bluewave Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Newark moves into 4th place on the 90° day list. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 2010 54 0 2 1993 49 0 3 1988 43 0 4 2022 42 135 5 2021 41 0 - 2002 41 0 - 1991 41 0 6 2016 40 0 - 1983 40 0 - 1959 40 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 5 hours ago, winterwarlock said: Notched another 90..perhaps could eek out a sneaky heatwave 91 already and tomorrows forecast bumped to low 90s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 1PM ROund up New Brnswck: 91 ISP: 88 TEB:88 LGA: 88 NYC: 88 PHL: 88 EWR: 88 ACY: 87 JFK: 86 TTN: 86 BLM: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Up to 93 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 The tropics finally become more active on the extended EPS from late August into early September. But the storms look to exit Africa pretty far north away from the drier air to the south. Any systems would need a strong enough ridge to the north to avoid an early recurve. There is also the potential for closer in development north of 20N. A tropical system is probably what it would take to begin reducing the drought. Scattered frontal convection can only do so much. Unless it’s a more organized system like mid-August 2011. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 91° here...hit 89 yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: 91 already and tomorrows forecast bumped to low 90s Very easy to do in this SW desert type of climate The low humidity makes it much more tolerable though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Very easy to do in this SW desert type of climate The low humidity makes it much more tolerable though Yeah the 93 here right now doesn't feel bad at all with the dewpoint of 50. Very nice outside. But I'm hoping the higher dewpoints that will will be coming in sunday will help us finally see some widespread downpours sunday night and monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Need the rain . I'm in NJ right now and all the grass is brown. I was supposed to go fruit picking today but they had to cancel it this week due to the lack of rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Wow no wonder my head hurts its 87 out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 92 here. Central Park got to 90..before LGA at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Sea breeze moved thru around 2pm...dropped temp from 91° down to 83 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 Latest 5 day QPF from HPC. We can only hope. This has been trending upwards over last several releases. It is on the upper end of most guidance so they are aiming high. I'd take half this and be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 We may get just enough rain on Monday for Newark to fall into 2nd place on the driest summer list. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jun through AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2022 3.68 13 2 1966 4.46 0 3 1949 5.68 0 4 1957 5.69 0 5 1965 5.83 0 6 1963 6.18 0 7 1993 6.20 0 8 1953 6.47 0 9 2010 6.74 0 10 1999 6.93 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 THIS: BECOMES THIS: ....... in one run and it has JB jumping! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 92 today. 84 now with a nice breeze 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 90 here today. Currently 83F/RH 45%/DP 59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 I have the feeling that for the NYC Metro Region 90 degree heat could occur off and on through September 20th followed by 85 degree warmth off and on through October 15th. It looks like a warmer than normal autumn ahead for our area with drought conditions contingent upon any tropical moisture that can wander up this way. WX/PT 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 8/19 EWR: 94 New Brnswck: 93 PHL: 92 ACY: 90 TEB: 90 TTN: 90 NYC: 90 LGA: 90 ISP: 89 BLM: 89 JFK: 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 54 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I have the feeling that for the NYC Metro Region 90 degree heat could occur off and on through September 20th followed by 85 degree warmth off and on through October 15th. It looks like a warmer than normal autumn ahead for our area with drought conditions contingent upon any tropical moisture that can wander up this way. WX/PT Summer seems to be lasting well into October these days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 4 hours ago, bluewave said: We may get just enough rain on Monday for Newark to fall into 2nd place on the driest summer list. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jun through AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2022 3.68 13 2 1966 4.46 0 3 1949 5.68 0 4 1957 5.69 0 5 1965 5.83 0 6 1963 6.18 0 7 1993 6.20 0 8 1953 6.47 0 9 2010 6.74 0 10 1999 6.93 0 Looking steady on guidance for a 0.75 or > type event. We'll see how it progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 8/19 EWR: 94 New Brnswck: 93 PHL: 92 ACY: 90 TEB: 90 TTN: 90 NYC: 90 LGA: 90 ISP: 89 BLM: 89 JFK: 88 Weird that ewr went from 90 to 94 in between hours and then down to 87 with the wind shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 Tomorrow will be another very warm day. However, cooler air will begin to move into the region for Sunday. Much of the second half of August could see above to much above normal temperatures in the Pacific Northwest. The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. In addition, in the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The August ECMWF forecast shows a warmer than normal September in the Northeast. This warmth would be consistent with the ongoing warming that has been occurring in September. On August 18, the SOI fell to -32.90. Since 1991, there were 8 cases when the SOI fell to -30 or below during the August 10-25 period. That outcome has often preceded a wetter than normal September in parts of the Northeast. Mean September rainfall figures for those 8 cases: Boston: 4.38" (normal: 3.55"); New York City: 5.08" (normal: 4.31"); and, Philadelphia: 5.12" (normal: 4.40"). Very wet years outnumbered very dry ones by a 2:1 ratio in Boston and 3:1 ratio in both New York City and Philadelphia. 63% of cases saw at least one day with 1" or more rainfall in Boston. 88% saw at least one day with 1" or more in New York City and Philadelphia. 50% of those cases saw at least one day with 2" or more daily rainfall in Philadelphia. In sum, the SOI may be offering a signal that there will be some drought relief for the northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England regions in September. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.1°C for the week centered around August 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.90°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.77°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was -15.78 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.877 today. On August 17 the MJO was in Phase 8 at an amplitude of 0.479 (RMM). The August 16-adjusted amplitude was 0.226 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 88% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.2° (2.1° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 2 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I have the feeling that for the NYC Metro Region 90 degree heat could occur off and on through September 20th followed by 85 degree warmth off and on through October 15th. It looks like a warmer than normal autumn ahead for our area with drought conditions contingent upon any tropical moisture that can wander up this way. WX/PT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 31 minutes ago, forkyfork said: 3 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I have the feeling that for the NYC Metro Region 90 degree heat could occur off and on through September 20th followed by 85 degree warmth off and on through October 15th. It looks like a warmer than normal autumn ahead for our area with drought conditions contingent upon any tropical moisture that can wander up this way. WX/PT zero chance of that happening.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 we have a better chance of seeing the aurora than 1" of rain 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 4 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I have the feeling that for the NYC Metro Region 90 degree heat could occur off and on through September 20th followed by 85 degree warmth off and on through October 15th. It looks like a warmer than normal autumn ahead for our area with drought conditions contingent upon any tropical moisture that can wander up this way. WX/PT It really depends on whether or not the drought breaks. If it doesn't then you're probably right. We'll also likely see a quick switch from summery to wintry. An early bout of snow wouldn't shock me either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 Highs near 95° today at the usual NJ warm spots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 81degs.(74/88) or +5.5. Month to date is 79.2[+2.4]. Should be 79.7[+3.3] by the 28th. Reached just 81 here yesterday with s. wind. Today: 85-90, wind s,. p. cloudy, 73 tomorrow AM EURO Monthly Outlooks look like the Twin-Tag-Team of HOT&HOTTER Like the GFS, KWO-35 is going in circles right now. An endless, digital merry-go-round, of their Preamble. Useless JWB 1865 75*(80%RH) here at 7am. 77* at 9am. 80* at Noon. 82* at 2pm. Reached 83*(72%RH) feels like 89 at 3pm. 76* at 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will be partly sunny and very warm. A few locations could see a shower or thundershower. High temperatures will reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 89° Newark: 92° Philadelphia: 93° It will turn cooler tomorrow. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 83.0°; 15-Year: 82.8° Newark: 30-Year: 84.4°; 15-Year: 84.5° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 85.5°; 15-Year: 85.2° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now