Typhoon Tip Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Superstorm93 said: It's interesting that this product shows a clear preference to topography - That's fine, but it's not like a we have a standard deviation easterly long fetch of PWAT moisture coming headlong into those elevation bands... I don't like that the Euro is doing that without actually carrying along those necessary anomalous parameters. The flow/mechanics just seem too weak to manifest that kind of layout.. Not that anyone asked me but that layout appears too organized for this. The overwhelming/blend therein for this has been for a weak synoptic forcing. It's operating through a 2" (general) PWAT air mass, so just a little lift over the slow moving boundary ...yeah, it should fill in for time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Yeah...looking at this more, kind of a duh factor pops out. Time. ...length thereof ... A miasma of thick mist with light rain falling through a PWAT saturated low level, with occasional embedded moderate bursts ...all lingering onward toward 30 hours would also add up. Sort of out of shape/rusty for durational QPF events given this last 6 months of life around here. Anyway, we'll see. I still don't like the Euro layout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah...looking at this more, kind of a duh factor pops out. Time. ...length thereof ... I miasma of light rain through a PWAT saturated llv, with embedded moderate bursts ...all lingering onward toward 30 hours would also add up. Sort of out of shape/rusty for durational QPF events given this last 6 months of life around here. Anyway, we'll see We prefer the slower rains anyway. The less runoff, the better. Soak it deep and steady. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We prefer the slower rains anyway. The less runoff, the better. Soak it deep and steady. At a medium pace. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Still think the main axis is south of us .. maybe coastal CT/ NYC to Jersey I really hope you’re right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 31 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We prefer the slower rains anyway. The less runoff, the better. Soak it deep and steady. I will take anything that is wet. It will be yeah or nah within the next 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 On 9/3/2022 at 7:51 AM, yoda said: @weatherwiz and others (figured this would get seen more in here rather then in the tropics thread) That is amazing! I've always wondered if something like this would ever be developed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, Hoth said: I really hope you’re right. Just a hunch .. but I don’t think all these massive amounts will be over such a wide area like the Euro has. It should me more narrow . Get that boundary stalled over Philly to CC and it’s a NYC area jack 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Nice bump north on the RGEM and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 12z ICON launching Earl west at the end of the run? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 GFS brings the goods for Brian and me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Just looking at models some really flood tomorrow! Leaving the Orlando Sauna later on today and heading home to a chilly rain it looks like.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: Just looking at models some really flood tomorrow! Leaving the Orlando Sauna later on today and heading home to a chilly rain it looks like.. certainly will not be chilly 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just a hunch .. but I don’t think all these massive amounts will be over such a wide area like the Euro has. It should me more narrow . Get that boundary stalled over Philly to CC and it’s a NYC area jack Congrats on another 1-3”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 GFS gone wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Gfs is a CT flooder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 2”+ for the majority of Rhode Island ct and Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Cmc isn’t that different from the gfs either. Man, I’d kill for this to pan out. We need a longer duration rain here than what we’ve been getting 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 33 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: I will take anything that is wet. It will be yeah or nah within the next 10 minutes. Thats what she said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 kind of a neat feature here. you can see the cold air being favorably drawn down the Champlain Valley - https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Vermont-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 4, 2022 Author Share Posted September 4, 2022 3 hours ago, Superstorm93 said: Miraculous how the QPF axis inexorably settles on that same damn CJ swath lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: kind of a neat feature here. you can see the cold air being favorably drawn down the Champlain Valley - https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Vermont-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Looks like the front is through back home? Was 73F at MVL at 11:30pm and now down to 66F as of 1:20pm. North wind at 10-15mph. Temp is going the wrong way diurnally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 BTV down to 59F by noon after 70F at 7:30am. Good call Tip on the colder air working down the valley. 50s in NVT and 80-85F most of SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 83/70. The muggies are backSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 16 minutes ago, powderfreak said: BTV down to 59F by noon after 70F at 7:30am. Good call Tip on the colder air working down the valley. 50s in NVT and 80-85F most of SNE. gwdlt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 So I guess we’re not bbq and burnin on Labor Day? That idea sank faster than my teams 1st place standing. Sad times 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: gwdlt Yeah it’s real nice in CT at the lake. Hot and humid. Going back north tomorrow AM to avoid the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Handful of 88/65ies out there... Feelin' it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Has this whole idea of a super warm humid week also left us, at least for eastern areas? Serious question. My wunderground forecast went from mid 80’s all later next week to low-mid 70’s with one day at 80 (next Sunday). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Euro soaks through 51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now