uofmiami Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 33 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: 50 here the past two mornings. Mid 50s this morning for my stations. 56.5 in Syosset & 55.5 in Muttontown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 Hello Humidity. Missed you for a day :/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 It looks like our drought will worsen with very little rain coming and temperatures warming later this week back to near 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 The Southern Plains will finally get a break in the record breaking heat. Our first closer to normal temperatures in a while this week. Then the models have a warm up for the 6-10 and 11-15 day periods. Summer to date Forecast for the 2nd half of August Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The Southern Plains will finally get a break in the record breaking heat. Our first closer to normal temperatures in a while this week. Then the models have a warm up for the 6-10 and 11-15 day periods. this is an odd way for us to get heat but i'll take it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 this is an odd way for us to get heat but i'll take it Over the top heat. Been a common theme in the new regime.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 32 minutes ago, forkyfork said: this is an odd way for us to get heat but i'll take it Figures I'm supposed to go to PEI next weekend and it'll probably be 90 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 80 / 53 after a low of 54. SE wind and clouds moving through but should clear up later today and more mid 80s. Caught between two ridges and now way out as Trough cuts off later today through Wed (8/17), and maybe in such a way it cuts off the rain or most rain S of SNE. Models dry now but still wouldnt rule out surprise rains Tue night (8/16) into Wed (8/17). Rockies / Plains ridge pushing into Pac NW, Western Atlantic Ridge being pushing west by next weekend Sat (8/21). Warmer, more humid southerly flow develops and with it some daily rain chances. Humid and overall warmer to hot at times (90s or better) perhaps late season heatwave criteria (8/22-24) last 10 days of the month. Way out there but could home brewed tropics awaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 The drought pretty much guarantees we'll see many late season 90s. The 95+ stuff might be done but the near 90 heat will stick around for a while. I also see a rapid summer to cold season transition. Very active fire season too if we get into mid September with little rain. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 We were in the midst of record heat 20 years ago in 2002 and 2005 today and the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 56.6 last night. Summers back is broken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 27 minutes ago, psv88 said: 56.6 last night. Summers back is broken Ehh, not sure about that. The near 100 temps are done but I think we have a few more 90s left. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: this is an odd way for us to get heat but i'll take it normal high at the end of august is 81 for the city so temps in the mid 80's at the end of august is not exactly heatwave material.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 We haven’t had any 100° days after August 19th in the post-2010 climate period. But the warm spots like Newark have averaged 1-2 days of 95° or above. The average number of 90°+ days later in the season is 5-6. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Ending Date Number of Days Max Temperature >= 95 Aug 20 to Oct 2 Missing Count 2021-10-2 3 0 2020-10-2 0 0 2019-10-2 1 0 2018-10-2 5 0 2017-10-2 0 0 2016-10-2 1 0 2015-10-2 3 0 2014-10-2 2 0 2013-10-2 1 0 2012-10-2 0 0 2011-10-2 0 0 2010-10-2 4 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Ending Date Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Aug 20 to Oct 2 Missing Count 2021-10-2 7 0 2020-10-2 4 0 2019-10-2 5 0 2018-10-2 8 0 2017-10-2 4 0 2016-10-2 9 0 2015-10-2 8 0 2014-10-2 5 0 2013-10-2 4 0 2012-10-2 3 0 2011-10-2 0 0 2010-10-2 10 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 24 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Ehh, not sure about that. The near 100 temps are done but I think we have a few more 90s left. Yeah since 2015 it's hard to bet against the endless summer pattern like bluewave alludes to. And it doesn't necessarily have to be in the 90's for it to be AN once we get into September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 Smq up to 88. Ewr just 81 with on shore wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 Ive been noticing an increase of tree damage the last couple of weeks(large branches, even some downed trees) probably from the gusty winds following the CF thurs/fri between the drought and laternflies, i think we have a serious problem if we get any storm that produces 40+mph winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 I like it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 This weather certainly is boring. Jfc. Beautiful weekend though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 81 the high here and 58 the low. This has been some boring stretch of weather in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 8/14 New Brnswck: 86 PHL: 85 TEB: 85 TTN: 83 LGA: 83 ISP: 82 JFK: 82 NYC: 82 EWR: 82 ACY: 81 BLM: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 I am counting 17 90+ days so far for Central Park this season and I think they're going end up with at least 21. None this week as near to below normal temperatures continue. It looks as though the surface winds will be more light variable or southerly at first as heat and humidity try to rebuild late next weekend into the following week so 90+ is unlikely at first. But later in the month the ensembles have come around to a warmer look over the last few run cycles so I do think eventually the Park will see 4-7 more days of 90+ weather perhaps including another heatwave. WX/PT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 High temperatures in central Maine have been running similar to those in NYC during the past few days (upper 70s and lower 80s). Nights have been cooler (upper 50s and lower 60s). From Acadia National Park: 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 77degs.(84/70) or +1. Month to date is 80.6[+3.6]. Should be 79.3[+2.7] by the 23rd. Reached 79 here yesterday. Today: 77-81, wind e., variable clouds, 67 tomorrow AM. No rain till the weekend? 0Z has two suspicious areas to watch for hurricane development, but already the 06Z has never heard the word hurricane. 70*(65%RH) here at 7am. 74* at 9am. 75* at Noon. 77* at 3pm. Reached 82* at 6:30pm. 74* at 10pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 13 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I am counting 17 90+ days so far for Central Park this season and I think they're going end up with at least 21. None this week as near to below normal temperatures continue. It looks as though the surface winds will be more light variable or southerly at first as heat and humidity try to rebuild late next weekend into the following week so 90+ is unlikely at first. But later in the month the ensembles have come around to a warmer look over the last few run cycles so I do think eventually the Park will see 4-7 more days of 90+ weather perhaps including another heatwave. WX/PT First legit drought in the metro area since 2002 and it’s getting worse, soil moisture is low as can be: 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, snowman19 said: First legit drought in the metro area since 2002 and it’s getting worse, soil moisture is low as can be: As far as I can tell, there's little help to the drought for the foreseeable future. Eventually, perhaps, a tropical system or remnants thereof move into the area and causes flooding. But so far, we do not even seem to be able to get any development. Odds are that that changes over the next three to four weeks. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 59 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: Very noticeable differences too in the red zone where I live and places down the shore Everything is brown here while there's plenty of green in those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 we're barely even going to get clouds from this storm system 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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