Hoosier Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 It might get hot next week. Just sayin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 29, 2022 Author Share Posted July 29, 2022 I feel like next week is the last best shot for the elusive 100 reading at ORD (would already pencil in Midway with north of 50% odds, lol). August does not look particularly cool to me, but the window for that kind of thing is starting to close. We are already going to be fighting climo as only 23% of Chicago's 100+ days have come in August/September, and the last one to occur in one of those months was back in 1991. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 let the good times roll 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 Never a fan of August. And I don't know why. Hopefully, we avoid the Biloxi, MS climate it can sometimes bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 29, 2022 Author Share Posted July 29, 2022 12z Euro removed the cooler Thursday around Chicago. Will have to see if that's a blip or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 29, 2022 Author Share Posted July 29, 2022 Gonna channel my inner Alek and throw out a 5 day call. For Wednesday, I'll go 97 at ORD and 99 at MDW. Multi-model agreement on 850 mb temps around 23-24C with fairly good mixing, the precise details of which will matter. Although I didn't bite yet, I still feel like there's a reasonable shot of triple digits at MDW. What I would want to see to seriously entertain the idea of 100 at O'Hare would be a more solid indication of deep mixing or a trend toward slightly warmer 850 mb temps. It's just not there, at least at this point. As of now, would have to bet on it coming up short, much to my chagrin. On another note, Thursday morning could be very warm barring any interference from convection/outflow from the north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 30, 2022 Share Posted July 30, 2022 The Euro has 8 days in a row AOA 90 for this area starting on Monday. With it really drying out over the past 2-3 weeks I'd say our chances at hitting 100 are a little better than the earlier heat waves when soils were wetter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 31, 2022 Author Share Posted July 31, 2022 The convective/fropa timing has sped up to the point where any additional quicker solution would have an impact on high temps around northeast IL on Wednesday. It is already likely to have some effect on highs for areas just to the north/west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 This morning's Euro removed ALL 90s from my forecast through ten days. There are also now four rain chances over the next week with multiple fronts moving through. 100º is certainly out of the picture Wednesday because of an earlier frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 Yeah the Euro is doing pretty bad with temp forecasts. GFS must be rubbing off on it lol. After several heat waves of respectable intensity it's disappointing to not get a 100. All in all looking like a forgettable summer with no 100 degree heat and pretty lame stormwise as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 31, 2022 Author Share Posted July 31, 2022 26 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Yeah the Euro is doing pretty bad with temp forecasts. GFS must be rubbing off on it lol. After several heat waves of respectable intensity it's disappointing to not get a 100. All in all looking like a forgettable summer with no 100 degree heat and pretty lame stormwise as well. Don't worry, winter will be rocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: Don't worry, winter will be rocking. February 28th: After several cold waves of respectable intensity it's disappointing to not get to at least -15. All in all looking like a forgettable winter with no real cold and pretty lame stormwise as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 2 hours ago, Geoboy645 said: February 28th: After several cold waves of respectable intensity it's disappointing to not get to at least -15. All in all looking like a forgettable winter with no real cold and pretty lame stormwise as well. Sounds like last winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 I was one of the lucky ones tonight. Much of the area received nothing, but a cluster of strong storms moved through Cedar Rapids. I got 1" of rain and a station only a mile south got 2". It lasted quite a while and had constant lightning, but pretty quiet thunder. Right after the back edge moved through I went outside just to check the gauge, but I was treated to one of the most amazing lightning displays I've ever seen, directly above. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 Lightning show already getting started here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 0.71” just after 1 AM this morning. Good start to April August (what's 4 months between friends) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 Seems like the first time in forever that a storm woke me up. Got 1" of rain overnight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 Only 0.81" here. Some wind/tree damage in town. Was out of power here at the house when I got back from the laundromat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 1, 2022 Author Share Posted August 1, 2022 2 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Seems like the first time in forever that a storm woke me up. Got 1" of rain overnight. Nada here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 zip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 1, 2022 Author Share Posted August 1, 2022 Some notable differences in model high temps on Wednesday. I'd sell the low end of guidance (hello Euro) as warm temps aloft and a little bit of wind should allow for a pretty high launching pad in the morning... maybe even 80ish in the core of Chicago. I don't really buy the idea of clouds/precip becoming a potential issue until beyond early afternoon at the earliest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 Not shut out here, picked up 0.01" lol. MLI cashed in with 0.87". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 14 hours ago, Spartman said: Looks about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Can always tell when you’re getting later in the summer, when you can smell the corn in the air. We actually lost power this morning from the early morning storms. It’s august folks, the apple orchard opened up here. Just unbelievable how fast time goes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Bigtime training going on this evening down by Effingham IL. Up to 8" in spots, with the train still rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Bigtime training going on this evening down by Effingham IL. Up to 8" in spots, with the train still rolling.Over 10” radar estimates now… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 more heavy stuff moving in, they're going 1'+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Nice view in the paign this morning 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 sick 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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