SchaumburgStormer Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: more heavy stuff moving in, they're going 1'+ Already over a foot with a few hours of heavy rain coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 For the second straight night a strong storm moved through Cedar Rapids. This time I got a bit of small hail and a quick 0.46" of rain. Much of eastern Iowa got nothing both nights, but I lucked out and got hit twice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Some high temps from today across the area... 91 MDW 90 ORD 91 Ex-Home 90°+ day tally for the year... 22 - MDW17 - RFD17 - Ex-Home14 - ORD13 - Current Home 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 7 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: For the second straight night a strong storm moved through Cedar Rapids. This time I got a bit of small hail and a quick 0.46" of rain. Much of eastern Iowa got nothing both nights, but I lucked out and got hit twice. Got Frostferned here, 0.00" this morning lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 The locals and NWS should just stop forecasting anything above low 90s for us at this point. Today's forecast was mid 90s, but we aren't even getting out of the 80s. Wednesday has been wildly over-forecasted for a week. The NWS actually had 105º in my forecast for Wednesday late last week. That is a dust bowl temp, nearly impossible to achieve today. It now appears we'll be lucky to get out of the 80s again Wednesday. I see the NWS has upper 90s in the forecast, yet again, for Saturday. Low 90s is much more likely. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: The NWS actually had 105º in my forecast for Wednesday late last week. someone got fooled by the fake GFS mixing/thermals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 2, 2022 Author Share Posted August 2, 2022 57 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: The locals and NWS should just stop forecasting anything above low 90s for us at this point. Today's forecast was mid 90s, but we aren't even getting out of the 80s. Wednesday has been wildly over-forecasted for a week. The NWS actually had 105º in my forecast for Wednesday late last week. That is a dust bowl temp, nearly impossible to achieve today. It now appears we'll be lucky to get out of the 80s again Wednesday. I see the NWS has upper 90s in the forecast, yet again, for Saturday. Low 90s is much more likely. I'm not saying you're wrong, but it's shocking that that would be forecast that far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 23 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I'm not saying you're wrong, but it's shocking that that would be forecast that far out. Yeah, I was pretty shocked as well. All I could think is the forecast is computer generated and they didn't bother human-tweaking it. Over several days the forecast went from 105 to 101 to 99 to 96 to low 90s, and now upper 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 3, 2022 Author Share Posted August 3, 2022 Looks problematic to reach my numbers for tomorrow. When I put it out last week, it was based on the assumption of not having to deal with extensive clouds/precip in the afternoon. I think it'd get close if there were unobstructed heating through 2-3 pm, but that looks very doubtful at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted August 3, 2022 Share Posted August 3, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 3, 2022 Share Posted August 3, 2022 Tomorrow night, CAM models show numerous thunderstorms will happen in the area from Chicago to lower Michigan. The 12km NAM shows 4000 J/kg of CAPE along with the 90 temperature, 76 dew point in Michigan before the storms. The shear values should be in the upper 20's knots or maybe a bit better. That's marginal for severe storms, unless the 500mb winds somehow get a little stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted August 3, 2022 Share Posted August 3, 2022 It was still 90F with a dew point of 75F in Minneapolis as of 9:50pm. Crazy stuff. 2nd summer in a row here with severe drought. Plants and some trees that aren’t getting supplemental water are showing signs of stress. MCS out in western Minnesota is giving me a little hope this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 3, 2022 Share Posted August 3, 2022 Heat indices still in the upper 90s to near 100 from central MN into western WI as of 10pm which is pretty impressive. Lawn has really browned up over the past few weeks. Looks like tomorrow's rains will skip over this area. The mower is going to get a good long break it appears. Luckily the area crops have had a great growing season up until recently, so the ongoing dry spell shouldn't matter at all at this late in the growing season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 3, 2022 Author Share Posted August 3, 2022 Des Moines got the dreaded 99 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 3, 2022 Share Posted August 3, 2022 Still 87 degrees with 93 heat index at 1am in Des Moines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 3, 2022 Author Share Posted August 3, 2022 It got to 95 at Midway even with clouds increasing and heating completely stopping after ~1 pm. What could've been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 3, 2022 Share Posted August 3, 2022 0.09" here today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 3, 2022 Share Posted August 3, 2022 Some high temps from today across the area... 95 MDW 92 ORD 90 Ex-Home 90°+ day tally for the year... 23 - MDW17 - RFD18 - Ex-Home15 - ORD14 - Current Home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 Storms today by DTW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 Only 0.16” of rain yesterday. Since June 1st only 27% of average precipitation has accumulated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 LOT provides the most in depth discussions for benign weather days i've ever seen. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 great office imo, hopefully we'll get some wild ass weather for them again one of these days 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 only real heads keep posting during these summer doldrums, don't even have a background hurricane to track 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 27 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: only real heads keep posting during these summer doldrums, don't even have a background hurricane to track been doin it since about 1968. Only difference, it's no longer a NOAA weather radio(which I played on loop for hours) driving everyone crazy, or TWC back in late 80's(people would ask who watches that channel for hours on end?), and now it's source overload due to the internet feeding the addiction. BTW...does that guy on the NOAA weather radio ever age, exact same voice today? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: only real heads keep posting during these summer doldrums, don't even have a background hurricane to track The Atlantic basin is impressively dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
therock Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 Just short of 7" of rain and the best thunderstorms of the season over the last couple of days. Drought cancel here. ILX NWS office had some entertaining wording in their discussion this morning. Something about the "Champaign county desert region" finally getting some rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 Two Harbors is hosting the Festival of Sails this year, aka Tall Ships. Duluth normally hosts it, but work is going on around the waterfront there. Here's a live cam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 looking forward to this weekend's thunderstorms, with a chance of severe, and then the cooler weather settling in for early next week. This semi-permanent roller coaster has been enjoyable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 Forecast for the Festival looks awesome today, and tomorrow, but showers/storms late Friday into Saturday, then cool, breezy NE winds with showers possible for Sunday. A bit of a rotten ending to it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 4, 2022 Share Posted August 4, 2022 Prelim data in for July. A little on the warmer side, but not too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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