jm1220 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 1 hour ago, wthrmn654 said: If the Euro/GFS are right, any drought will be long gone by the end of the month. If this cutoff and onshore flow are real, it’s a recipe for gushers for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 The system that moved through this morning was rather intense down by me. Couple cracks of thunder that shook the house and felt right above us. Tempest recorded it as a strike within 0-2 miles while almost everything else was more distal. Not much wind or any severe metrics, but there were a few serious cracks of thunder. .6 inches of rain too Nice event though, we needed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 Not much rain here last night .10”, .25” for this week though, around half the total I got in all of July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: If the Euro/GFS are right, any drought will be long gone by the end of the month. If this cutoff and onshore flow are real, it’s a recipe for gushers for days. Meh. Let’s see what happens in the coming days. Models have been advertising these much needed rain events only to go poof inside 72 hours 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 .16 inch of rain this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Meh. Let’s see what happens in the coming days. Models have been advertising these much needed rain events only to go poof inside 72 hours Good advice. 12Z data so far shows no consistency. GFS/GGEM are night and day different and even the GFS is modest in total qpf through next THURSDAY. This pattern needs to setup just right or forget drought busting rains. Sensitive setup and cutoff needs to be positioned correctly...much like a winter setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 0.08! Pathetic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 That's like 2-4 inch rain amounts... in 7 days?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: That's like 2-4 inch rain amounts... in 7 days?! Was issued at 12Z. New map will be out shortly. Can almost guarantee it will be reduced based on 12Z guidance...pending EURO. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 20 minutes ago, MANDA said: Was issued at 12Z. New map will be out shortly. Can almost guarantee it will be reduced based on 12Z guidance...pending EURO. euro is alot of rain but it's central jersey and south...yet another solution - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 2PM Round up EWR: 90 (40 on the year) New Brnswck: 90 PHL: 88 NYC; 86 TEB: 86 ACY: 85 TTN: 85 LGA: 85 JFK: 84 BLM: 84 ISP: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: euro is alot of rain but it's central jersey and south...yet another solution - The euro misses a lot of NE now with the LP further south, but ME gets some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 20 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: euro is alot of rain but it's central jersey and south...yet another solution - Another solution and likely not the final one. This is going to bounce around before models settle in on something close to reality. If this were the final solution the drought situation for NNJ into southern New England would continue to worsen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 17 minutes ago, forkyfork said: haha Avatar suggestion for the cold season. As always ….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 Wasn’t expecting another 90 today, this is my type of cool down. Yesterday’s 89 technically ended the heat wave at 8 days, but today’s day 10 in spirit. 0.04” earlier. Basically nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 91....day 10 of my heatwave churns on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 All the models now miss the area early next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 Number of 100 degree days in August in Central Park: 1944 - 1955: 10 1956 - Present: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 87 my high but far less humid. In those colder areas inland, especially up toward the Catskills, would not be surprised to see some 40s for lows this weekend. Even though plenty of warm weather left, the first signs of the coming fall season will be this weekend. Nice change after a prolonged heat wave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 90 for the high here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 This dry pattern started abuptly last year after the absurdly wet July- Oct period. Nov and Dec came in with under 2" of rain each month here...Jan - May were close to normal with the dryness returning in June for many of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: All the models now miss the area early next week Very predictable 5 day runs have been horrific all year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 Huge difference in humidity levels across the area From Mesowest: NYC: 88/50 27%RH EWR: 90/54 30% RH LGA: 90/50 26% RH ISP: 82/70 66% RH 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 25 minutes ago, TWCCraig said: Huge difference in humidity levels across the area From Mesowest: NYC: 88/50 27%RH EWR: 90/54 30% RH LGA: 90/50 26% RH ISP: 82/70 66% RH Back to just regular heat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: All the models now miss the area early next week Glad to know I jinxed it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 1 hour ago, TWCCraig said: Huge difference in humidity levels across the area From Mesowest: NYC: 88/50 27%RH EWR: 90/54 30% RH LGA: 90/50 26% RH ISP: 82/70 66% RH When the seabreeze came in (again easily visible on radar), humidity spiked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 4 hours ago, forkyfork said: haha normal high for nyc on august 27 is 82 still won't reach 90.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 11, 2022 Share Posted August 11, 2022 Humidity 70% here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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