ROOSTA Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 10:08 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wind won't be the story with this one. Expand On 9/25/2022 at 10:09 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Agreed Expand Wait. With all the forecasted precipitation, won't take much wind to bring down trees and cut transmission lines. Widespread outages for days. I went 6 days without on just a brush-by a few years ago. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 10:20 PM, Ginx snewx said: Family in Holiday and Port Richey Expand Come on down WU KFLALTOO10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 10:08 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wind won't be the story with this one. Expand A bit early to say that, but yeah most likely. Surge/rain pretty much always trumps wind besides rare exceptions such as Andrew, King, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 My sister lives about 20 miles inland from Tampa , she says she's plenty far enough inland. I don't argue or disagree to keep things peaceful. Seriously I hope no harm comes to her or her property or anyone she's close to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Gfs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 goofus gon goofus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 One thing I've noticed on the model graphics in particular 10m wind none of them get inland speeds correct. Like the wind stops at the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 10:22 PM, ROOSTA said: Wait. With all the forecasted precipitation, won't take much wind to bring down trees and cut transmission lines. Widespread outages for days. I went 6 days without on just a brush-by a few years ago. Expand You are correct for things like power and trees. I don’t foresee major structural stuff. But I know squat about these things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 10:33 PM, dendrite said: goofus gon goofus Expand I love the slobbering over the euro. Can’t wait for weenies to see a 980 low tucked into MVY only to get rug pulled out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Lots of time left still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 Finally going NUCLEAR. BOMBS AWAY! LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 11:14 PM, CoastalWx said: I love the slobbering over the euro. Can’t wait for weenies to see a 980 low tucked into MVY only to get rug pulled out. Expand We know who the King is with the big dogs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 11:14 PM, CoastalWx said: I love the slobbering over the euro. Can’t wait for weenies to see a 980 low tucked into MVY only to get rug pulled out. Expand Lol you are on a tear against the ECMWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 11:14 PM, CoastalWx said: I love the slobbering over the euro. Can’t wait for weenies to see a 980 low tucked into MVY only to get rug pulled out. Expand Euro is half the man he used to be, but come on now…the gfs will always blow until they tear it down and rebuild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Posted September 25, 2022 Share Posted September 25, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 2:12 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: 1-2% ? Expand Thanks, we had until today to cancel our reservations without losing any money. Seems like the worst we’ll get is some showers on Sunday and early Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 10:30 PM, codfishsnowman said: My sister lives about 20 miles inland from Tampa , she says she's plenty far enough inland. I don't argue or disagree to keep things peaceful. Seriously I hope no harm comes to her or her property or anyone she's close to Expand She’s probably right . Throw on some shutters and her house should be fine . The other concern is does her neighborhood flood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 11:43 PM, powderfreak said: Lol you are on a tear against the ECMWF. Expand Some odd posts. Kids will stress you sometimes lol .We know the gfs is awful and many tropical models have input based on it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 11:43 PM, powderfreak said: Lol you are on a tear against the ECMWF. Expand On 9/25/2022 at 11:52 PM, dendrite said: Euro is half the man he used to be, but come on now…the gfs will always blow until they tear it down and rebuild. Expand It’s had a lot of fails with various things this summer. I was the biggest euro humper out there, but man I feel like it’s just not the same. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 11:37 PM, Ginx snewx said: We know who the King is with the big dogs. Expand Ukie? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/26/2022 at 12:17 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Some odd posts. Kids will stress you sometimes lol .We know the gfs is awful and many tropical models have input based on it Expand It’s really not that bad. It’s had a ton of wins with tropicals around the globe. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 When The gfs finds itself on a island , you wanna evacuate 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/25/2022 at 11:52 PM, dendrite said: Euro is half the man he used to be, but come on now…the gfs will always blow until they tear it down and rebuild. Expand Scoots is cocked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 Euro tickles 30 miles west , great timing euro lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/26/2022 at 12:17 AM, CoastalWx said: It’s had a lot of fails with various things this summer. I was the biggest euro humper out there, but man I feel like it’s just not the same. Expand It definitely isn’t Dr. No of the past when if it showed something in the mid-ranges, that was always the way to lean. I wonder if it was because the Euro was that advanced of a model or the GFS was just that bad, ha. If it’s tucked in on a nor’easter, you can no longer expect that. Maybe the atmosphere was more conductive to those events back then, but whenever it would be the western most track in coastals it was right… now it’s whatever model is further NE . I agree, the Euro isn’t what it once was… or was is it the GFS has just closed the gap? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 CAT 2 seems NBD for FL, IMO. Even the rain seems to just sink into the limestone they don't seem to ever flood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/26/2022 at 1:07 AM, powderfreak said: It definitely isn’t Dr. No of the past when if it showed something in the mid-ranges, that was always the way to lean. I wonder if it was because the Euro was that advanced of a model or the GFS was just that bad, ha. If it’s tucked in on a nor’easter, you can no longer expect that. Maybe the atmosphere was more conductive to those events back then, but whenever it would be the western most track in coastals it was right… now it’s whatever model is further NE . I agree, the Euro isn’t what it once was… or was is it the GFS has just closed the gap? Expand Gfs closed the gap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/26/2022 at 1:08 AM, Whineminster said: CAT 2 seems NBD for FL, IMO. Even the rain seems to just sink into the limestone they don't seem to ever flood Expand Cat 2 is NBd generally. Building codes now will laugh it off. The issue would be surge perhaps in Tampa should it make landfall near or just NW. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/26/2022 at 1:08 AM, Whineminster said: CAT 2 seems NBD for FL, IMO. Even the rain seems to just sink into the limestone they don't seem to ever flood Expand Remember the surprised folks when Katrina moved into and across S FL as a Cat 1? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/26/2022 at 1:18 AM, CoastalWx said: Cat 2 is NBd generally. Building codes now will laugh it off. The issue would be surge perhaps in Tampa should it make landfall near or just NW. Expand Brady’s TB 12 products floating out into the gulf 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 26, 2022 Share Posted September 26, 2022 On 9/26/2022 at 1:32 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Brady’s TB 12 products floating out into the gulf Expand Along with a wedding ring and a couple of tablets. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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