Hoth Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: That was the original plan. It was about 35ft ASL so I figured it’d be fine from surge. Hotel decided to shut down and I don’t really blame them given the topography there and lack of guidance on surge potential. When I chase I have multiple options so now I’m on the other side of Cape Breton. Probably not ideal because for higher end wind because I’m on the left side of the track, but what I trade with wind (which probably isn’t much based on what I see so far) I gain with a closer center pass. Hopefully. No matter what, this is undoubtedly going to be a high end event for this region. Potential all timer. Awesome. Good luck! I'm sure it's going to be memorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Awesome ^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: Awesome. Good luck! I'm sure it's going to be memorable. Thanks. The thing I worry about most is my current location deciding to shut down and kick me out tomorrow lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Thanks. The thing I worry about most is my current location deciding to shut down and kick me out tomorrow lol. Just bribe 'em with a six of Labatt and you're golden. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Thanks. The thing I worry about most is my current location deciding to shut down and kick me out tomorrow lol. My bet is Canso for eye landfall. It’s on the mainland but it might be best as the causeway might get damaged or even destroyed. Best of luck. I’m going to hunker down at home. Got too much to worry about here to go chasing this. I’m sure I’ll get sone decent winds and hvy rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, Hazey said: My bet is Canso for eye landfall. It’s on the mainland but it might be best as the causeway might get damaged or even destroyed. Best of luck. I’m going to hunker down at home. Got too much to worry about here to go chasing this. I’m sure I’ll get sone decent winds and hvy rain. Thanks and I agree. Hopefully the causeway isn't damaged because then I'm here a little longer than I'd like Best of luck out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 48 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m heading down to RI tomorrow. The swell just bumped a little at the Texas tower bouy About 50 miles S of Long Island . 6 ft @ 14 seconds which is a larger breaking wave and that will build . I anticipate a peak tommorrow around 9 feet at 16 seconds which I think is up to a 15 foot face Will be at Weekapaug after noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Euro! 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Cancun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 We should be able to get a depression or NS today out of 98L, which should help guidance hone in on the forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 TD 9 coming at 5am per NHC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Not really any way we can get Hermie to go west of us with trough and front coming in. That Euro solution would be boring with a cold rainy little wind deal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 2 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not really any way we can get Hermie to go west of us with trough and front coming in. That Euro solution would be boring with a cold rainy little wind deal there's a high pressure settling into GL and Northeast.basically zero chance in that setup for anything riding up the coast as a strong storm. only shot is the storm is slower and the trough digs in faster after the HP moves out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 I guess a nasty nor’easter is possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Breeze in Bermuda ( Tips new moniker) 99kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 81kts TXKF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 56 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Wow Boring solution as hell . Great a not Easter that brings 30mph gusts to the Cape 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Somehow Fiona turns into a cat 5 hybrid and moves NW in Nova Scotia , yet Hermie will crush FL and then move NE out to sea . The year of boredom continues 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 23, 2022 Author Share Posted September 23, 2022 10 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: I think it is. Just watch As a bonafide hurricane? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 23, 2022 Author Share Posted September 23, 2022 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not really any way we can get Hermie to go west of us with trough and front coming in. That Euro solution would be boring with a cold rainy little wind deal Its crazy how many knowledgeable people just can't wrap their minds around the fact that a tropical system skirting SNE to the east is NBD in terms of wind. They see the pretty picture with the low near the cape and just lose their minds. This system as no chance to do what people are hoping it does. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 23, 2022 Author Share Posted September 23, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I guess a nasty nor’easter is possible. Absolutely....it can track up the coast and gives us a breezy deluge, or it can track near/off of the coast and be a good nor' easter, but it isn't going to hit dead on as a hurricane. Will some models threaten with that? Probably. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 more pipe dreams 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 50 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its crazy how many knowledgeable people just can't wrap their minds around the fact that a tropical system skirting SNE to the east is NBD in terms of wind. They see the pretty picture with the low near the cape and just lose their minds. This system as no chance to do what people are hoping it does. It has to cut west of us .. like Isaias two years ago . That’s how you get damage with SE winds screaming 60-70mph . I don’t see this setup being able have a storm cut inland with all these cold fronts coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Ya it’s a joke track for high end T.S. force winds…and zero chance of a bonafide Cane so nothing exciting there. But at this boring point..I’ll take a heavy rain nor’easter in a hot second, so bring that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It has to cut west of us .. like Isaias two years ago . That’s how you get damage with SE winds screaming 60-70mph . I don’t see this setup being able have a storm cut inland with all these cold fronts coming Yup. Nova Scotia will be sent back to the age of the Vikings…we get a breezy rainy day at best. Ahh we’ll take what we can get I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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