A-L-E-K Posted August 9, 2022 Share Posted August 9, 2022 chilly this morning, gonna miss summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 9, 2022 Share Posted August 9, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 9, 2022 Share Posted August 9, 2022 5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: chilly this morning, gonna miss summer Ready 2 b plumed 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted August 9, 2022 Share Posted August 9, 2022 DeKalb officially ended up with 4.3" over about 30 hours from Sunday ~4AM to Monday ~10AM. Biggest rain event since I moved here a few years ago, and totals northwest were far higher. It's another under- or impoperly-modeled nocturnal LLJ event to add to a growing list this year, reminiscent of 2011. The GFS and the ECMWF were both poor, displacing the axis precipitation a hundred or more miles north just a few hours out, predicting a few tenths for locations that got nearly a foot of rain. (The mesoscale models managed it better as far as placement but still undermodeled the totals by a lot) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 9, 2022 Share Posted August 9, 2022 The high-res Canadian did pretty decent with this. From what I've seen it's been the best short-term model this season for placement of convective events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 3 hours ago, cyclone77 said: The high-res Canadian did pretty decent with this. From what I've seen it's been the best short-term model this season for placement of convective events. ARW/ARW2 seemed to do the best. HRDPS and RGEM in second. GGEM/CMC best of the globals. The NAM, FV3 and the rest of the globals (and their ensembles) far behind that. GFS probably in dead last - forecasting 0.1" for a city that got a foot of rain in the ensuing 36 hours. I wish the forecasting of LLJ-driven events was just a little better - they have historically produced the most severe/acute summer flood events in this part of the country and they still are just not modeled well at all. Same issue a decade+ ago. Convection is hard to model well, but the globals are still far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 Crystal blue skies from the land of sky blue waters. Been awhile since we've had late July, August skies devoid of smoke. Hope it continues. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 the sunsets tho 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 21 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Ready 2 b plumed Really grasping hard here -- it's like rolling into Feb 9 and saying "OMG I see a drop of liquid water outside, SPRING IS HERE!!!!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 Zzzzzzzz weather. I can count on one hand how many flashes of lightning I saw this year so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 Really grasping hard here -- it's like rolling into Feb 9 and saying "OMG I see a drop of liquid water outside, SPRING IS HERE!!!!"it’s no different than when we start talking about the sun angle when we start to roll into february. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: it’s no different than when we start talking about the sun angle when we start to roll into february. Sun angle really doesn't do much except melt pavement snow in late winter. Head out into the country and snow sticks just fine at 32F in March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 Gonna get a nice shot of Canadian air after the front this evening. Might have temps down in the upper 40s on Friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 Sun angle really doesn't do much except melt pavement snow in late winter. Head out into the country and snow sticks just fine at 32F in March.you’re missing the point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 10, 2022 Author Share Posted August 10, 2022 Sure got cool this morning. Made it down to 53 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 10, 2022 Share Posted August 10, 2022 6 hours ago, Hoosier said: Sure got cool this morning. Made it down to 53 here. Same here. Had some patchy dense fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 Three of the five Augusts going back to 2018 have been perhaps the most notable month of the warm season locally for severe and/or flooding, whether it be for a singular event (2020 derecho) or sustained activity levels over at least 1-2 weeks of the month. It appears this one won't be joining them, other than the headfake toward a significant flash flood event last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 Peak weather. Up here for the week, loving it after golfing this weekend in 92°/80° weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 On 8/10/2022 at 8:30 AM, hardypalmguy said: Zzzzzzzz weather. I can count on one hand how many flashes of lightning I saw this year so far. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 It is currently partly sunny and 68º here at 1pm. Saturday is probably the last chance to hit 90º this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Overcast with some showers right now. Earlier this week CA geese were starting to move onto the local golf course.. Couple weeks early this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 13, 2022 Share Posted August 13, 2022 Overcast most of the day, and only made it to 71. A few sprinkles the past hour or so as well. Almost a little taste of Fall, especially with preseason football on TV lol. Saw what I'm pretty sure was a bobcat on the way home earlier just off I-88. Didn't think we had any of those around here. Definitely way too big to be a tom cat, and was definitely a cat of some kind. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 Never thought I would see the day I would have to wear a jacket in the first part of August but that day has arrived. 50s most of the afternoon after the rain arrived. High only made it to 62 and if that holds it will be a new record. Old was 63.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 14, 2022 Author Share Posted August 14, 2022 3 hours ago, Harry said: Never thought I would see the day I would have to wear a jacket in the first part of August but that day has arrived. 50s most of the afternoon after the rain arrived. High only made it to 62 and if that holds it will be a new record. Old was 63.. I checked out the BTL obs... brutal stuff for this time of year. Feel fortunate that it got into the 70s here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 Didn't realize how cool it was in the northeastern sub. Quite different around here today, as it felt pretty toasty. Hit 86 and had dews in the mid 70s. Was pretty depressing this evening watching the towering cumulus above feebly attempt to build upwards into something more. Atmosphere didn't have enough mojo this afternoon/evening to get it done. SPC's 2% nader risk was a bit optimistic lol. Tough stretch for those peeps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 Going to be a suckfest today with today's system. We'll be lucky if we even reach the lower 70s for today's high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyweather Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 NWS 7 day doesn’t have a high above 79 here west of Chicago taking us into 8/21. It’s not extreme in one direction or another, but I cannot recall a stretch this long in recent Augusts so mild. A torch in the vicinity of Labor Day seems like a seasonal tradition, I’d be shocked if we didn’t have one, that said GEFS shows mild / below average heights through the end of August into met fall with the positive anomalies locked up northwest and northeast. We may have lucked out on the ridiculous heat much of the N. Hemisphere saw this summer, but I don’t want to gloat too much, I fear our ticket will get punched soon enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 14, 2022 Author Share Posted August 14, 2022 2 hours ago, luckyweather said: NWS 7 day doesn’t have a high above 79 here west of Chicago taking us into 8/21. It’s not extreme in one direction or another, but I cannot recall a stretch this long in recent Augusts so mild. A torch in the vicinity of Labor Day seems like a seasonal tradition, I’d be shocked if we didn’t have one, that said GEFS shows mild / below average heights through the end of August into met fall with the positive anomalies locked up northwest and northeast. We may have lucked out on the ridiculous heat much of the N. Hemisphere saw this summer, but I don’t want to gloat too much, I fear our ticket will get punched soon enough. I feel like all of the corn, etc in the Midwest is helping to save us so far. Puts out a lot of moisture which makes it more difficult to heat up. A way around it would be to get a drought to set in early enough to take out a good amount of crops, like what happened in 2012. Maybe there will come a day when the corn effect gets overridden by what's happening in the background, but we're not there yet. Until then, I think we're going to be more prone to ridiculous warmth in the other seasons. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 LER across portions of NE IL tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 000 SXUS71 KILN 150607 RERCMH RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 0205 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2022 ...LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TIED AT COLUMBUS OH... THE HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 70 DEGREES AT COLUMBUS, OHIO, YESTERDAY AUGUST 14, 2022, TIED THE RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE PREVIOUSLY SET IN 2013. $$ Columbus tied a record low maximum temperature. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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