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Fall 2022 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion


Carvers Gap
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As you can see above, the source regions are frigid.  One cutter, and much of that cold comes eastward.  The NAO is strongly negative.  I noticed that Bob Chill in the MA forum notes that often when the NAO is that negative, it tends to hang around and the overall pattern is very tough to break down.   Food for thought.  NOTHING IS A CERTAINTY.  This is spitballing, and should be noted this is in the 10-15 day range.  We all know the rules.  Probably time for a December thread.  Edit...I will get the thread started.

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