HoarfrostHubb Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/5/2022 at 12:05 AM, Ginx snewx said: So it begins. Happy Labor day indoor buzz Expand One final (probably) dip in the pool for me today. Two days in the 60s with a bunch or rain and decreasing sun angle will put the kibosh on it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 .05 this evening. If any indication.. a big worry for these big amounts modeled tomorrow night. Have a feeling we see some big changes over night Should be an out door day tomorrow for yard work until any rains come in late day/ evening 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Hoping to score at least an inch and a half 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/5/2022 at 12:28 AM, Damage In Tolland said: .05 this evening. If any indication.. a big worry fir the these big amounts modeled tomorrow night. Should be an out door day tomorrow for yard work Expand Enjoy the inches of rain. Your lead on everyone else grows. Tip of the cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Just razor precision here. Not sure I’ve seen a legit 1.5” pixel adjacent to nada. 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 The GFS is ironically loading Tolland CT in with the max band of 6 to 8" 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/5/2022 at 12:36 AM, Typhoon Tip said: The GFS is ironically loading Tolland CT in with the max band of 6 to 8" Expand The more he denies it the more the models try to flood him. I wish my reverse psychology was that successful. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/5/2022 at 12:36 AM, Typhoon Tip said: The GFS is ironically loading Tolland CT in with the max band of 6 to 8" Expand You start to wonder if you see even 1” when that silliness is modeled . No one is going to Even get 4” . This isn’t a convective situation 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Ok this can seriously go **** off. Backbuilding over the same drenched areas now. Need a convective fart to start the training a little more south. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 From the dude that ends up 3-4” tomorrow up that way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 FFW now north of me. Hope that was Legro that dropped the polygon on my chicken’s head. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/5/2022 at 12:39 AM, Damage In Tolland said: You start to wonder if you see even 1” when that silliness is modeled Expand Lol... heh, I dunno about that, but I agree the 6-8" is ludicrous. What this is, is a modest synoptic forcing with convective modulation mixed in. The models can't pin point where those modulation points will be...but more than less 'recognize' the intrinsic potential. So someone walks by and slaps the side of the cray and that's all the trigger it needs in the super computer LOL. I can see 2-3" as the general potential, with the caveat in mind that this has a higher order for uncertainty than is normal for short duration lead. So if it is 1.5" or 4" that range is in (unfortunately) a broader envelope of possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/5/2022 at 12:44 AM, Typhoon Tip said: Lol... heh, I dunno about that, but I agree the 6-8" is ludicrous. What this is, is a modest synoptic forcing with convective modulation mixed in. The models can't pin point where...but more than less 'recognize' the intrinsic potential. So a someone slaps the side of the cray and that's all the trigger it needs in the super computer LOL. I can see 2-3" as the general potential, with the caveat in mind that that this has a higher order for uncertainty that normal at short duration lead. So if it is 1.5" or 4" that range is in (unfortunately) an broader envelope of possibilities. Expand It will be two jacks .. one in and near Dendy tonight with the actual convection . And another S coast of CT up to near TAN over the CC just north of the boundary. Most everyone else sees a general 1-2” 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 I'll never get tired of watching the oranges and reds wash out over me. .19" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/5/2022 at 12:28 AM, Damage In Tolland said: .05 this evening. If any indication.. a big worry for these big amounts modeled tomorrow night. Have a feeling we see some big changes over night Should be an out door day tomorrow for yard work until any rains come in late day/ evening Expand Through 8-9pm your 0.05” is more rain than numerous models show for you. If any indication you’re ahead of the game? 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/4/2022 at 11:39 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: How much do you have so far? Expand .16” today widespread 1-1.5” on the NE side of town 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/5/2022 at 1:06 AM, powderfreak said: Through 8-9pm your 0.05” is more rain than numerous models show for you. If any indication you’re ahead of the game? Expand Maybe it’s like October snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/5/2022 at 1:37 AM, dendrite said: Maybe it’s like October snow? Expand Drive through some of that rain on 93. I did try to fart for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 .21” so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Nam crushing SNH into NE MA. Lol jacks for everyone depending on model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Way north…nice hit up here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 A nam run we love to see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On the edge here with the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 On 9/5/2022 at 2:28 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: On the edge here with the NAM Expand Due for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 3k drenches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 NAM floods here we take! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 Gfs soaks ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 3k will be wrong has parts of SE CT over a foot.. got a 13.09 on weather.cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 5, 2022 Share Posted September 5, 2022 UKIE is 6 to 10 plus for most of southern CT woah.. someone is going to get some serious flooding looking at the 0z models qpf getting beefed up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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