Typhoon Tip Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 21 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: 12Z Euro southward ho. Another nickel or dime situation for CNE? Glad SNE is getting the goods. If this keeps up I will be where SNE was a few weeks ago. It's not so much south comparing those two QPF layouts to my eyes. This 12z run's just less in areal coverage. The axis of heaviest is really unchanged. I think that may be "sorta" telling ? - the shrinking This whole ordeal lacks very strong synoptic forcing. The models see the instability with pooling PWAT along the boundary and so forth, but then the physical processing might be too sensitive in ending up with those heavier pervasive results out in time, because it's relaying process from the previous time interval that were overly fed-back. That's why as systems near, they sometimes "shrink" like that. This seems to be a candidate for modulating down as it gets nearer. But it's interesting.. .because, even though that may be true, PWAT pooling with a stalled boundary can then pig rain ...so you have competing offsets there a little bit. We could shrink the total areal coverage and still manifest local downpour proficiency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 26 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: 12Z Euro southward ho. Another nickel or dime situation for CNE? Glad SNE is getting the goods. If this keeps up I will be where SNE was a few weeks ago. I am sort of rooting for the more Stein vocal N.CT to Taunton axis to end up with the most rainfall of all of New England by the time fall arrives so when people look back on water totals in 2022 warm season they’ll be like “what drought?” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 3, 2022 Author Share Posted September 3, 2022 4 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I realize you said, "...One of the," because there are a handful of them out there - just so expectations are properly aligned with signaling. The Euro was approaching a historic D7-10 suggestion last night. It ejects a +20C 850 mb plume through NE during that time span amid a expansive circus tent heat bubble. And it does have at least conceptual backing by its EPS ens. We're losing the sun ...f'n fast now. wow. But I've seen it be 80 in early November from these sort of weird late seen heat release synoptics, ...to mention that happened in February's recently too... so I don't even know why I'm saying this... It can still get pig's bum sultry. Yea, I love how fast the sun is fading away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 man you realize the entire state of Montana is in a red flag advisory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I’d hit the euro. 2-3” of long duration rain. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Euro washes out all of Monday, and most of Tuesday 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hammerz_nailz Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Earlier today down near New London. Visibility about as good as it gets. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 52 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: boundary can then pig rain .. You were my Bahama Blues go to guy. Now instead of raining cats and dogs it can rain pigs. Love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, hammerz_nailz said: Earlier today down near New London. Visibility about as good as it gets. It's great to see a picture of my homeland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 SNE stealing all of the big QPF events as usual 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Shadows are getting long.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, kdxken said: Shadows are getting long.. right ..it's 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 This may end up down in S. Pa and NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 South trend ftl . Congrats mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Taunton with 6-8” of rain in Aug . Just sick 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: South trend ftl . Congrats mid Atlantic Trying hard for it to be in NNE, then models shift it strongly into your area and now you are trying hard for the mid-Atlantic? I can’t figure out if you want rain or not anymore lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Stein doing some work for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Trying hard for it to be in NNE, then models shift it strongly into your area and now you are trying hard for the mid-Atlantic? I can’t figure out if you want rain or not anymore lol. It’s now shifted out south of us as Tip alluded to unfortunately . Can’t win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 15 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Trying hard for it to be in NNE, then models shift it strongly into your area and now you are trying hard for the mid-Atlantic? I can’t figure out if you want rain or not anymore lol. Beer Garden Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s now shifted out south of us as Tip alluded to unfortunately . Can’t win Dangerous using the GFS though, right? 3km NAM had some nice enhancement over the Tolland Massif. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Dangerous using the GFS though, right? 3km NAM had some nice enhancement over the Tolland Massif. Gfs , Nam .. soon to be 18z Euro all south and mainly misses other than convection tomorrow afternoon. Glad we got what we did last week with the heat coming back this upcoming week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Taunton with 6-8” of rain in Aug . Just sick Summer totals . Congrats Tolland County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Summer totals . Congrats Tolland County 10.47 Tolland . Look at Moosup with 13! Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I'm not sure how accurate my Davis rain gauge is but I just went back and checked. Assuming Concord NH averages 3.5" of rain per month I have not had an above normal qpf month since last October's 4.89". I can't say what the qpf for the winter months were but my snowfall was about average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 10.47 Tolland . Look at Moosup with 13! Wow! Lol 8.25, geography definitely not your best subject Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Dangerous using the GFS though, right? 3km NAM had some nice enhancement over the Tolland Massif. Still a shitty cloudy cold Labor day no matter which model you look at. Rain doesn't matter anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 10.47 Tolland . Same as Brett lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 This is the map from the AHPS site for the past 90 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Still a shitty cloudy cold Labor day no matter which model you look at. Rain doesn't matter anymore. What? Severe and extreme drought and it doesn’t matter. Keep toking the spliffs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 10 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: This is the map from the AHPS site for the past 90 days Drenched in Tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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