forkyfork Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 we want this to stay as robust and organized as possible (duh) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 the 14z hrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr had a pretty good initialization 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 19 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i'm kidding. i'm just hoping this isn't a case of the mesos going overboard with a weak system I'm not a fan of this event to be honest but hopefully a couple locations can get an inch out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Rjay said: I'm not a fan of this event to be honest but hopefully a couple locations can get an inch out of this. not getting how this look happens with zero cape 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 RGEM is closer to just a quarter inch for most of the area. Maybe some of the other models will be right about getting more significant rain, but I'm not getting hopes up too high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 10 hours ago, Rjay said: We're above average against our highest normals ever. I don't think people understand what that actually means. It's the beginning of the end of the earth is what it means.... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 Anything over a quarter inch would be nice. Gfs does suggest we'll see more warm/humid & wetter conditions after the next 95-100F potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 31, 2022 Author Share Posted July 31, 2022 Hopefully the GFS is onto something for next weekend with rain/storms. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Hopefully the GFS is onto something for next weekend with rain/storms. We'll see. Terrible timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 12z Euro continuing with the record 100° heat potential for Thursday. Then a slow moving cold front from Friday into the weekend. Impressive mid 70s dewpoints pooling near a stalled out frontal zone. So at least part of the region could pick up some heavy convection day 5-10 as Canadian high pressure pushes up against the Bermuda high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 31, 2022 Author Share Posted July 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: 12z Euro continuing with the record 100° heat potential for Thursday. Then a slow moving cold front from Friday into the weekend. Impressive mid 70s dewpoints pooling near a stalled out frontal zone. So at least part of the region could pick up some heavy convection day 5-10 as the Bermuda high duels with the Canadian high. We may finally get our much needed rain. It would be funny if we go from to dry to, to wet in short order. Eventually the pendulum has to swing the other way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 19 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: We may finally get our much needed rain. It would be funny if we go from to dry to, to wet in short order. Eventually the pendulum has to swing the other way. It will be interesting to see if we can eventually get a tropical system like we did in 1999 after the hot and dry July that year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 4 hours ago, winterwx21 said: RGEM is closer to just a quarter inch for most of the area. Maybe some of the other models will be right about getting more significant rain, but I'm not getting hopes up too high. Might be one of those situations where the rains weaken as they move in. Even .25 or something will be better then nothing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 K.o.D. .TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers after midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 3 hours ago, Allsnow said: Might be one of those situations where the rains weaken as they move in. Even .25 or something will be better then nothing Precip amounts with this system so far have been generally less than 0.10” in PA except for higher amounts in southern PA and places to the S&W of the Harrisburg area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 31, 2022 Share Posted July 31, 2022 Hrrr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 Hopefully this rain holds together; seeing some early leaf fall around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 getting a nice drink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 .55 imby..not bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 Still raining, up to 0.35". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 1, 2022 Author Share Posted August 1, 2022 High for the day yesterday was 90 here. Picked up 0.41" of rain so far today. (every little bit helps) Current temp 68/DP 66/RH 96% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 Morning thoughts… Clouds and showers will slowly give way to sunshine. High temperatures will reach the upper 70s and lower 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 79° Newark: 84° Philadelphia: 86° Hot air will return tomorrow. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 84.7°; 15-Year: 85.6° Newark: 30-Year: 86.3°; 15-Year: 87.5° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.3°; 15-Year: 88.0° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 July ended at 79.5[+2.0]. The first 8 days of August are averaging 84degs.(75/93) or +7. Solar Summer ends August 08----it started May 08. Big change around the 13th?---till the 18th maybe. Talk about Dry............Dallas working on day 59 with no rain. That too may change around the 13th. Average date for the first named Hurricane of the season is August 11............we could easily miss that date. Reached 83 here yesterday. Today: 76-81, wind e. to n. to w., rain ending by 10am, clearing late. 69*(97%RH), light rain, here at 7am. 73* at Noon. 75* most of the afternoon. Reached 78* at 7:30pm with the late clearing skies. 72* at 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 .3" The ground under the trees is damp but not wet and under the bigger garden plants it's totally dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 I think we'll see more rain moving forward. Droughts here don't last very long. Also apex of heat likely this Thursday. Ridge pulls back west a few days later. 100+ temps become very tough to do after mid August. Believe it or not the sun angle does start to matter eventually 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 .13” at the wantagh meso. The south shore loves to drought in the summer. Even mature trees are starting to drop leaves. If we do not get anything soon trees will start to die. Which happened in 1998? The year with the sunrise fires. A beautiful grove of 100’+ tulip trees died in a preserve near wantagh high school. They could be seen for miles around as they were the tallest trees on the south shore by far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 Haven't seen rain like this in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 .55 overnight!!!! Very needed 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 .40 here. Finally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 1, 2022 Share Posted August 1, 2022 About .50” here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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