dendrite Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Exactly the same here. 64/61, cool refreshing air. I would think severe would have a hard time getting here unless the warm front can make some progress north in the next few hours. HRRR never gets the soupy air north of the MA border, but hits VT/NH hard. Still good forcing with the cold fropa. That upper level cold pool goes right through NNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 .29" here. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: HRRR never gets the soupy air north of the MA border, but hits VT/NH hard. Still good forcing with the cold fropa. That upper level cold pool goes right through NNE. You'll get some action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 13, 2022 Author Share Posted September 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Are there any secrets to getting over to Beverly from here ... instead of a 495 N to 3 S, to 95 N ?? I mean my recollection of those demographic conduits is that they fail to be conduits from 7:10 am to 9am, and 4:45pm to 7pm Ha.....this is why I will only move so far west, working in Chelsea....its an unmitigated disaster. Route 2? That probably blows, too.... Just shooting south down I 93S is somewhat manageable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 13, 2022 Author Share Posted September 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Exactly the same here. 64/61, cool refreshing air. I would think severe would have a hard time getting here unless the warm front can make some progress north in the next few hours. 74.5/69.3 IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 13, 2022 Author Share Posted September 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Give me a few cocktails and tell me you love South Weymouth....You'll get some action. Well, now we know what NOT to say... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Any chilmark reports? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, now we know what NOT to say... He's NH for life. I picture Brian to start shaking uncontrollably when crossing the border on 93. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 13, 2022 Author Share Posted September 13, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: He's NH for life. I picture Brian to start shaking uncontrollably when crossing the border on 93. I wanted to pull the trigger on Westford, but can't do it for the very reason Tip just brought up. Will probably end up in N Tewks or East Dracut.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: He's NH for life. I picture Brian to start shaking uncontrollably when crossing the border on 93. I cross the border into Mass and it looks like Chernobyl. 1 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 MV in crosshairs, over 3" nice to see the lower cape getting some liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 32 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ha.....this is why I will only move so far west, working in Chelsea....its an unmitigated disaster. Route 2? That probably blows, too.... It does, used to travel it quite often. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Peace Dale RI had significant flooding this morning. Big rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Gotta say that thunderstorm complex over the cape is very resilient. Started off around NYC (I think?) early this morning and kept going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIsound Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 2.75 inches since this morning at my house on south coast.lots of rushing water; fortunately ground soaking it up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 I have a weird feeling I may see hail later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Haha euro with a mean backdoor Sun-Wed. GFS has it too. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: Haha euro with a mean backdoor Sun-Wed. GFS has it too. WTTTE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Haha euro with a mean backdoor Sun-Wed. GFS has it too. And another next Tuesday severe threat...potentially with STEEP lapse rates and very strong shear!!! I'm loving these Tuesday threats Maybe September is the new May 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: And another next Tuesday severe threat...potentially with STEEP lapse rates and very strong shear!!! I'm loving these Tuesday threats Maybe September is the new May The weather in September the winter will remember 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Kind of a hybrid standard-BD... Probably one of those deals where the wind is NW for an hour behind the boundary, then here comes the non-analyzed (by WPC ..jerks) obvious wind shift careening in from the NE ... Either way, the high pressure does an end-around NE Maine so what's the difference I guess. Yeah I mentioned I was only going 70 or 80% Euro this morning in deference to climo. The GFS has made the biggest total synoptic modulation over the last 2..3 cycles in even seeing the warm dome farther E across the continent - I would hold back any notion that these 12z looks should have more confidence just because they look the same. Smells like a model peregrinated accidental agreement. Looks like that breaks down to me, prior to Wednesday though? - that afternoon would roast in that look ( relative to climate), with west wind out of a big continental heat dome going fully offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Haha euro with a mean backdoor Sun-Wed. GFS has it too. Someone just smashed their beer bottle on their window ac unit… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 the euro loves overdoing troughs near the maritimes. don't worry guys <3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 EPS laughs . Torch on folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: EPS laughs . Torch on folks EPS is 60s here Sunday…so there’s quite a few members with it. Hopefully it’s wrong because I want more sun and warmth to get my trees rooted a bit more before cold season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: EPS is 60s here Sunday…so there’s quite a few members with it. Hopefully it’s wrong because I want more sun and warmth to get my trees rooted a bit more before cold season. It cooled off next week. Still the chance of 1-2 very warm days, but we’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Ton of blue here now out ahead of the goods in New York. Knock, knock Who's there? Blue. blue who? BLUE SKY BABY!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 This moving into a environment with 1500 MLCAPE and good shear. Someone’s going to have some fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 The excitement is killing me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 600-800 J of hail CAPE too. Any storm that can have a mature enough updraft should be able to drop some hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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