ROOSTA Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wind won't be the story with this one. 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Agreed Wait. With all the forecasted precipitation, won't take much wind to bring down trees and cut transmission lines. Widespread outages for days. I went 6 days without on just a brush-by a few years ago. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Family in Holiday and Port Richey Come on down WU KFLALTOO10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wind won't be the story with this one. A bit early to say that, but yeah most likely. Surge/rain pretty much always trumps wind besides rare exceptions such as Andrew, King, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 My sister lives about 20 miles inland from Tampa , she says she's plenty far enough inland. I don't argue or disagree to keep things peaceful. Seriously I hope no harm comes to her or her property or anyone she's close to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Gfs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 goofus gon goofus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 One thing I've noticed on the model graphics in particular 10m wind none of them get inland speeds correct. Like the wind stops at the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 42 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: Wait. With all the forecasted precipitation, won't take much wind to bring down trees and cut transmission lines. Widespread outages for days. I went 6 days without on just a brush-by a few years ago. You are correct for things like power and trees. I don’t foresee major structural stuff. But I know squat about these things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 40 minutes ago, dendrite said: goofus gon goofus I love the slobbering over the euro. Can’t wait for weenies to see a 980 low tucked into MVY only to get rug pulled out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Lots of time left still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Finally going NUCLEAR. BOMBS AWAY! LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I love the slobbering over the euro. Can’t wait for weenies to see a 980 low tucked into MVY only to get rug pulled out. We know who the King is with the big dogs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I love the slobbering over the euro. Can’t wait for weenies to see a 980 low tucked into MVY only to get rug pulled out. Lol you are on a tear against the ECMWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I love the slobbering over the euro. Can’t wait for weenies to see a 980 low tucked into MVY only to get rug pulled out. Euro is half the man he used to be, but come on now…the gfs will always blow until they tear it down and rebuild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 21 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 1-2% ? Thanks, we had until today to cancel our reservations without losing any money. Seems like the worst we’ll get is some showers on Sunday and early Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 1 hour ago, codfishsnowman said: My sister lives about 20 miles inland from Tampa , she says she's plenty far enough inland. I don't argue or disagree to keep things peaceful. Seriously I hope no harm comes to her or her property or anyone she's close to She’s probably right . Throw on some shutters and her house should be fine . The other concern is does her neighborhood flood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 34 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Lol you are on a tear against the ECMWF. Some odd posts. Kids will stress you sometimes lol .We know the gfs is awful and many tropical models have input based on it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 33 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Lol you are on a tear against the ECMWF. 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro is half the man he used to be, but come on now…the gfs will always blow until they tear it down and rebuild. It’s had a lot of fails with various things this summer. I was the biggest euro humper out there, but man I feel like it’s just not the same. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 40 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: We know who the King is with the big dogs. Ukie? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Some odd posts. Kids will stress you sometimes lol .We know the gfs is awful and many tropical models have input based on it It’s really not that bad. It’s had a ton of wins with tropicals around the globe. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 When The gfs finds itself on a island , you wanna evacuate 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro is half the man he used to be, but come on now…the gfs will always blow until they tear it down and rebuild. Scoots is cocked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Euro tickles 30 miles west , great timing euro lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s had a lot of fails with various things this summer. I was the biggest euro humper out there, but man I feel like it’s just not the same. It definitely isn’t Dr. No of the past when if it showed something in the mid-ranges, that was always the way to lean. I wonder if it was because the Euro was that advanced of a model or the GFS was just that bad, ha. If it’s tucked in on a nor’easter, you can no longer expect that. Maybe the atmosphere was more conductive to those events back then, but whenever it would be the western most track in coastals it was right… now it’s whatever model is further NE . I agree, the Euro isn’t what it once was… or was is it the GFS has just closed the gap? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 CAT 2 seems NBD for FL, IMO. Even the rain seems to just sink into the limestone they don't seem to ever flood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It definitely isn’t Dr. No of the past when if it showed something in the mid-ranges, that was always the way to lean. I wonder if it was because the Euro was that advanced of a model or the GFS was just that bad, ha. If it’s tucked in on a nor’easter, you can no longer expect that. Maybe the atmosphere was more conductive to those events back then, but whenever it would be the western most track in coastals it was right… now it’s whatever model is further NE . I agree, the Euro isn’t what it once was… or was is it the GFS has just closed the gap? Gfs closed the gap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 9 minutes ago, Whineminster said: CAT 2 seems NBD for FL, IMO. Even the rain seems to just sink into the limestone they don't seem to ever flood Cat 2 is NBd generally. Building codes now will laugh it off. The issue would be surge perhaps in Tampa should it make landfall near or just NW. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 20 minutes ago, Whineminster said: CAT 2 seems NBD for FL, IMO. Even the rain seems to just sink into the limestone they don't seem to ever flood Remember the surprised folks when Katrina moved into and across S FL as a Cat 1? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Cat 2 is NBd generally. Building codes now will laugh it off. The issue would be surge perhaps in Tampa should it make landfall near or just NW. Brady’s TB 12 products floating out into the gulf 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Brady’s TB 12 products floating out into the gulf Along with a wedding ring and a couple of tablets. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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