go! Are the Pats home that Sunday? Maybe the wind can help propel the Pats into the end zone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: Only 45 runs to go! Just remember, models often lose the big ones quickly, only to bring them back as we get closer. Just say that for the next 35 of those 45 runs. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Just remember, models often lose the big ones quickly, only to bring them back as we get closer. Just say that for the next 35 of those 45 runs. Ah I don’t know if that phenomenon applies to the tropics…? ha. That’s more of a hemisphere planetary wave management issue, which is where and what hosts extratropical cyclones… Those kind of big events. The tropics remind me … especially at this range. It’s like the spray that comes out of a particle collision at Hadron And the metaphor kind of works for me because I suspect the handling the tropical interactive fusion with the westerlies is a lot more fundamental - sort of prior to the ongoing orchestration of atmospheric mechanics that are already in play when the models first detect them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 14, 2022 Author Share Posted September 14, 2022 16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Are the Pats home that Sunday? Maybe the wind can help propel the Pats into the end zone No. @ Pit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Ah I don’t know if that phenomenon applies to the tropics…? ha. That’s more of a hemisphere planetary wave management issue, which is where and what hosts extratropical cyclones… Those kind of big events. The tropics remind me … especially at this range. It’s like the spray that comes out of a particle collision at Hadron And the metaphor kind of works for me because I suspect the handling the tropical interactive fusion with the westerlies is a lot more fundamental - sort of prior to the ongoing orchestration of atmospheric mechanics that are already in play when the models first detect them. Ha, yeah I was saying that tongue in cheek. Once that disappears from the model in a run, it’s not coming back . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 14, 2022 Author Share Posted September 14, 2022 41 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Having said that ... F! why oh why as tropical phenomenon enthusiasts ... must we be shown a "deterministic" solution, that ... really defies any formulaic convention to find a flaw in its design (about 100%), at range that is about 0% likely to verify? That's well above the 95th ...perhaps 98th percentile - you could fiddle with that some and still make out alright as a "responsible mentality" LOL ... you sickos ... j/k That actually could be worse.....it crosses near the tip of LI, as is, so much of LI would be spared the catastrophic surge. Send that 50-70mi westward if you would like to wipe them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 Maybe we can have a repeat of 9/30/92....only 60 runs to go 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No. @ Pit That’s this Sunday. They home on the 25th, against Ravens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: That goes right up the CTRV . Yes f’ing please ! “GFS lol. Nobody uses it to forecast.” 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Whineminster said: Smell of woodsmoke in the air? For some i would assume so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 14, 2022 Author Share Posted September 14, 2022 28 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s this Sunday. They home on the 25th, against Ravens. Oh, I misread his question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 5 hours ago, dryslot said: I don't know what folks expectations are, Outside of the high dews, It was a very good summer weather wise. And those high dews didn't arrive here until mid-July, and went away first of this month, though with a lame cameo Mon-Tues. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 14, 2022 Author Share Posted September 14, 2022 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Maybe we can have a repeat of 9/30/92....only 60 runs to go No recollection of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No recollection of that. Snow at ORH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Snow at ORH Hard pass. 70 and sunny is better on 9/30. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No recollection of that. 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No recollection of that. Was not the best winter. No one should be rooting for that or Roctober snows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 No acorns this year to speak of other than 1 Oak . And even that is dropping only a couple. It’s been several years at least since we haven’t had heavy heavy acorns. Heaviest acorns in years and they started early. Need a helmet at times out in the yard. Sent from my SM-A505U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Was not the best winter. No one should be rooting for that or Roctober snows Seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Seriously? Based on our climate now and what is even possible .. I guess I’d sign up for 92-93.. but it wasn’t memorable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Based on our climate now and what is even possible .. I guess I’d sign up for 92-93.. but it wasn’t memorable It was good in Tolland. What did Stafford get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 Saw my first flying-V of Canadian geese noisily flying by this evening. The animals know change is coming. Wasn’t really a nice dry air mass today, dews hanging 55-57F. But the weather pattern felt like “cold season” in gusty WNW winds and quick moving orographic showers. Cyclonic flow popcorn stuff that in another month is usually chances of graupel. Type of day where mountain sees a tenth or two of water total and tapering to my 0.05” in town, probably a hundredth at a time over five showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 Change is coming … but lol I’ve been seeing them crossing over this region all summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 15, 2022 Share Posted September 15, 2022 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Was not the best winter. No one should be rooting for that or Roctober snows It actually was a very snowy winter. BOS with 83”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted September 15, 2022 Share Posted September 15, 2022 Dec 92 and March 93 in the same season is kinda nuts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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